NCAA wk 2

Line looks about right - we missed the 10 - have the fair line at 13-14....Not sure about Kentucky yet but they killed a creampuff last wk...Have Florida on deck....Ohio won a SNOT BUBBLER last wk vs Kent....QB looked good - D looked good....My gut tells us they have a sigh of relief and come out flat and get down big early putting a cover in doubt....total looks about right as well.....Would have hit the 10....A lot of the value gone - cant chase it - but we like the wacky Bobcats for possible plays later in the yr.....One thing we have noticed- looks like they are up to their old tricks putting the entire roster on the injury report so take that FWIW 

Northwestern 7.5 NIU (58)

When we last saw NW their secondary was getting lit up like a Xmas tree - kudos to Cal backers - we didnt play the game but did not see that one coming.....Never a good idea to fade a team that looked so bad a week ago - most of the value taken out of the line IMO definite lean to NW but to be fair - they have lost a couple weapons - and do not know enough about NIU yet - yes they lost all world QB but ran for 400+ last wk - 3QBs got action - have a winning pedigree.....if anything lean under in this one for some deformed reason pass for now 

MESSAGE TO SUBSCRIBERS FROM MICHIGAN

we have tickets to utah game sept 20 - any idea when to expect a game time to be announced ?? it is now TBD.....I know it depends on TV etc....just wondering if anyone has inside scoop thx

We still think Ohio St is gonna be a tough out this yr - Sparty included - just not sure they can get to 31 vs a tough VT D with a crafty DC.....Their secondary is excellent....Seems to us that the best game plan is to run right at them and run some more.....That OL is gonna have their hands full....VT looks balanced enough on offense this yr to move the chains at times and limit the number of times Ohio St gets the ball.....Like the +11 as well but feel more certain that Ohio St will not light it up. We can see 27-10. 24-10. 30-13. 

GLmega

 GL this wk buddy 

AF 2.5 Wyoming (57)

Wow. Toughest game for us to get a handle on - AF had a comical injury situation at QB last yr - kinda tanked the season which is not typical - we love wacky Air Force - think this team will be a lot better....just not sure about laying ponits on the road against a team that is very familiar with them - lots of bad blood....Hard to call out wyoming - new QB who was sneaky underrated.....new guy not so sure yet ....hmmmmm just no way of knowing what AF looks like gotta take a pass 

Iowa 17.5 Ball St (52)

In the good old iowa days these were the games we loved - iowa home games vs crap teams.....blowout city that you could never see on paper - they just had a way of getting up 35-0 before you got thru your first beer.....killed WM last yr - problem? not sure about iowa D....Ball St is not crap....less experience but an ATS machine under Lembo....not sure how the fresh meat qb does at iowa....lean to iowa but have to pass number looks perfect

Still see value here missed the 52.5.....would still play it up to 56 since we think both TT over plays are solid - 33 for GT - 23 for Tulane....GT looks scary on offense - most explosive QB in a while - they actually passed for 282 last wk and ran for 226  yes it was vs Creampuff State.....But they hit for big plays in the run game and have big potential in the passing game....tulsa lit up Tulane for almost 600Y LW - yes in 2 OT - but the game still featured 1100ish yards...tulane frosh qb looked very good and lightning rb ran for well over 200....big scoring plays in tulane/tulsa included 43 90 84 60 yards....Tulane opens new stadium first on campus game in 40Y....lots of excitement - lots of jacked up freaks looking to score TD....are we reaching yet??.....GT D returns only 4 starters and are missing one of those key guys this wk - absolutely see Tulane scoring 24+ and need GT to keep up which they typically have no problem doing in games like this.....Dont see much D in this one - 2 TDs/quarter this baby hits 56 could easily see 60pts we think.....GL mega 

NW is missing almost every WR on their roster ....They have a very good OL (on paper) and will have to focus on the run game...Tempo might be slightly slower as they are so beat up - even before conference play....They only ran for 108 yds last wk vs CAL  and passed for 5.5/attempt.....Their D played pretty well other than a couple play action mistakes - held Cal to 114 yds on 45 carries and their QB is better than anything NIU has.....Off a loss - NIU will have NW full attention....On the flipside - NIU ran 77 times (32 passes) vs creampuff U and chucked and ducked in the passing game - starting qb 10/14 for 84 yards.....They know going up against NW and their above avg secondary (on paper) that they must run run run and play action off of it.....on D will do what Cal did - keep everything in front of them...easier to do when the chess club is playing WR for NW.....Really think the number should be closer to 51-52 so taking the plunge - GL ....mega

Hey buddy - i was pissed this morning did not post 30.5 - checked all my outs including sports interaction all the team totals were 29 except for B365 so i took the 30.5 (-120) tho....bottom line - 29 is the same as 30.5 unless it lands on 30 which i have to believe is approx 2% chance....29 is a number rarely hit....In any event - I would still make a play at 29.....28.5 would have been my lowest number....GL man

Can't justify a play since my #s say -31 but if there was a bloodbath this wk - this was the one i wanted to bet was hoping for 31.....Florida will get 2-3TD on D/sp teams IMO they smell blood they score fast i dont care who is QB. pass.....

NC St 16 Old Dominion (64)

Do not like the NC St roster at all hated i somehow missed the Ga Southern game even tho i had it circled wtf i hate that - anyway OD D is beyond bad - yes they can score and move it in the air - but G Southern i could back - more crafty - running juggernaut to keep the ball for a while and better D - this team could get smoked a couple 3-outs - NC St could be up 24 early.....have fair line at 17 so looks about right - total also perfect - 64 - dont see OD holding up their end of the total

This spread and total is moving all over the place.....Our fair line is closer to 20....But NM starting QB out - ya backup has played - but he aint the same...Also missing juggernaut return guy (3 TD LY) slash WR....and beat up a bit on OL....need everything to be in my favor to take NM was gonna take em at 28 line went the wrong way faaaaaaaaaaaaccccccccccccccckkkkkkkkkkkk.....Not sold on Az St but pretty sure they get 45+ their offense is gross....gotta pass 

Oregon 12.5 Sparty (56)

We have spoken to COVERS BLOODBATH GUY ! here is the tip.....Everyone is on Michigan St - take Oregon ! .....or was it everyone is on Oregon - take Michigan St !!! SO HARD TO CHOOSE BETWEEN THOSE GREAT 50% STRATEGIES 

Lots of writeups on this game. Here is our take. If you are backing Oregon - you have to respect the fact that Sparty has proven to be a tough team to drill - heck - last 2 wins were over Stanford and Ohio St ......and "Where is the Offense gonna come from" Guy hated Mich St both games but guess what - they were .....There is a point spread - remember ???? Those on Michigan St have to respect that yes they are SIMILAR to Stanford blah blah but guess what - they are NOT Stanford in the sense that Stanford is absolutely more famililar with Oregon...Also Mich St much less experienced on D and on the OL than we like to see.....We dont see the spread being an issue just not sure which way it goes - gotta be honest - A Sparty win SU or close game would not shock us - neither would a 20 pt Oregon win.......pass 

thx buddy - GL this wk - great call last night  (even tho everyone was on UTSA !! oh wait. Everyone was on Arizona !! oh wait......)

Priceless thread as always... No Snot bubbler?! 

Donkey. 

Not playing Nevada but that is my lean. I am however including them in my ML underdog wheel. As far as Ole Miss my fair line came out at 17 so not enough value for me to play either side. Game at Tenn Titans stadium. The problem is that i have a strong lean to ole miss given their sick D and Vandy may be a grease fire this yr BUT offsetting that is that this is a rivalry game and an SEC one at that. Vandy has shocked them before and they dont have to do much right to cover 20. Had to pass. GL buddy