my best systems w/in-depth writeups and analysis

Syracuse played two OT games in a row and now they are on the road to play against an out of conference opponent. Horrible spot to be in, especially for a team that turned the ball over 5 times in its last game. They are 2-10 SU and ATS after an OT game and 0-6 ATS when favored after an OT game. Tulane was clearly tired last week as they played their third straight road contest, and Army is not the kind of team you want to face in that situation because of their ground game. Expect a different kind of effort from Tulane this week. And by the way, road teams that played 2 ot games in previous two weeks without any extra rest are 0-8 SU and 0-8 ATS as long as they were not a big 16+ pts favorite the week before. Syracuse is going down this week and they are going down hard. Take Tulane +10 points.

In first 5 games of the season, teams not on extra rest are 18-2 ATS if they won two games in a row including a road OT win in their last game as a dog or small favorite of no more than 6.5 points. Air Force is playing great football right now, and they will give UND everything they can handle and then some. When UND meets AF, the road team is cash. 7 straight ATS wins for the road team in this series. Air Force is not turning into a passing team any time soon, but they are learning how to take advantage of their passing game when everyone expects them to run. In last three games AF passers are 34/46, good for 5 touchdowns and no interceptions. Notre Dame played Purdue last week, but they dont like being in the favorite role after playing Purdue. 7-15-1 ATS in last 23. Take Air Force +16 points.

Minnesota looked like a high school team last week. Actually, they looked like a high school team in every game so far this season. But if their home losses to New Mexico State and North Dakota State were not wake-up calls, then a 0-58 loss to Michigan definately is. College teams usually respond to losses like this one better than to an upset loss. In weeks 3-10, road teams that lost their previous conference game without scoring, and allowing 24-60 points are 84-42 ATS. And if they lost another game before that, they are 52-22 ATS. Lucky break for Minnesota is that Purdue played Notre Dame last week and they are 0-7 ATS in last 7 in this situation. Last season they played WIL after Notre Dame and won by only 10. In 2009 they were favored by a TD against NWST after playing ND but lost outright. And so on. Minnesota QB not playing could actually be a good thing for them in this situation. With him being out/questionnable, they will need everyone else to step up, especially after that humiliating loss to Michigan. Take Minnesota +10.5 points.

Enjoy your weekend friends !

Good luck !

nice write ups - GL this weekend. These are some tuff dogs to side with.

Thanks!