BA, I'm just a baboon throwing crap so no Mojo here. My eyes say Colo. St. playing even and home field in the 2nd is the play. I took Colo. @ pk +100. They both look good. Like I said, good, fun game to watch.
Port. St. with great 1st H. Couldn't find a HT pick I liked there.
Just trying my best to get a profit. If Oregon St. covers I win a little. Love if my 2nd H play to fall short.
0
BA, I'm just a baboon throwing crap so no Mojo here. My eyes say Colo. St. playing even and home field in the 2nd is the play. I took Colo. @ pk +100. They both look good. Like I said, good, fun game to watch.
Port. St. with great 1st H. Couldn't find a HT pick I liked there.
Just trying my best to get a profit. If Oregon St. covers I win a little. Love if my 2nd H play to fall short.
Impressive win even despite the rivalry game next week! I played the Rams and Owls micro-small this week just to test the waters.
Bobo looks like he has them focused on a great start. In your opinion BA, does Col St. have a shot to win outright next week even though there will likely be a considerable size difference. I am sure about speed, as this win showed plenty in my opinion.
Truth be told BA, I almost changed my bet after reading your writeups, but remembered what you said about sticking to your guns moreorless....unless of course something changed drastically.
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Impressive win even despite the rivalry game next week! I played the Rams and Owls micro-small this week just to test the waters.
Bobo looks like he has them focused on a great start. In your opinion BA, does Col St. have a shot to win outright next week even though there will likely be a considerable size difference. I am sure about speed, as this win showed plenty in my opinion.
Truth be told BA, I almost changed my bet after reading your writeups, but remembered what you said about sticking to your guns moreorless....unless of course something changed drastically.
Don't do 'that'.....meaning don't overreact to ANY game you just saw
$ Is Colorado St....THAT good?....probably not
$ Are the Beavs THAT bad?.....NO
NOTE: not that you're......necessarily.....doing anything wrong here......just using it as an example of how many guys screw up
Meaning.....if you didn't like CSU already (your bet should already be down at 7-8')....you (shouldn't) really like 'em now .....In fact....I really liked the bet before...I like it a bit LESS now
*also...I didn't consider Oreg St much as a 24+ favorite next week....vs Portland St......NOW?.....after watching the Vikings expend a ton of energy / emotion..... the Beavs embarrass themselves at CSU ......I have a STRONG lean on Oreg St............
Sounds back-azzwards......but it ain't
* LINE VALUE....is a huge reward for this type of thinking in the least
$$ CSU was 8'.....now 6' and dropping....even tho Colorado is a team to (maybe) fade early......I would probably pass now ....at the lower #
The answer to your actual question?.
* SURE they do.....small ML play worthwhile maybe....or throw 'em in a dog parlay .....BOL this year man......
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
0
In your opinion BA, does Col St. have a shot to win outright next week even though there will likely be a considerable size difference.
Don't do 'that'.....meaning don't overreact to ANY game you just saw
$ Is Colorado St....THAT good?....probably not
$ Are the Beavs THAT bad?.....NO
NOTE: not that you're......necessarily.....doing anything wrong here......just using it as an example of how many guys screw up
Meaning.....if you didn't like CSU already (your bet should already be down at 7-8')....you (shouldn't) really like 'em now .....In fact....I really liked the bet before...I like it a bit LESS now
*also...I didn't consider Oreg St much as a 24+ favorite next week....vs Portland St......NOW?.....after watching the Vikings expend a ton of energy / emotion..... the Beavs embarrass themselves at CSU ......I have a STRONG lean on Oreg St............
Sounds back-azzwards......but it ain't
* LINE VALUE....is a huge reward for this type of thinking in the least
$$ CSU was 8'.....now 6' and dropping....even tho Colorado is a team to (maybe) fade early......I would probably pass now ....at the lower #
The answer to your actual question?.
* SURE they do.....small ML play worthwhile maybe....or throw 'em in a dog parlay .....BOL this year man......
IMO....the above way of thinking?.....is what separates the PROFESSIONALS.....from the TAXPAYERS.....(Jason Kidd ha)
Meaning.....what most (seem) to do.....is WAIT.....and 'buy'....when the price is high........
Betting on the HOT team at an INFLATED price?......a TERRIBLE (long term) strategy
YOU HAVE TO FIGURE THINGS OUT BEFOREHAND......STAYING AHEAD OF THE LINE....
* KEY: don't get discouraged by a few misses
USF a bad team?.....hell no....my opinion of them hasn't changed.....not one point
Oregon State?.....ditto........I'll not drop their number just yet.....here I hesitate...QB play depending
* he SUX vs Portland State too?.....drop a few maybe
BYU?.....ditto
Tree?....I might bump up a point or so......
SJSU?.....bump up a point maybe
IF Rutgers get's hammered by Washington......I will immediately look to PLAY THEM....vs E Michigan......taking advantage of the wild-azz overreactions >> resulting reduced number
* WHY?....because I studied their season LY.....IDENTIFIED the reason they stunk.....and KNOW....they will be much better this year
* IF Bolin stays healthy that is................
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
0
IMO....the above way of thinking?.....is what separates the PROFESSIONALS.....from the TAXPAYERS.....(Jason Kidd ha)
Meaning.....what most (seem) to do.....is WAIT.....and 'buy'....when the price is high........
Betting on the HOT team at an INFLATED price?......a TERRIBLE (long term) strategy
YOU HAVE TO FIGURE THINGS OUT BEFOREHAND......STAYING AHEAD OF THE LINE....
* KEY: don't get discouraged by a few misses
USF a bad team?.....hell no....my opinion of them hasn't changed.....not one point
Oregon State?.....ditto........I'll not drop their number just yet.....here I hesitate...QB play depending
* he SUX vs Portland State too?.....drop a few maybe
BYU?.....ditto
Tree?....I might bump up a point or so......
SJSU?.....bump up a point maybe
IF Rutgers get's hammered by Washington......I will immediately look to PLAY THEM....vs E Michigan......taking advantage of the wild-azz overreactions >> resulting reduced number
* WHY?....because I studied their season LY.....IDENTIFIED the reason they stunk.....and KNOW....they will be much better this year
Don't do 'that'.....meaning don't overreact to ANY game you just saw
$ Is Colorado St....THAT good?....probably not
$ Are the Beavs THAT bad?.....NO
NOTE: not that you're......necessarily.....doing anything wrong here......just using it as an example of how many guys screw up
Meaning.....if you didn't like CSU already (your bet should already be down at 7-8')....you (shouldn't) really like 'em now .....In fact....I really liked the bet before...I like it a bit LESS now
*also...I didn't consider Oreg St much as a 24+ favorite next week....vs Portland St......NOW?.....after watching the Vikings expend a ton of energy / emotion..... the Beavs embarrass themselves at CSU ......I have a STRONG lean on Oreg St............
Sounds back-azzwards......but it ain't
* LINE VALUE....is a huge reward for this type of thinking in the least
$$ CSU was 8'.....now 6' and dropping....even tho Colorado is a team to (maybe) fade early......I would probably pass now ....at the lower #
The answer to your actual question?.
* SURE they do.....small ML play worthwhile maybe....or throw 'em in a dog parlay .....BOL this year man......
Love it! Thank you, especially with the hardcore response.
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
In your opinion BA, does Col St. have a shot to win outright next week even though there will likely be a considerable size difference.
Don't do 'that'.....meaning don't overreact to ANY game you just saw
$ Is Colorado St....THAT good?....probably not
$ Are the Beavs THAT bad?.....NO
NOTE: not that you're......necessarily.....doing anything wrong here......just using it as an example of how many guys screw up
Meaning.....if you didn't like CSU already (your bet should already be down at 7-8')....you (shouldn't) really like 'em now .....In fact....I really liked the bet before...I like it a bit LESS now
*also...I didn't consider Oreg St much as a 24+ favorite next week....vs Portland St......NOW?.....after watching the Vikings expend a ton of energy / emotion..... the Beavs embarrass themselves at CSU ......I have a STRONG lean on Oreg St............
Sounds back-azzwards......but it ain't
* LINE VALUE....is a huge reward for this type of thinking in the least
$$ CSU was 8'.....now 6' and dropping....even tho Colorado is a team to (maybe) fade early......I would probably pass now ....at the lower #
The answer to your actual question?.
* SURE they do.....small ML play worthwhile maybe....or throw 'em in a dog parlay .....BOL this year man......
Love it! Thank you, especially with the hardcore response.
........admittedly.....I'm a CFB BULLY....of the highest order....
SO......are you GUILTY here?.....>> didn't like Col St....UNTIL you saw them kill Oreg St?.............................
Nope, I was on Col St. last yr and watch my team get killed. I think the Rams always play well in this Mile High rivalry except for last yr when we saw Colorado have a dream season utilizing their talented players early.
My take on this game is, either play the Rams ML and ride the wave or make them a 10pt teaser key along with Florida, Buckeyes Under, Troy and finally FSU.....maybe both
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
........admittedly.....I'm a CFB BULLY....of the highest order....
SO......are you GUILTY here?.....>> didn't like Col St....UNTIL you saw them kill Oreg St?.............................
Nope, I was on Col St. last yr and watch my team get killed. I think the Rams always play well in this Mile High rivalry except for last yr when we saw Colorado have a dream season utilizing their talented players early.
My take on this game is, either play the Rams ML and ride the wave or make them a 10pt teaser key along with Florida, Buckeyes Under, Troy and finally FSU.....maybe both
........admittedly.....I'm a CFB BULLY....of the highest order....
SO......are you GUILTY here?.....>> didn't like Col St....UNTIL you saw them kill Oreg St?.............................
I can't wait to see the first " _____ (insert team here) is higher ranked than their opponent, why are they only favored by ___ (insert low spread here)"
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
........admittedly.....I'm a CFB BULLY....of the highest order....
SO......are you GUILTY here?.....>> didn't like Col St....UNTIL you saw them kill Oreg St?.............................
I can't wait to see the first " _____ (insert team here) is higher ranked than their opponent, why are they only favored by ___ (insert low spread here)"
BA, I've got 13 little stars on my favorite bar representing B. Conns analysis. Probably trim it down to just the full preview at some point.
For any who are willing to put in the time to get it right, this is must see stuff! I know BA has referenced it before but just reminding that good info is out there in one spot.
Covers experts has a real short, concise review of all 128 teams up now. No predictions but a easy overview of each team. I added this to favorites bar also for quick reference.
Been looking at week 2. Got Memphis -1.5 @ UCF, Indy pk @ Virg. and @Mary. -27 Virg. so far. Of course just establishing a number with buy out always in mind. Haven't checked out lines this AM but some others look very interesting.
Always curious about your thoughts.
Nice to be dry, Doc
0
BA, I've got 13 little stars on my favorite bar representing B. Conns analysis. Probably trim it down to just the full preview at some point.
For any who are willing to put in the time to get it right, this is must see stuff! I know BA has referenced it before but just reminding that good info is out there in one spot.
Covers experts has a real short, concise review of all 128 teams up now. No predictions but a easy overview of each team. I added this to favorites bar also for quick reference.
Been looking at week 2. Got Memphis -1.5 @ UCF, Indy pk @ Virg. and @Mary. -27 Virg. so far. Of course just establishing a number with buy out always in mind. Haven't checked out lines this AM but some others look very interesting.
Nope, I was on Col St. last yr and watch my team get killed
uh-oh............GUILTY as charged !!!....................
Naw....I like CSU in this SPOT too......do wish Buffs had Washington....rather than TX St on deck.....
* GUB handicapping theory in play as well..........
(game under belt)....is usually an ADVANTAGE.....rather than the opposite............most think that Colorado is better off WATCHING week 1......later in the season sure.......not week 1..........
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
0
Nope, I was on Col St. last yr and watch my team get killed
uh-oh............GUILTY as charged !!!....................
Naw....I like CSU in this SPOT too......do wish Buffs had Washington....rather than TX St on deck.....
* GUB handicapping theory in play as well..........
(game under belt)....is usually an ADVANTAGE.....rather than the opposite............most think that Colorado is better off WATCHING week 1......later in the season sure.......not week 1..........
I can't wait to see the first " _____ (insert team here) is higher ranked than their opponent, why are they only favored by ___ (insert low spread here)"
THAT kinda stuff.....is starting to WEAR on me.............
SAME guys .....claiming to be serious about this stuff.....yet TOTAL ignore the importance of line value / power ratings etc.......
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
0
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:
I can't wait to see the first " _____ (insert team here) is higher ranked than their opponent, why are they only favored by ___ (insert low spread here)"
THAT kinda stuff.....is starting to WEAR on me.............
SAME guys .....claiming to be serious about this stuff.....yet TOTAL ignore the importance of line value / power ratings etc.......
BA, I've got 13 little stars on my favorite bar representing B. Conns analysis. Probably trim it down to just the full preview at some point.
For any who are willing to put in the time to get it right, this is must see stuff! I know BA has referenced it before but just reminding that good info is out there in one spot.
Covers experts has a real short, concise review of all 128 teams up now. No predictions but a easy overview of each team. I added this to favorites bar also for quick reference.
Been looking at week 2. Got Memphis -1.5 @ UCF, Indy pk @ Virg. and @Mary. -27 Virg. so far. Of course just establishing a number with buy out always in mind. Haven't checked out lines this AM but some others look very interesting.
Always curious about your thoughts.
Nice to be dry, Doc
SMART man.....I (should) be done with week 2.....beginning week 3.............
BILL C.....is the answer to a (better) understanding of a particular match-up..........far superior to... a simple good run O vs weaker run D.......or so and so passes for 350/g......other allows a ton thru the air......match-up solved !
Speaking of week 2...........gotta get started boys.....back in a few days.............WILL have week 2 lines up / with leans....Friday or so..........
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Pecador:
BA, I've got 13 little stars on my favorite bar representing B. Conns analysis. Probably trim it down to just the full preview at some point.
For any who are willing to put in the time to get it right, this is must see stuff! I know BA has referenced it before but just reminding that good info is out there in one spot.
Covers experts has a real short, concise review of all 128 teams up now. No predictions but a easy overview of each team. I added this to favorites bar also for quick reference.
Been looking at week 2. Got Memphis -1.5 @ UCF, Indy pk @ Virg. and @Mary. -27 Virg. so far. Of course just establishing a number with buy out always in mind. Haven't checked out lines this AM but some others look very interesting.
Always curious about your thoughts.
Nice to be dry, Doc
SMART man.....I (should) be done with week 2.....beginning week 3.............
BILL C.....is the answer to a (better) understanding of a particular match-up..........far superior to... a simple good run O vs weaker run D.......or so and so passes for 350/g......other allows a ton thru the air......match-up solved !
Speaking of week 2...........gotta get started boys.....back in a few days.............WILL have week 2 lines up / with leans....Friday or so..........
.........
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