L2Thirst Week 3

What's with the cuffs?  Too many pinata parties?? What happened?

Thanks Blow 

Every year, you and I have 2-3 plays in a week where we are on the same page. For the first time, me, you and Hoo as well so hopefully we are honed in for a nice payday

Georgia lines are really wacky this year.....I honestly think if they get Gunnar trained up and a run game to compliment him, they might quietly be a dark horse and pull the rug from Texas or LSU for the SEC and a playoff

Hey thanks....I hope you rub some of that luck and record onto to mine....helluva a start for you I see. Congrats 

Hey thanks....I hope you rub some of that luck and record onto to mine....helluva a start for you I see. Congrats 

I just completed my reboot and reshuffle of rankings in SP+ after week #2 completed ......when compared to preseason rankings, I will post the highlights below. KEEP IN MIND....my analysis of 2024 final results vs the preseason rankings demonstrated that teams that improved both their OFF and DEF to a sum total of 60 ranks or higher, had a very strong winning season

-teams that improved by 30-60 total ranks on the season had a winning season and in some cases double digit wins

-teams that decreased their ranks were often losing records and a winning percentage of .400 or worse

***much improved offensive rank*** > had the biggest effect on win % for sure

Most improved teams ranked preseason 100th - 136th:

1. Temple       +46 ranks 

2. Purdue       +37 

3. Wyoming    +28

4. N.Illinois     +24

5. UAB           +24

Improved by +18 - +23 = Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, New Mexico St., FAU 

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Teams ranked preseason 51st - 99th showing greatest improvement:

1. Pittsburgh   +45

2. UCF            +42

3. Navy           +39

4.  Arizona       +35

5. App State    +33

6. Vanderbilt    +29

7. N.Texas       +29

8. Maryland     +28

9. WKU           +27

10. Wake F.     +26

Find good lines to exploit on these this weekend and WEEK #4  

Who do you fade until they show better over two weeks?

1. Virginia Tech    -65 ranks dropped

2. North Carolina  -60 

3. UCLA               -57

4. Georgia South  -53

5. Coastal Car.     -42

6. Boise              -42

7. Oregon St       -41

8. Kansas St       -40

9. NC State        -40

10. Stanford       -39

Dis-honorable mention: -30 to -38 > Sam Houston, Marshall, SJSU, Arizona St, UTSA, Baylor, SMU, Clemson

AVOID ! AVOID ! AVOID !  until they get things ironed out

Interesting thing happen tonight.....NC State righted their ship (dropped -40 ranks) beat a team on the rise from preseason ranking in Wake Forest (+25 improved ranks on OFF/DEF) lost by 10 

The over achieving from 2024 

 AZST BOISE

The over achieving from before 2024 :

Ore St 

Who do I like this week? 

Georgia Southn  home favorite to Fresno big fail now a home favorite to JV St is a big difference and not much line change. 

Stanford  4 road games in a row dating back 2024 now home to BC tgat travels cross country and each week Stanford suck they get additional points until tge bad streak ends.  It ends this week in my opinion. 

Virgina Tech starting off the year playing Vandy and So Carolina ? No thanks.  Playing Old Dom this week won’t be  easy but Old Dom was at Indy +24.5 that value here is long gone.  

UCLA played Utah at only +6 and away favorites at UNLV and lost.  New Mexico isn’t good -14 will be much easier for Nico I’m him. 

Kansas St Ariznobisnt completely back from their bad 2024 yet. Tough test here and no points for a cushion. 

Coastal Car  another team getting extra points after a bad start. E. Car as road favorites since 2011 6-15 ATS and that list of team they faced are lesser or the same than Coastal.  I’ll take my chances on a close battle on 2 similar teams. 

Sources: Boston College starting cornerback Syair Torrence will not play against Stanford this week, meaning the Eagles will be down three defensive starters and both starting corners. Torrence is a sophomore who won the starting job in camp.