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Hey all... Don't have the time or DVR this year to watch as much game tape as I need, so any insight on my perspective is much appreciated.
Miami -4 @ Pitt
Taking Miami here. As hard as I've tried to stay away from this shaky U team, I just cant here. Pitt's rep is entirely based on one great RB right now. The QB, Oline, and much of the flat footed D is untested in my mind. Harris is not as good as advertised, but he can hit the seem/post route with ease. I think oversized Miami recievers make enough big plays to cover here.
Nc State @ Georgia Tech -8
Like what Nc State is working towards this year, but they simply cannot run the ball. They are one demensional, which plays into GT defensive strenth here. NC st QB is a playmaker, but entirely too innacurate/inconsistent to hold up against a solid D. I don't like that NC st has had an extra 3 days to prep, but I'm not sure it will matter all that much. From what I have seen of GT over the last few years, an opponent that effectively runs the ball wins. An opponent who can only pass has a hard time staying on the field.
Oregon St @ Boise - 16
Again, almost entire rep of Oregon St. is based off two good offensive players here. The qb, both lines, and defense are untested. Don't like the to Oregon St D in this spot. Boise offense is simply too efficient to not score at least 40 here. Even with the Rodgers bros, I dont see OR St scoring more than they did vs TCU.
Cal +7 @ AZ
Have rarely bet on Cal over the last 4 years but they match up well here. AZ D line has been getting blown off the ball in what little game film I've wathed. Cal should be able to keep their O on the field with strong run game. This would be a small value based play in my book. First conference game should be tight.
UCLA @ UT -15
Think they roll out the offense for the home crowd this weekend. UCLA is soft on the perimeter. Got lucky to make money at Tech last week, but UT played terrible and kept running the dive at Tech's best player (Colby something). Think that GDavis puts it together this week and blows the doors off. I just do not see how UCLA can put anything together here.
Leans on:
UK @ Florida -13
UCF + 7 @ Kstate - will likely be a play here
Again, any help from people who have actaully watched serious amounts of tape this year would be much appreciated.
Miami -4 @ Pitt
Taking Miami here. As hard as I've tried to stay away from this shaky U team, I just cant here. Pitt's rep is entirely based on one great RB right now. The QB, Oline, and much of the flat footed D is untested in my mind. Harris is not as good as advertised, but he can hit the seem/post route with ease. I think oversized Miami recievers make enough big plays to cover here.
Nc State @ Georgia Tech -8
Like what Nc State is working towards this year, but they simply cannot run the ball. They are one demensional, which plays into GT defensive strenth here. NC st QB is a playmaker, but entirely too innacurate/inconsistent to hold up against a solid D. I don't like that NC st has had an extra 3 days to prep, but I'm not sure it will matter all that much. From what I have seen of GT over the last few years, an opponent that effectively runs the ball wins. An opponent who can only pass has a hard time staying on the field.
Oregon St @ Boise - 16
Again, almost entire rep of Oregon St. is based off two good offensive players here. The qb, both lines, and defense are untested. Don't like the to Oregon St D in this spot. Boise offense is simply too efficient to not score at least 40 here. Even with the Rodgers bros, I dont see OR St scoring more than they did vs TCU.
Cal +7 @ AZ
Have rarely bet on Cal over the last 4 years but they match up well here. AZ D line has been getting blown off the ball in what little game film I've wathed. Cal should be able to keep their O on the field with strong run game. This would be a small value based play in my book. First conference game should be tight.
UCLA @ UT -15
Think they roll out the offense for the home crowd this weekend. UCLA is soft on the perimeter. Got lucky to make money at Tech last week, but UT played terrible and kept running the dive at Tech's best player (Colby something). Think that GDavis puts it together this week and blows the doors off. I just do not see how UCLA can put anything together here.
Leans on:
UK @ Florida -13
UCF + 7 @ Kstate - will likely be a play here
Again, any help from people who have actaully watched serious amounts of tape this year would be much appreciated.
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