Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
Since 1993....
Snyder vs KU is 17-1 SU.....16-2 ATS (89%)
*home (8-1) he covers by an average of 11 points
away (8-1) he covers by an average of 19 points
Let's say for whatever reason you like Kansas TY....
KSt is 6-4...played poorly at WV...about to get hammered at Baylor the following week....KU D is (somehow) tough vs the run / playing well....do you pull the trigger?....as KU is certainly DUE to cover.....
NOPE....better move on to the next one....don't fade a 90% winner
This is probably (one of the few) cases where simply betting a trend is OK....
Since 1993....
Snyder vs KU is 17-1 SU.....16-2 ATS (89%)
*home (8-1) he covers by an average of 11 points
away (8-1) he covers by an average of 19 points
Let's say for whatever reason you like Kansas TY....
KSt is 6-4...played poorly at WV...about to get hammered at Baylor the following week....KU D is (somehow) tough vs the run / playing well....do you pull the trigger?....as KU is certainly DUE to cover.....
NOPE....better move on to the next one....don't fade a 90% winner
This is probably (one of the few) cases where simply betting a trend is OK....
Yes...I don't dig trends so much, but do use them. This is one that can't be avoided.
The KU games appears to set up well once again- given the tough stretch before and the very probably loss looming @ Baylor.
If you play a bigger bankroll that requires discipline, you treat it like any other nice spot with trend to back you...no more than a good looking opportunity with your max-ish units. If you don't do the bigger bankroll (like me), you say "f$ck it...this game gets me ahead every time- I'm hitting it hard."
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