No they won’t…Miami is an undisciplined team…It’s talent advantage won’t be able to overcome this…People don't seem to learn…This Hoosier team is special..Indiana 28 Miami 17…Indiana wins its first national championship and covers…
Quote: Originally Posted by Jerseyboy89]Love it. Miami is gonna be able to run the ball at will vs indiana.[/Quote]
How good was the big 10 this season? Ohio state and Indiana and to a lesser extent Oregon plowing through that conference to me is the biggest factor in my rational.
If one values history and everything remaining the same, the dog in the championship game has failed to cover since Clemson vs Alabama the season before COVID.
I don’t trust a team as a big chalk that has never won it. That is an indicator they should be the dog not a -7.5 favorite.
20+previous point win and scoring 50+ points could all be false indicators because the big10 might get exposed on how good the conference was in the past.
ACC and Miami have this big line because:
Carson Beck
ACC has not been relevant and not getting respect
Miamis 2 losses SMU, Louisville.
Miami’s offensive output in 3 playoff games 65 points
I am just taking a shot here on a big line and payout that The big 10 is and has not been as strong as in past seasons and this could be a factor in the ACC showing up for the first time in a long long time.
Spottie - do you actually believe that Indiana will be intimidated by Miami crowd at Hard Rock or that they will be nervous or succumb to the pressure of the moment? It’s not like Miami has been there in 2 generations…Do you even think Indiana should be favored? If you think they be favored what line would get you to back Indiana -3? Sure the line is inflated, based on the eye test…and perhaps Miami will be able to stay within the number…I just don’t see it…
betting either team has issues and also attraction based upon their seasons paths. I expect balanced betting action in this game.
i appreciate you stopping in and wish you any anyone betting the other side best wishes.
im not 
shouting out a dominate Miami team I am simple uncertain of Indiana’s credibility of -7.5
I am not disrespecting Indianas credibility make this championship game because they were close last year but failed in 2 big games as dogs. That has me questioning their -7.5 relevance. I’d back Indy as a dog not -7.5
as far as Miami winning. It’s a price. It’s a gamble. It could be a shocker. Who knows but I’ll take a stab.
you bet favorites I bet dogs and prices
I respect what you do but I am not congruent with your patterns.
I believe in my methods and am gambling a shocker happens.
I believe in lines that don’t make sense. Thru my vision this line doesn’t add up. Indy should be a dog in this championship game even as deserving as they are.
Best wishes
My evaluation of the big 10 the last 2 seasons
This could hurt Indiana being so credible and -7.5 as I see it is way over the top. Meanwhile the ACC gets no credibility seeing as they have been irrelevant for so long.
CFB parody is alive and well and the portal has balanced out the past dominate teams. Championship favorites are potentially not as credible as seasons past but that has yet to be fruitful. I thing that reversal is on the way.
Last season the bracket favorites were 10-1 or 9-2 dependent on the line. The last 2 games heading into this one were chalk again. A reversal to that is possible and a good chance.
I could be wrong.
I did not post or bet last week, I waited for this opportunity.
I have my doubts but I feel it as well.
Indiana in its best seasons has very little line credibility to be -7.5 in this championship game.
I won’t dispute, Indiana does belong in this game. The line is just off because of the Big 10 teams and Indiana opponents. What were Indianas lines vs Oregon Ohio State? not close to -7.5
Its a chance it’s not a sure thing.
Alabama 4 losses now
SEC is now full of parody. See the top teams fall? See Vandy excel? Big 10 falling to the same fate?
These elite players are no longer staying with these past elite teams. They are going all over chasing the bag. One season and out, on to the next deal. Now not in all cases but certainly as I see it it’s having an impact on the rosters.
No blue bloods from the SEC and Indiana obtaining so much experienced talent. I won’t mention the lack of Indianas no 5 stars on the roster. It could be a factor but so far that hasn’t been an issue so it is not relevant to this point. Don’t buy into that narrative too much.
Indy is real this Miami team will be tested.
Big questions about Miami and their injuries last game
Big questions about Carson Beck and Mario Cristobal all relevant.
I keep telling myself and thinking If Miami was the chalk these issues would be more relevant to me as a set up to failure because of expectation of being a relevant favorite.
Miami is +7.5 and not congruent with high expectations here. It’s their opportunity to their relevance being in the championship game.
Spottie - do you actually believe that Indiana will be intimidated by Miami crowd at Hard Rock or that they will be nervous or succumb to the pressure of the moment?
I never mentioned anything about these issues, I don’t have any feeling about your mindset. We are always opposites and I’m am very comfortable with it.
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