Dr. Strangelove 2024-25 Bowls

Time to dust off the bowl running dogs and maybe sprinkle in a couple playoff games. The probable running dogs did well last year (7-4) and I had a good 2023 bowl season going 16-7. I'm going on the 19th year of doing these running dogs. By their standards, they had a terrible regular season, but still hit around 53%. Hopefully they improve for the bowls. The Probable Running Dogs (PRD's) have hit 60.63% over the last 18 years, with a total of only 4 losing bowl seasons. The last 3 years they have gone 10-3, 11-6, 7-4. The transfer portal opened just 3 days ago, so I'm going to be pretty careful posting my bowl plays too far ahead of the game. The playoffs are a different story since those teams should have everybody ready to play and motivated.

Here is this year's Running Dogs. I got these lines on the opening numbers, so the majority of them have changed. I played them all blindly for a half a unit, but they aren't my official plays, nor are they my opinions of the games. They are strictly the PRD numbers, and nothing more: 

The 2024-25 potential Bowl Running Dogs:

204 UNLV +4** 

206 Sam Houston +6 (D)

223 USF +3

238 Washington State +7

240 USC +3.5

251 ECU +5.5 

245 ULL +10.5 (D)** 

253 BYU +3 (D)

257 Iowa +3.5 (D)

260 Michigan +11.5 

265 Baylor +2

280 Va Tech +4.5

** G5 vs P4

Potential Playoff game predictions:

Texas v ASU … Devils would not be the PRD

Ohio St v Oregon … if Ohio State is the dog they’d be the PRD w/ better D … so would Tennessee

Boise State vs Penn State …. Boise will be the PRD, but tough to “see” them outrushing PSU

Notre Dame vs UGA … The Irish will be the PRD w/ the better D

STRANGE 

Good Stuff!

The running dogs .. love it .. like magic they just find a way to make money .. good luck as always doc! 

     LET'S GO RUNNING DOGS  ....  PUT SOME FOOD IN THAT BOWL    

@DrStrangelove

@DrStrangelove

 Look for Tenn, Az State, Oregon, and UGA to make some noise. UGA more than capable QB, duel threat, whom nobody has any tape on. 

@DrStrangelove

 Great stuff! Good luck happy holiday 

Navy +6.5

I lean the over 39 but I hate trying to buck a very strong trend.

Happy Bowling season!

@DrStrangelove 

  #9

I've got a lean tonight on Sammy Houston +3.5. They are one of my running dogs, but they've lost some value from when I played them at +6 for a half unit...UNLV won last night making the running dogs 1-0. But the line moved a full touchdown from my +4 number so I didn't make them a play....Good luck tonight!

BoL with your bets!

The running dogs are 2-0 so far. Jax St isn't a running dog, but they do run the ball well. Just a pizza and wings bet on Jax St +7 (-119) I may have a play on the game tonight. Just waiting to see what the line does.

The running dogs are 2-0 so far. Jax St isn't a running dog, but they do run the ball well. Just a pizza and wings bet on Jax St +7 (-119) I may have a play on the game tonight. Just waiting to see what the line does.

 Thanks for posting your action Doc...

Notre Dame/Indy over 49.5

Penn St -8

Texas -13

tOSU/Tenn under 47

@DrStrangelove

 I'm getting to the party late but great call on State...

USF/SJST over 62

Getting this early because it's starting to creep up over 62...A couple defensive juggernauts having a good time in Hawaii 

For the Playoff running dogs (PRD) this week, I have Boise State and Notre Dame as PRDs (Irish w/ better D too).

As for Ohio St/Oregon, Ohio St was -3 at Oregon and are now -2.5 neutral. So from a line value persective 2.5 is pretty cheap...Just sayin'. I haven't really decided yet what I want to do with this one. My own line on the game is pretty much a pickem.

USC +3.5 (-121)

USC is a running dog. The running dogs are 3-0 so far the the bowls. I expect that streak will probably end today with Wazzu. I got a terrible opening number of +7. I don't think I'm going to beat the closing line with this one...LOL. Of course that was before all of the portal departures. This new era of college football sucks! 

Here's a crazy stat: There has only been one actual running dog so far in the 16+ bowl games. Which is totally unbelievable! I've never seen it before. And that one running dog West Virginia was just a push if you took them at +5. That means all of my running dogs so far have failed to outrush their opponents, but still covered. Like I said, I've never seen it happen with that many games having been played. We'll see what happens tonight with USC.

@DrStrangelove

GL on your wager amigo!  I'm leaning on USC's OVER 25.5 team total in this one.  My Aggies' D Line is missing 2 of our best players on the edge: Scourton and Stewart.  

Also liking Marcell Reed Over 51.5 rushing yards.  Hammer 'em Strange!!