Leaving in the morning for Dallas so going to go ahead and do research and write-ups for all the time I will be gone. Will continue to update my record in this thread and place my wagers closer to game times.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Leaving in the morning for Dallas so going to go ahead and do research and write-ups for all the time I will be gone. Will continue to update my record in this thread and place my wagers closer to game times.
Game between the running game of the Air Force Falcons and the passing game of the Houston Cougers. Air Force's last game was played on the 21st of Novemeber which is some kind of layoff in football and in that game they lost to BYU by seventeen points. Houston last played in the CUSA championship game where they lost a tough game between ECU by six points.
Air Force ranks third in the country in rush offense while Houston is ranked 111th in run defense. Houston ranks first in the country in pass offense while Air Force is ranked first in pass defense. These stats favor Air Force by a land slide but the passing attack of Houston is different than most teams as it is based mostly on short quick passes somewhat like the Texas Tech offense. These type of passes are almost running plays for the Cougers and Air Force's rush defense is ranked 46th in the country.
I believe this game sets up nicely for Air Force as they are another team from the MWC who is trying to really prove themselves this year in the bowl games as so far they are 3-0.
Lean: Air Force +4.5
Slight Lean: Over 63
Possibly: Air Force moneyline
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Armed Forces Bowl
Game between the running game of the Air Force Falcons and the passing game of the Houston Cougers. Air Force's last game was played on the 21st of Novemeber which is some kind of layoff in football and in that game they lost to BYU by seventeen points. Houston last played in the CUSA championship game where they lost a tough game between ECU by six points.
Air Force ranks third in the country in rush offense while Houston is ranked 111th in run defense. Houston ranks first in the country in pass offense while Air Force is ranked first in pass defense. These stats favor Air Force by a land slide but the passing attack of Houston is different than most teams as it is based mostly on short quick passes somewhat like the Texas Tech offense. These type of passes are almost running plays for the Cougers and Air Force's rush defense is ranked 46th in the country.
I believe this game sets up nicely for Air Force as they are another team from the MWC who is trying to really prove themselves this year in the bowl games as so far they are 3-0.
Matchup of the PAC-10 and the Big 12. Stanford Cardinals have possibly the best all around team player in Toby Gerhart on their team. Oklahoma has a defensive full of players that will be playing on Sunday.
This game should be a great test for Gerhart to see if he really has the skills to perform in the NFL. Oklahoma even without Bradford has still had a decent year and rank in the top ten nationally pass offense. Oklahoma has had a very disappointing year thus far with only a 7-5 record. Stanford on the other hand has had a great year going 8-4 and were in contention for the Rose Bowl much of the year.
The Cardinals are going to try their best to give the ball to their playmaker Gerhart in this game due to the fact their quarterback will probably not play and I do not see him being able to have the games he is used to against the defensive line of Oklahoma. Oklahoma will be geared up to show the nation that even though they had a bad season they are not through playing football in Norman. They will come out throwing the ball against this porous Stanford pass defense and this game should never be in doubt.
Lean: Oklahoma -10
Texas Bowl
Leave it to the state of Texas to think they should sponser their own bowl. I am ready for the Rhode Island Bowl that one will really excite me I think.
This game has Navy facing off with Missouri. Navy like most military schools runs the triple option. Missouri is a more...Big 12 like team I guess as they along with everyone else in that conference airs the ball out all game.
With the amount of time Missouri has to prepare along with the speed I can see them being able to shut down the run game for Navy and make them beat them through the air and I have zero confidence in Navy's pass game.
Missouri will try to throw the ball in this game but Navy has a very good and balanced defense with no real weaknesses in either the pass or run area.
This game sets up for a classic game for Navy where they try to control the clock and keep the ball away from Missouri's high powered offense.
Lean: Under 51.5
Really don't like either side in this game.
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Sun Bowl
Matchup of the PAC-10 and the Big 12. Stanford Cardinals have possibly the best all around team player in Toby Gerhart on their team. Oklahoma has a defensive full of players that will be playing on Sunday.
This game should be a great test for Gerhart to see if he really has the skills to perform in the NFL. Oklahoma even without Bradford has still had a decent year and rank in the top ten nationally pass offense. Oklahoma has had a very disappointing year thus far with only a 7-5 record. Stanford on the other hand has had a great year going 8-4 and were in contention for the Rose Bowl much of the year.
The Cardinals are going to try their best to give the ball to their playmaker Gerhart in this game due to the fact their quarterback will probably not play and I do not see him being able to have the games he is used to against the defensive line of Oklahoma. Oklahoma will be geared up to show the nation that even though they had a bad season they are not through playing football in Norman. They will come out throwing the ball against this porous Stanford pass defense and this game should never be in doubt.
Lean: Oklahoma -10
Texas Bowl
Leave it to the state of Texas to think they should sponser their own bowl. I am ready for the Rhode Island Bowl that one will really excite me I think.
This game has Navy facing off with Missouri. Navy like most military schools runs the triple option. Missouri is a more...Big 12 like team I guess as they along with everyone else in that conference airs the ball out all game.
With the amount of time Missouri has to prepare along with the speed I can see them being able to shut down the run game for Navy and make them beat them through the air and I have zero confidence in Navy's pass game.
Missouri will try to throw the ball in this game but Navy has a very good and balanced defense with no real weaknesses in either the pass or run area.
This game sets up for a classic game for Navy where they try to control the clock and keep the ball away from Missouri's high powered offense.
Last two games I have time to break down before I leave in the morning and these writeups will be much shorter as I just don't feel like writing all the things I have found after researching these games.
Insight Bowl
Game between Iowa State Cyclones and the Minnesota Badgers.
Neither team is exactly an offensive powerhouse but Iowa State is the better offensive team. The same thing goes with their defensive game but in this regard Minnesota holds a slight edge. Both teams come into the game with a 6-6 record. In Iowa State's last two games they dropped two of them but both of these teams will be playing in bowl games. Minnesota also lost two of their last three one to an 3-9 Illinois team and thier win coming against San Diego State in which they only won 16-13(yikes).
Lean: Iowa State +3
Chick Fil-A Bowl
Finally a more exciting game to watch and to cap. The Tennessee Volunteers led by smack talking Lane Kiffin against Beamer Ball Virginia Tech.
Virginia Tech's offense revolves around their run game while Tennessee has a very balanced offensive game plan. I could go on and on about all the stats but I am tired so I am going to summarize what I can see happening in this game.
Kiffin is going to have this team fired up like crazy and Oregon the defensive line coach loves games like this where his players can make the difference in this game. Only bad thing is Kiffin himself might be too fired up and get himself outcoached by Frank Beamer. This is where Lane's dad will come in and help his son out by having a great defensive game plan set up to at least give the Vols a chance in the game.
Lean: Under 49.5
As of now I would lay off the side
Back real soon with final plays
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Last two games I have time to break down before I leave in the morning and these writeups will be much shorter as I just don't feel like writing all the things I have found after researching these games.
Insight Bowl
Game between Iowa State Cyclones and the Minnesota Badgers.
Neither team is exactly an offensive powerhouse but Iowa State is the better offensive team. The same thing goes with their defensive game but in this regard Minnesota holds a slight edge. Both teams come into the game with a 6-6 record. In Iowa State's last two games they dropped two of them but both of these teams will be playing in bowl games. Minnesota also lost two of their last three one to an 3-9 Illinois team and thier win coming against San Diego State in which they only won 16-13(yikes).
Lean: Iowa State +3
Chick Fil-A Bowl
Finally a more exciting game to watch and to cap. The Tennessee Volunteers led by smack talking Lane Kiffin against Beamer Ball Virginia Tech.
Virginia Tech's offense revolves around their run game while Tennessee has a very balanced offensive game plan. I could go on and on about all the stats but I am tired so I am going to summarize what I can see happening in this game.
Kiffin is going to have this team fired up like crazy and Oregon the defensive line coach loves games like this where his players can make the difference in this game. Only bad thing is Kiffin himself might be too fired up and get himself outcoached by Frank Beamer. This is where Lane's dad will come in and help his son out by having a great defensive game plan set up to at least give the Vols a chance in the game.
Update Bowl Record through 12/30: 10-12 -9.25 units
Usually don't place all my bets at once but really have no choice tomorrow as I will not be here to post my plays any. Hopefully I get in Dallas early enough to go over the early game for the first because I doubt I get up in time for that kickoff.
Plays 12/31:
5 units Air Force +5
2 units Air Force moneyline (+170)
2 units Air Force vs. Houston over 63 (-115)
3 units Oklahoma -10 (even)
3 units Navy vs. Missouri under 51 (-105)
2 units Iowa State +3 (-130)
3 units Tennessee +6 (-115)
1 unit Tennessee moneyline (+200)
3 units Tennessee vs. Virginia Tech under (-115)
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Update Bowl Record through 12/30: 10-12 -9.25 units
Usually don't place all my bets at once but really have no choice tomorrow as I will not be here to post my plays any. Hopefully I get in Dallas early enough to go over the early game for the first because I doubt I get up in time for that kickoff.
Thought I would stop by. Just finished placing all my bets. Will be hitting the road before the first game starts and hope to arrive to Dallas with some more money in the account. I like all yours. The ones I didn't bet were the totals and each of the ones you had were the side of the total I leaned towards. Hotty Toddy!
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Thought I would stop by. Just finished placing all my bets. Will be hitting the road before the first game starts and hope to arrive to Dallas with some more money in the account. I like all yours. The ones I didn't bet were the totals and each of the ones you had were the side of the total I leaned towards. Hotty Toddy!
Alright good start to the day going 4-1 and picking up 10.4 units
Iowa State looks good so far but still a lot of game to be played and the Tennessee line has moved drastically in my favor especially in the moneyline area so hopefully that is a sign of things to come.
About to go over the early game tomorrow and then head out for the night just wanted to update the record when I had a chance.
Bowl Record: 14-13 +1.15 units
good luck
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Alright good start to the day going 4-1 and picking up 10.4 units
Iowa State looks good so far but still a lot of game to be played and the Tennessee line has moved drastically in my favor especially in the moneyline area so hopefully that is a sign of things to come.
About to go over the early game tomorrow and then head out for the night just wanted to update the record when I had a chance.
Okay making this short because that is exactly what I am on time. Both of these teams have the offensive ability to score points at a very rapid rate. Also the bowl will be played in the sunny land of Florida so no players should be tight instead they should be out running at full force. Small wager as I don't have the time I would like to actually research this game.
2 units Over 55
back tomorrow with updated record and plays on the games
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Outback Bowl
Okay making this short because that is exactly what I am on time. Both of these teams have the offensive ability to score points at a very rapid rate. Also the bowl will be played in the sunny land of Florida so no players should be tight instead they should be out running at full force. Small wager as I don't have the time I would like to actually research this game.
2 units Over 55
back tomorrow with updated record and plays on the games
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