I'll talk to my sources in the betting community and add in some of my own
knowledge from 30 years of bookmaking to give you insights into the biggest
line moves.
I talked to John Avello from Wynn to get some of his comments on the early
moves. John opens the first college football lines in Las Vegas.
Texas A&M/Auburn. A&M opened at -8.5 and has been steadily bet
up to -14. Auburn has scored more than 20 points once all year, that was
in their lone win, an overtime victory over ULM. There is no confidence
they can score nearly enough to keep up with A&M. A huge move, looks
like value on the dog, but no one beating down the doors to bet Auburn.
Seems like a long time ago that Auburn and Cam Newton were at the top of
the football world.
Florida/Georgia. Wynn opened the game Florida-4.5. I've seen other
openers as low as 3.5 and as high as 5. UGa coming off two poor
performances, a loss to South Carolina and a win over awful Kentucky.
Florida has been stellar defensively. The opener had to be a bit short.
UGa a little disappointing so far but defense has only had one poor
effort (vs Tennessee).
Ohio State/Penn State. Wynn opened Ohio State -3, now they are down to
OSU- but there are picks around as well as PSU-1. Two Big 10 stalwarts
banned from bowls this season. Ohio State undefeated but wobbling the
last two weeks with wins over the bottom of the league, a 3 point margin over
Indiana and a late comeback and overtime win over Purdue. Penn State has
gotten progressively better. No real marquis victories, but came off the
mat 2 weeks ago vs Northwestern and dominated at Iowa. The Nits
traditionally very strong at home.
South Florida/Syracuse. Wynn opened USF-7 now down to -3.5. Syracuse
coming off a nice win over UConn while USF has lost 5 straight. USF a
tough team for Johnny to handicap. They're a mystery to me too.
Southern Miss/Rice. So Miss opened -3.5 now Rice is -2. So Miss
hasn't won a game all year. Rice has won 2. Fowler, Herbstreit and
Corso will NOT be at this one.
UAB/Tulane. UAB opened -6 down to -3.5. The Blazers can't wait
for basketball season. Tulane playing much better the last 2. You
heard me.
Western Kentucky/Florida International. WKy
opened -4.5 now up to -7. Johnny thinks he underestimated WKy, who had
covered 15 in a row before last week's outright loss. I think Johnny's
number was right on. With QB Jake Medlock at the helm for FIU good things
can happen.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'll talk to my sources in the betting community and add in some of my own
knowledge from 30 years of bookmaking to give you insights into the biggest
line moves.
I talked to John Avello from Wynn to get some of his comments on the early
moves. John opens the first college football lines in Las Vegas.
Texas A&M/Auburn. A&M opened at -8.5 and has been steadily bet
up to -14. Auburn has scored more than 20 points once all year, that was
in their lone win, an overtime victory over ULM. There is no confidence
they can score nearly enough to keep up with A&M. A huge move, looks
like value on the dog, but no one beating down the doors to bet Auburn.
Seems like a long time ago that Auburn and Cam Newton were at the top of
the football world.
Florida/Georgia. Wynn opened the game Florida-4.5. I've seen other
openers as low as 3.5 and as high as 5. UGa coming off two poor
performances, a loss to South Carolina and a win over awful Kentucky.
Florida has been stellar defensively. The opener had to be a bit short.
UGa a little disappointing so far but defense has only had one poor
effort (vs Tennessee).
Ohio State/Penn State. Wynn opened Ohio State -3, now they are down to
OSU- but there are picks around as well as PSU-1. Two Big 10 stalwarts
banned from bowls this season. Ohio State undefeated but wobbling the
last two weeks with wins over the bottom of the league, a 3 point margin over
Indiana and a late comeback and overtime win over Purdue. Penn State has
gotten progressively better. No real marquis victories, but came off the
mat 2 weeks ago vs Northwestern and dominated at Iowa. The Nits
traditionally very strong at home.
South Florida/Syracuse. Wynn opened USF-7 now down to -3.5. Syracuse
coming off a nice win over UConn while USF has lost 5 straight. USF a
tough team for Johnny to handicap. They're a mystery to me too.
Southern Miss/Rice. So Miss opened -3.5 now Rice is -2. So Miss
hasn't won a game all year. Rice has won 2. Fowler, Herbstreit and
Corso will NOT be at this one.
UAB/Tulane. UAB opened -6 down to -3.5. The Blazers can't wait
for basketball season. Tulane playing much better the last 2. You
heard me.
Western Kentucky/Florida International. WKy
opened -4.5 now up to -7. Johnny thinks he underestimated WKy, who had
covered 15 in a row before last week's outright loss. I think Johnny's
number was right on. With QB Jake Medlock at the helm for FIU good things
can happen.
Since you're on a first name basis with Johnny (I had to google him), can you please ask him why typically the opening lines are the most accurate first 6-8 weeks of the season? And then after that
until bowl season, it seems like they're off - every year!
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Since you're on a first name basis with Johnny (I had to google him), can you please ask him why typically the opening lines are the most accurate first 6-8 weeks of the season? And then after that
until bowl season, it seems like they're off - every year!
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