Posted:
#51
...TCU -9.50
!!!! CFB Bowl Games !!!!
Posted:
#52
Quote Originally Posted by bafongue1:
Coaches leave every year for new jobs every bowl season. It would take a lot of reports stating displeasure from any team before I even went on an angle of that matter as far as wagering goes. So it's not something I like to let derail my statistical approach. Also Gary Patterson is still there and i'm sure he knows enough to weather the situation as this is not Patterson's first Rodeo...
hey Odds got a Ton of respect for you are your plays but the fact that TCU offensive coordinater left to Coach At Memphis and will not be Coaching tonight could be an issue. My 2 sons played Quarterback in College and they both feel it could be a big issue whats your thoughts?
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Posted:
#55
Texas Christian -9.5 for 20 units...POD
TCU falls short on the cover...
Updated season record below:
93-67-4ytd +301.5 units (58.1%)...
13-7 POD's +116 units (65%)...
Thursday's action in the MAACO BOWL LAS VEGAS is:
Arizona st +14 for 10 units...
Arizona St vs Boise St over 66.5 for 20 units...POD
0
GOT THE OVER @ 65
Posted:
#68
Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:
Coaches leave every year for new jobs every bowl season. It would take a lot of reports stating displeasure from any team before I even went on an angle of that matter as far as wagering goes. So it's not something I like to let derail my statistical approach. Also Gary Patterson is still there and i'm sure he knows enough to weather the situation as this is not Patterson's first Rodeo...
Coaches leave every year for new jobs every bowl season. It would take a lot of reports stating displeasure from any team before I even went on an angle of that matter as far as wagering goes. So it's not something I like to let derail my statistical approach. Also Gary Patterson is still there and i'm sure he knows enough to weather the situation as this is not Patterson's first Rodeo...
Coaching changes are HUGE in college. DO I stay here, I dont like this guy, he is a terrible coach, etc. Kids have all kinds of things going thru their heads. Case in point NC, you could see the Coach did not care, spent half his time recruiting for Ohio State before the game....
Big difference.... Will be with Toledo too, although i feel opposite, they like the O-Coor, and he carried the team. Illinois will see... I like Toledo because of the change, not despite it. Hope Campbell really shows his stuff.
My biggest problem is knowing or not studying enough on AF, did they stay in Colorado and practice the whole time ? On leave, etc.... ??? And the weather may keep it lowering scoring. But I do expect that the Toledo players will have more respect for him as a head coach. I would hope to see less penalties, more discpline, less mistakes and so on. Well see if he has IT or not.
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Posted:
#71
Quote Originally Posted by NOTHINGTODO:
good luck man but i wouldn't trust this Toledo team, last time they were on national TV vs N ILL they were so bad on defense tackling that i thought the game fixed .
BOL to you as well. If it's trust you are speaking of you might want to over look that Air Force schedule full of patsy wins. And BTW the Northern Illinois Huskies are ranked 10th overall on offense and 59th in passing offense as Chandler Harnish the QB for the Huskies was a senior who just finished up his 3rd year in a row with better than a 60% completion percentage as he nearly 3000 yards and 26 td's while rushing for another 11 td's (37td's total). Tim Jefferson is a career sub 60% completion QB that threw for just 12 td's this season. I more than like my chances with the Toledo Rocket's against the one dimensional offense that the Air Force Falcons are. BOL trusting Air Force today...good luck man but i wouldn't trust this Toledo team, last time they were on national TV vs N ILL they were so bad on defense tackling that i thought the game fixed .
and if N ILL can do over 500 yds of offense and score 63 points on them so can Airforce
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Posted:
#74
Quote Originally Posted by njnspigly:
On ur Toledo pick..... Isn't hard to defend against this option offense. Accordingly toledos defense is horrendous allowing a crazy amount of points each game. I'm leaning in the over.
Lets take a closer look. Here below are teams that were able to score 28pt's or more vs Toledo the season. Each of them had a viable passing offense...On ur Toledo pick..... Isn't hard to defend against this option offense. Accordingly toledos defense is horrendous allowing a crazy amount of points each game. I'm leaning in the over.
Boise State (15-40)L passing offense ranked 11th
@Syracuse (30-33ot)L passing offfense ranked 65th
Miami(Ohio) (49-28)w passing offense ranked 14th
Northern Illinois (60-63)L passing offense ranked 59th
Western Michigan (66-60)w passing offense ranked 8th
@Ball State (45-28)w passing offense ranked 51st
Keith Wenning 2786 yards (19td's passing & 3 td's rushing) 63% completion percentage
Alex Carder 3873 yards (31td's passing & 4 td's rushing) 65.7% completion percentage
Chandler Harnish 2942 yards (26td's passing & 11 td's rushing) 63% completion percentage
Zac Dysert 3513 yards (23 td's passing & 4 td's rushing) 65.8% completion percentage
Ryan Nassib 2685 yards (22 td's passing & 2 td's rushing) 62.4% completion percentage
Kellen Moore 3800 yards (43td's passing) 74.1% completion percentage
Seems like you need a conventional drop back QB ready and willing to hit the open targets to put up decent numbers against Toledo. Tim Jefferson of the Air Force academy doesn't fit the description of any of these QB's and this leads me to believe that Toledo can focus on stopping the run against a QB with a sub 60% completion percentage in his college career (4 years)...
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