FUN BETS .. FUN DAY!
WIN: 3.5 U LOSS: -0.48 U .. NET: 3.03 UNITS
NDSU ML/U51.5 +227 .3/.68 X
HOU -16.5/U54.5 13-1 .03/.4 
HOU WIN BY 31+ 40-1 .02/.88 X
INDY -6.5/U31.5 13-1 .02/.25 X
INDY -13.5/U31.5 23-1 .02/.46 X
INDY -16.5/U35.5 21-1 .03/.63 X
INDY -23.5/U35.5 40-1 .03/1.0 X
INDY -27.5/U42.5 35-1 .03/1.05 X
MIZZ -9.5/U45.5 5-1 .1/.5
MIZZ -13.5/U49.5 5-1 .1/.5
MIZZ -16.5/U42.5 12-1 .05/.5
MIZZ -16.5/U31.5 33-1 .03/.8 X
MIZZ -22.5/U36.5 45-1 .03/1.1 X
MIZZ -20.5/U28.5 80-1 .03/2 X
FIU -16.5/U36.5 16-1 .05/.8
FIU -16.5/U31.5 28-1 .03/.8
TULANE -2.5/U42.5 +570 .1/.58 
TULANE -9.5/U35.5 19-1 .05/.1 X
TULANE -6.5/U28.5 24-1 .05/1.3 X
BOWLING GREEN WIN 31+ 10-1 .02/.2
NEVADA WIN BY 41+ 30-1 .02/.66 X
RECAP ..
EH .. Tulsa what the heck up 20 points loses ..
NDSU .. clearly not the better team in this spot on the road .. thought we could get away with laying 1.5 .. needed to be taking ..
ASU .. pathetic showing, never really got their hooks into this game and think they'll struggle to make a bowl this year with what they have coming up .. Had follies on offense defense and special teams in this game ..
Felt like we had a little backdoor shot with Indy that fell flat .. ooof ..
SMALLER ..
LSU Dud .. NILL DUD .. too many duds .. other ideas worked out pretty good ..
FUN BETS
started tracking units this week and did quite a few .. Indy was the only real major dud of the bunch but right idea with the total ..
Missouri nearly banged out a couple bigger ones but had a nice day ..
Tulane coulda cashed the -2.5 one and offense doesn't dud out on us over and over we were lined up to hit all 3 .. we had a great hedge out opp with them being up 7 late in the game and I squeezed half a unit out taking Army ML at that point ..
FIU was great we needed that last field goal ..
Had BG in hand up 35 .. late score by sac state killed us but easy hedge if anyone was paying attn as SAC was +35 or so on the final drive of this one ..
SMALLER
KANSAS / K-STATE OVER 54.5
K-State's D is a total bag of turds with the bad tackling and there's a few clear reasons to think this total is too high but its two teams with iffy offense but we saw KU's offense come to life vs Utah with a strong passing performance and they might have alot more success in this one .. K-State's offense is a bit iffy but clearly they are incorping at least a balanced attack and Avery johnson can put drives together vs certain teams .. think the offenses get their hooks in this one and we don't see much let up .. It's Colin Klein's first sunflower showdown but he knows this rivalry well from his time there I'm sure he was 4 or 5-0 and probaby covered all of them .. K-State has a long history of covering this game ATS and while alot of the time it was when KU was PUUURE GARBAGE they haven't been lately and K-State has continued doing a number on the Jayhawks .. basically what I'm saying here is K-State shows up in this spot and I expect their offense to here as well with Klein being an QB / offensive expert .. save the good stuff for this game because we haven't seen much yet lol .. Kansas defense has been hit and miss good offense like Utah can pile up the points for sure but even a crap offense like ASU was able to hit paydirt a few times .. we've seen KU struggle vs the pass game and think both teams suffer from that here .. maybe a tit for tat back / forth affair in this one and expect their best big game from both teams in the big showdown .. but yea we saw yesterday the tackling for K-State is abhorrent and we expect that to be a factor to help KU here too ..
There is some wind in west kansas and would monitor if it starts heading to manhattan .. ***
SMALLER
COLORADO +17.5 (SCORE)
Found this one at 'the score' and kinda half expect with CU Buffs at least being performative that we will see this line come down maybe to 13.5 or so 17.5 at home off a bye is a massive number .. Utah's offense is pretty nasty and Buffs don't get an elevation advantage vs them .. but still expect a drop in this line as I'm seeing this 14.5 elsewhere and still think that's a bit high .. Utah's defense is okay but they suffer from tackling woes like many other seemingly good D's .. We saw KU absolutely pile points on late in their game after an absurdly bad start to their game with 2 quick 3nouts and a pick. Their last 4 drives were all 60+ yards ending with TD's or TO Downs inside the Utes 10 yd line and did it pretty much entirely with their QB .. so even a horrible start and Utes grab a quick 21 point lead we've seen KU literally cover this number and could have made it a really close game if they converted the last 2 big long drives ..
SMALLER
JMU / GA.STATE OVER 53.5
GA.STATE +11.5
Massive game for GA-State here with their resurgence behind Camran Brown .. the offense had been highly performative every game vs mostly bad defenses but the stats were solid enough passing and over 200 yds nearly 6/rush .. they've been solid on the ground every game .. very very dangerous group and their D has been hit and miss .. hit vs the lower order teams like NILL and ODU blowout specials .. but we see UCF put up 300 yds rushing on them over 7.5 yds / carry .. better teams can move the ball and JMU should be able to here .. tackling also a big concern for GA-State .. JMU does have a few guys injured at least last week vs G.Southern including dude DE Amare Thomas but their offense overall is very healthy and even the QB that started the ssn is back but they've stayed on with his replacement .. but the other one has come in and been productive providing a spark last game .... like going 2-2 for 58 yds and 2 TD's !!! .. JMU's rush offense has been consistently good, but JMU's run D and DL overall is usually a dude filled unit for them has been somewhat iffy giving up 4-5 yds / carry last 2 weeks and same vs SDSU for nearly 200 yds in that one .. GA-State has a good chance to hang in if their run game can keep pace with other teams and no reason the cant .. Camran Brown is the BIG KEY here because he's been a stud all year and major driver for the points .. think its such a big spot / big game and JMU is very good but GA-State has a guy that can really play .. if they caught JMU at home last week playing like they did then its possible the Panthers just outscore these guys and walk off w that one ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
FAU / ARMY OVER 54.5
there's a risk of wind but I think we're gunna see some high flyin action from FAU here and we get Army into more of a tit for tat matchup .. alternatively we could very well see Army put points on the board quick if FAU goes 4nout quickly .. recall FAU's style of play is very boom or bust and I'd say Army's D is not well equipped to handle them if their pass attack is on .. FAU has 2 very good WR's and Army has gotten by this year barely by playing much iffier lower competition offenses .. I think this one has too many ways to go wild so xxing fingers here maybe .. I had it circled a while back as a boomer and think the total is 54.5 hard to imagine it going much higher but maybe it will ..
The big risk is if FAU's offense duds out a few times and Army drags them thru the quicksand playing very very slow .. think we'll find some kinda FUN BET to maybe help us counteract that .. I'd also say IN-Game is maybe a way to play this one .. you see FAU go down early they catch a big line I think they can work their way back into this one qucikly .. you see a slow start the total might drop considerably after a slow Q1 and a firework show might just be gettin started ..
SMALLER
FAU +3
Eh .. don't want to double BP the same game but think there's just a situation where the cover and total hit together and think it will.. I will definitely be hittin FAU in a fun bet to cover and win easily .. I think this all comes down to how efficient FAU is and limiting mistakes and really just there for the taking .. we saw Army play USF early in the season and I saw numerous times their WR's drop balls that were going in for easy scores .. you saw the last play their WR BURRRRRNED their DB for the big win score .. Easton Messner is a Major Dude and they have another guy that's pretty solid .. I also like the propensity for FAU to get their run game going by spreading Army very thin up front and FAU performs much better when they can get 100 yds on the ground and make a D move around to stop them up front .. we saw Temple RB's absolutely RIP them on the ground for massively explosive scores but they didn't have any consistency play in play out to keep their drives alive .. think we see a big day outta this offense and Army D finally gets exposed in a way we just haven't seen this year . .. HC Zach Kitley played @Army when he was OC at WKY .. we loved how Bailey ZAPPE performed in that one early in that season and they ended up getting the cover and the win .. this FAU team doesn't have Zappe, Veltkamp is a bit of a turnover risk with the bad passes and fumbles but maaaan he should really have a nice day in this one vs this crappy D ..
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