$!$!$ Bearcats @ Knights / Hurricanes @ Seminoles $!$!$

YTD: 5-10 -6.3 Units

Sunday results: 2-1
Memphis +17.5 (-110)
OleMiss/Mem o55 (-110)
Col. St. +11 (-110)


Onto Labor Day...

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights

The Bearcat offense returns 8 starters with a starting QB in Tony Pike, who will play all season providing he stays healthy.(They went through 4 QBs last year.)  Pike did not play in this mathcup last year and Cincy managed to pull of the 3 pt win.  The bearcat defense, on the other hand...ugh.  They lose 11 of 13 top tacklers and return just 1 starter.  It will take some time for this defense to gel.  This team has 4 wins from last year by a combined total of 13 points.  Don't let the 11-3 record from LY fool you.  They could have easily been 7-7 or worse.

Rutgers started last season at 1-5 but finished with a 7 game win streak to go 8-5.  Of those early season losses, 3 of them were by a combined total of 12 pts with a loss to Cincy by 3.  Take the best O-line in the big east and put them up against a D-line learning a new system with no experience and you have a large mismatch.  I realize RU has a young QB and lost standout K. Britt but this O-line will have no problem giving these guys time to work. 

Rutgers lost this matchup last year BUT, RU did hold Cincy to 13 pts and did not allow them to convert a single 3rd down.  Cincy averaged around 33 ppg last year.  Rutgers has powerhouse Howard next week while Cincy has their home opener, albeit against a soft SEMissouriSt but they may be looking forward none the less.  Cincy is 3-16 SU in road openers.  RU was 8-4 ATS last season.


Rutger Scarlet Knights -5  (-110)

BOL, all.


Canes/Noles pick on the way......

BOL.  

Miami Hurricanes @ Florida State Seminoles

The Hurricanes offense is nothing but improved this year, with Jacory Harris coming off his freshman year with 1,200 yds and a 12-7 ratio.  They return their top two RBs in Graig Cooper & Javarris James.  Those two combined for nearly 1,200 yds last season.  In front of those three guys Miami returns three full time starters to their O-line.  Miami's top three receivers last year were all freshmen, all three now have improved numbers to look forward to.  The defense loses their top tackler but returns 7 of the top 10.  Not that I usually put too much stock into special teams, but they return nearly everyone from that unit, making it one of the top in the country.  Canes going nowhere but WAY up this season.

Seminoles QB Christian Ponder threw for over 2,000 yds last year and rushed for nearly 500.  He finished 3rd on the team in rush yds and rush TDs.  FSU loses their top RB Antone Smith, leaving 2nd year guy Jermaine Thomas at the helm.  Only time will tell...  This team also loses their top two recievers this season, although they have plenty of depth to step up and fill the roles.  The O-line has the experience now to potentially be the best in the ACC.  Making it even easier for all the newbies to get comfortable.  FSU defense on the delcine this season with the loss of their top three tacklers, two of them being LBs.  Sack leader Everette Brown is now a Carolina Panther.  He finished with 13.5 sacks LY, 8 more than anyone else on the team...and that guy is gone as well.  The secondary only returns two starters giving an oppportunity for Miami's young WRs to get open.  Again, not big into special teams, BUT this team loses its top kick return guy and top punt return guy.  Also losing do-it-all Graham Gano, kicker and punter.  With all that said, don't f**k with Bobby Bowden (351-117-4).

Last year when these teams met, FSU had a 31-10 lead in the 3rd quarter, allowing a late Miami comeback nearly costing them the game(and the cover).  FSU won 41-39.  6 out of the last 7 have been won outright by the underdog.  Even with that deceiving game LY, FSU has won 3 of the last 4 between these two teams, but only by a combined total of 8 pts.  Amazingly enough, the team that scored first has won 16 of the previous 20 in this series...who cares.  I'm going with the more improved team against the more experienced coach.

Miami Hurricanes +6  (-110)

BOL, all.

jd232, alphadog, istealcable, pwgators, gc...thanks, fellas.  BOL, today!

Final card:

Rutgers -5  (-110)

Miami +6  (-110)

I bet local, these plays will be called in roughly 30 minutes before gametime.  The odds are good that both of these numbers will be different.  Heres to hoping i get -4.5 and +7.  i will update.

Also, if I get Miami +6.5 i will be buying .5 and playing +7.


Happy Labor Day!

GL today Fade

kittsd --

35gators --

bracks -- i was considering that.  i see youve been mentioning that you see a 4 point game.  is that why youre on just the under instead of RU as well?  Good luck, sir!

Fade- i could see them winning this game by 4-9 pts. I just think that if they have the lead, and re just running the clock out, Cincy could get another late score. I was waiting for a 4, but the RU haters haven't come out like I thought. 

D-line returns 2 full time starters and is 3 deep at DT.  5 of top 6 LBs return and they gain Michigan transfer Marcus Witherspoon.  Manny Abreu injured in '07...mediocre year last season...improvement inevtiable.  Although they lost a CB and a FS to the NFL, Schiano handed off the Def play calling duties to the DB coach and the LB coach.  So i personally think the secondary will improve even with losing those 2 guys. 

oh yeah...forgot to mention that Miami has a bye week 2.  i realize its not very important in this case, but hey, at least we know they wont hold anything back.


Almost gametime, fellas!! 

Update:

Rutgers -4 (-120)(bought.5)

Good luck tonight Fade.  Got the under in UC/Rutgers and probably going the dog route in the nightcap.

Rutgers -4 (-120)(bought .5)

Miami +6 (-110) 

amazing game all around.  canes absolutely deserved the win.  well done.

Updated record:

YTD : 6-11    will update the units by thursday


I WILL RIGHT THIS SHIP DAMMIT!  Leaning GTech...