Air Force -16.5

ytd 1-0

Love the Flyboys as well. 

Control the ball & you control the game.

air force  -15.5 WYOMING

The Falcons are flying high and it’s not because they are doing coke in the cockpit.  These guys aren’t controlling the skies but they sure no how to get it done on the ground.  In week 1 against Northern Iowa, they had 582 yards rushing for a 9.2 yards per carry.  In contrast, Northern Iowa held their second opponent – North Dakota – to only 3.6 yards per rush.  Yes, the same North Dakota team that ran for 5.3 yards per carry against Nebraska.  Just to get some perspective.   Turning back to Air Force, last week they went up against Colorado, who knew exactly what Air Force was going to do.  Air Force ran for 435 yards and 6.2 yards per carry in that 41-10 win. 

So we know that Air Force is going to try to run the ball.  Will they succeed?  Wyoming let up 6.3 yards per carry against Illinois in their opening week 38-6 loss and although they tightened up a little in their 2 victories over weaker opponents, the fact of the matter is that they were unable to stop a team on the ground who doesn’t run the ball as well as Air Force can.

Of course you always have to be concerned about the atmosphere in these weeknight games that heavily favors the home team but nothing demoralizes a team more than getting their manhood taken away as the chains continue to move and there is nothing you can do about it.  The Falcon defense is only giving up 13.5 points per game, so scoring is not going to come easy for the Cowboys.  The best thing about laying the points with Air Force is that they will continue to run the exact same offense on every series, so even in the 4 quarter they will still be good for one or two touchdowns.  The Falcon defense is very underrated, and while Fisher DeBerry would have liked them to have been less monochromatic, they certainly know how to play team defense and stay in position.  Note that Colorado finished a combined 1-for-13 on third- and fourth-down conversion tries last week.  Colorado averaged just 3.1 yards per offensive snap while AFA averaged 5.9. 

It’s hard to imagine that Air Force won’t put up 40 points in this game, since they will be unstoppable running the wishbone.  Air Force hasn’t given up more than 17 points this year in any game, so there seems to be some value in this line.  Air Force will always be a threat to score at any time in the contest and once the win is out of reach for Wyoming, expect the differential in the game to increase, rather than decrease.  Off we go into the wild blue yonder, Climbing high into the sun.  Taking the road favorite Falcons.

@iamhuge

 Where did you find this synospis?

Sounds like something from Sports Reporters or Pointwise newsletters.

Good luck tonight!