Some quick thoughts... Bama has played against four top 40 defenses and average 348 total yards and only 19 offensive points excluding FGs. The offense only put up 14 points from touchdowns against VTech, Ole Miss and Miss St. Oklahoma is a top 20 defense. Now before you argue that Bama will kick FGs and score on defense or special teams, let me stop you. If you're capping a 17 point spread w FG kicking and non-offensive TDs, you're stretching. Against all other defenses, who rank 75 or worse, Bama averaged 508 yards and 37 points generated from offensive TDs. That is a glaring discrepancy. Add to this, AJ, in the games vs top 40 defenses threw six TDs and 4 INTs while he had 18-1 ratio against the other defenses.
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Some quick thoughts... Bama has played against four top 40 defenses and average 348 total yards and only 19 offensive points excluding FGs. The offense only put up 14 points from touchdowns against VTech, Ole Miss and Miss St. Oklahoma is a top 20 defense. Now before you argue that Bama will kick FGs and score on defense or special teams, let me stop you. If you're capping a 17 point spread w FG kicking and non-offensive TDs, you're stretching. Against all other defenses, who rank 75 or worse, Bama averaged 508 yards and 37 points generated from offensive TDs. That is a glaring discrepancy. Add to this, AJ, in the games vs top 40 defenses threw six TDs and 4 INTs while he had 18-1 ratio against the other defenses.
Sticking w the Bama defense, they don't produce many takeaways as they ranked 95th in the nation in that category. Oklahoma doesn't turn the ball over too much, only doing so 15 times in 12 games. Seven of those games were against teams in the top 40 in takeaways where they coughed it up 13 times. In the remaining five games against teams outside the top 40 in takeaways, they surrendered it twice.
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Sticking w the Bama defense, they don't produce many takeaways as they ranked 95th in the nation in that category. Oklahoma doesn't turn the ball over too much, only doing so 15 times in 12 games. Seven of those games were against teams in the top 40 in takeaways where they coughed it up 13 times. In the remaining five games against teams outside the top 40 in takeaways, they surrendered it twice.
One disgustingly sick stat for Bama backers .. Since 2009, in games following ones where they allowed 20+ points, Bama is 11-0 outscoring opponents 391-97, which averages out to 35-9. Insane. This still leaves a TD gap from the under. If they dominate, I think they do it in line with these averages.
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One disgustingly sick stat for Bama backers .. Since 2009, in games following ones where they allowed 20+ points, Bama is 11-0 outscoring opponents 391-97, which averages out to 35-9. Insane. This still leaves a TD gap from the under. If they dominate, I think they do it in line with these averages.
Very surprised with all this scoring, but Bama and AJ exposed by a team who wants it more and is disciplined. That being said, will Knight hold up? Bama running game be held in check?
Bama 2h -10 (100 units to win 95.24 Under 28.5 2h (100 units to win 105)
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Very surprised with all this scoring, but Bama and AJ exposed by a team who wants it more and is disciplined. That being said, will Knight hold up? Bama running game be held in check?
Bama 2h -10 (100 units to win 95.24 Under 28.5 2h (100 units to win 105)
Very surprised with all this scoring, but Bama and AJ exposed by a team who wants it more and is disciplined. That being said, will Knight hold up? Bama running game be held in check?
Bama 2h -10 (100 units to win 95.24 Under 28.5 2h (100 units to win 105)
Good luck Spaz. Didn't take the total but I don't think Stoops will let up. Okie's 1st possession 2nd half will tell the story I believe.
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Quote Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:
Very surprised with all this scoring, but Bama and AJ exposed by a team who wants it more and is disciplined. That being said, will Knight hold up? Bama running game be held in check?
Bama 2h -10 (100 units to win 95.24 Under 28.5 2h (100 units to win 105)
Good luck Spaz. Didn't take the total but I don't think Stoops will let up. Okie's 1st possession 2nd half will tell the story I believe.
Hard to believe I turned a profit in the Sugar Bowl, mostly because I was off on the total in that game. It felt like four losses. I was very surprised by the scoring last night. I don't hate Saban or Alabama, but it was good to see them get manhandled. Some perspective for the coach and the players and great for college football as a whole. Split the full game wagers, winning the side, but losing the total and split the 2h wagers, winning the total, but losing the side. Bringing home the small profit was hitting on the AJ McCarron prop, which came in slightly above the juice.
Orange Bowl
Ohio State -2.5 (120 units to win 114.29)
Clemson/Ohio State under 35 first half (100 units to win 95.24)
I like Dabo Swinney as a coach and I like the offensive talent on the offensive side of the ball for Clemson, but it's no coincidence that each of the last two seasons this team has lost to Florida State and South Carolina. Maybe talent has much to do with that, but I think it's more about coaching. Simply put, Fisher and Spurrier are better coaches than Swinney. And tonight, Swinney gets Urban Meyer off a loss. His first loss as coach of the Buckeyes. With no disrespect to Fisher and Spurrier, Urban Meyer, prepares better than they do. Big advantage for Ohio State. On the field, Ohio State owns both sides of the lines if they want. Boyd and his talented receiving crew will only be as good as the time his offensive line gives him. tOSU will come after Boyd, but Meyer will change it up and that will be the difference in this ball game. There is talent all over the field, but schemes and strategy will win and Braxton Miller will shine. I think it's great that Clemson rolled up a total of 363 points against SoCarState, Wake, Syracuse, Maryland, Virginia, Georgia Tech and the Citadel, but size, speed and coaching are in a different stratosphere tonight.
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Bowls : 36-28-0 +455.10 units
Hard to believe I turned a profit in the Sugar Bowl, mostly because I was off on the total in that game. It felt like four losses. I was very surprised by the scoring last night. I don't hate Saban or Alabama, but it was good to see them get manhandled. Some perspective for the coach and the players and great for college football as a whole. Split the full game wagers, winning the side, but losing the total and split the 2h wagers, winning the total, but losing the side. Bringing home the small profit was hitting on the AJ McCarron prop, which came in slightly above the juice.
Orange Bowl
Ohio State -2.5 (120 units to win 114.29)
Clemson/Ohio State under 35 first half (100 units to win 95.24)
I like Dabo Swinney as a coach and I like the offensive talent on the offensive side of the ball for Clemson, but it's no coincidence that each of the last two seasons this team has lost to Florida State and South Carolina. Maybe talent has much to do with that, but I think it's more about coaching. Simply put, Fisher and Spurrier are better coaches than Swinney. And tonight, Swinney gets Urban Meyer off a loss. His first loss as coach of the Buckeyes. With no disrespect to Fisher and Spurrier, Urban Meyer, prepares better than they do. Big advantage for Ohio State. On the field, Ohio State owns both sides of the lines if they want. Boyd and his talented receiving crew will only be as good as the time his offensive line gives him. tOSU will come after Boyd, but Meyer will change it up and that will be the difference in this ball game. There is talent all over the field, but schemes and strategy will win and Braxton Miller will shine. I think it's great that Clemson rolled up a total of 363 points against SoCarState, Wake, Syracuse, Maryland, Virginia, Georgia Tech and the Citadel, but size, speed and coaching are in a different stratosphere tonight.
larry - good seeing you buddy. I think Mizzou comes out strong off that mauling at the hands of Auburn. Also, Franklin back very close to home and its a good recipe for a strong start. I'm not sure they can sustain it, but see how first half plays out.
Metallica, avenue - thanks guys
docterd - good to see buddy. Let's get it tonight
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larry - good seeing you buddy. I think Mizzou comes out strong off that mauling at the hands of Auburn. Also, Franklin back very close to home and its a good recipe for a strong start. I'm not sure they can sustain it, but see how first half plays out.
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