So I've gone back the past 5 yrs on avg a +20 or higher team wins on avg a little over one game a week last week it was middle tenn st who u guys like this week?
Im liking UMass over eastern mich
UConn over Fresno st
And if no +20 team has won come the last game of the week I'm gonna bet az st spread huge
Hawaii is NOT beating SDSU....Hawaii is in disarray..right now...Surprised this line is not higher.....Here's a tip for you..New Mexico St who beat Hawaii a week ago and is also one of the worse teams in college football..ran for over 300 yards on Hawaii and blew them out...Guess what SDSU is good at and likes to do? Run the Ball...Also a bad spot for Hawaii as this will be their 3rd road game in 4 games...Not easy traveling to and from Hawaii...
OP, great topic... thank you :)
I think +20 is a bit too much to find "common threads" to the games.
a few things:
1) favoured team is pretty mediocre.......... haven't checked the game log but can SDSU score vs. anyone? stop anyone?
2) team's off rest week (Hawaii?)..... lots of time for "real change".... and as noted in #3, new HC
3) 1st year coach. alot of new transfer pieces...... some of the chronically horrible teams had tons of nice Power-5 transfers. no idea what happened as some of these teams have been brutal..
4) too much hype, too little performance. the Miami-Florida story and I doubt it gets better with big NIL deals.... although they should have handled MTSU easily
I agree "Hawaii vs. the run" is a big concern..... and something that I think would have been fixed already if they had the personnel.
I feel like Running game is more personnel/talent/defensive scheme.
passing game, especially offence, requires quite a bit of precision..... and doesn't come around easily.......
Of course, there's always a reason a team is catching 20+, so they always seem goofy, sometimes even in hindsight. This week, I only see one, BC. The Eagles seem to play everyone close in Chestnut Hill, and Clemson may have enough trouble scoring to keep thins close. Fans will be very drunk, which always helps. I'm frankly amazed Hawai'i is only catching 18.5, They weren't much better than Duquesne. I wonder how much longer UH (who we degenerates all have a soft spot for) can maintain a D1 program. They're playing in a middle school stadium, and playing like an elementary school team. Anyway...
@MaineRoad
This is the wrong week to play BC. Easy for me to say since I won a good bit betting the Eagles on the moneyline last week, but still. Clemson generally hammers ACC teams that are coming off an upset win, and Clemson usually covers on the road off a good performance at home.
If I had to pick one 20+ dog to win this week, it would be Michigan State.
I like UMASS this weekend ML, but no one in the +20's (There's only 3 I see - Temple, FIU and Charlotte. Temple and Charlotte are on the road and no way would I put a single dollar on FIU, but gun to the head, I'd take Temple. Their D has improved over the season and I absolutely do not trust Gus when he's favored this heavily on a weekday game).
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