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WEEK #8,,,,,,,,,,,,Welcome all knowledgeable STREAK Breakers,We are ready to reap major profits

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Posted: #201
Today's ATS system plays and my quick take:

Sometimes, breaking the streak is the ONLY angle we have going for us.  I think we may need to find another (like Niowa let down after last night)

Evansville(0-5) +13.5 at Ill st.  The line is about right.  Evansville is the ASS of the MVC(Drake is a close 2nd)  we saw Drake win vs a good SMS team AT HOME.  I see no reason for me to start this streak on the road against a pissed off Ill ST team who just lost to Niowa.  Evansville looks like a good bet to cover at home vs Sillinois next (maybe getting 4-6 pts)
 
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Posted: #202

Well how did all the FORMULA  plays turnout,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

#167
Posted: 1/12/2010 8:18:34 AM

Tx A&M,,,,ATS,,,5-3-0,,, vs,,KSU,,,ATS,,,5-1-0,,,,-9,,,A&M

NC St,,ATS,,4-5-1 ,,vs,,,FSU,,, ATS,,,4-5-0,,,,-10,,,,,NC ST

Kent  ATS,,,3-4-0,,vs Mia Oh,, ATS,,,5-4-0,,,-1.5,,Mia Oh

Ohio St  ATS,,5-4-0,,,vs,,Purdue,,,ATS,,,5-6-1,,- 9,,?????

VCU,,,,ATS,,,3-7-0,,, vs,,,Hofstra,,ATS,,,5-5-0,,,,,+2,,,Hofstra

Wyom,,,ATS,,5-4-0,, vs ,,Tcu,,, ATS,,,3-8-0,,,-6.5,,, Wyom

Mizz St,, ATS,,,7-5-0,,, vs drake,,,ATS,,,5-3-0,,,+5.5,,?????

MD ,,,,,,,,ATS,,,3-6-0,,,vs Wake,,,,ATS,,,5-5-0,,,-4.5,, wake

Baylor,,, ATS ,, 5-0-0,,,vs Colo,,,ATS,,,3-7-0,,,+4.5,,,BaylorSystem Winner

PSU,, ATS,,,4-5-0,,vs,,,ILL ,, ATS,,,4-9-0,,,,-8.5,,,PSU

Bradly,,,ATS,,4-7-0,,,vs N Iowa,,, ATS 10-1-0,,,N Iowa,,against sys streak playSystem WINNER

Kentucky,,ATS,,6-5-0,,vs ,,Fla,,, ATS,,,4-4-0,,+3.5,Kentucky ???

Tenn St ATS,,, 6-4-0,,,vs Iowa,,ATS,,,2-10-0,,,,-12.5,,,Tenn St,,,how in the world can Iowa cover this with a horrid ATS of 2-10

BIG WINNER,,,,

Finally the 9-0 streak is broken,

 
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Posted: #203

As Said the streak plays are superior over the formula plays as formula will always follow the team that has the best ATS

Formula went (less Streak plays) 5-3

System Plays went 2-0,,,,

Think that is correct,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

 
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Posted: #204
Memphis (0-6) -23 (banged from 21.5) at home vs ECU.  First, wait for LuDawg to post.  Kenpom/Sag has this at 18 so we are paying premium to take Memphis still.  ECU has played a very hard schedule, gets their points from the line and memphis is foul happy.  Line movement bugs me - I see 50/50 or more of ECU yet the 1.5 bump...
I don't see them covering a huge number vs Rice next with UTEP on deck.  I didn't play on them at 5-0, so I might wait.

This is more of what I want to see us do.  Use the streak as one angle but add our own.
 
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Posted: #205
Bandos  i think were on to something,,,,,,was going to post KSU as winner but allowed the -9 to sway me the other way,,,,,VCU really put it to Hofstra,,,,,Wake just missed the cover by one bucket,,,,
 
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Posted: #206
But the wake game went OT right - whenever that happens, I see the dog as the winner regardless of the eventual outcome.

Ludawg is on ECU.  I might pass on that one too...
 
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Posted: #207
Quote Originally Posted by semperfi19:

HOME TEAM with the system has been solid :

COLORADO +4

ALSO PLAYING BRADLEY +13.5

PENN STATE +9

TENN STATE +12.5

 

GL GUYS

Nice dude!!!

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
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Posted: #208

agreed the streak system is just that,,,,,,and its foundation must stand as it posts,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,we can modify our plays as we wash,,play them,,ignore them,,etc,,,,,but i want to keep a record of them for next year,,,,,,,,,,,

Damnnn theres alot of games today and if i'm to post them as yesterday,,,,,,it will take 3 hours,,,,,,,so maybe i can just post teams without all the back up,,,,,,,,,,

There are 6 system streak plays that system is stuck on

Memphis,,,Penn,,,NE,,,Evans,,,St Joe,,,,Uconn,,,,,i believe this is all of them

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Formula plays is just the better ATS teams vs opposition

Minn,,,Pitt,,,,S Fla,,,Duke,,Drexel,,,St Johns,,,NC Wilm,,,Wich St,,,EMU,,,Akron,,,CMU,,,G Wash,,,Rich,,,Xavier,,rutg,,,Marsh,,,A Force,,,Texas,,,S Carol,,,Geor,,,Tulsa,,,Tulane,,Houst,,,NW,,,Kans,,,S ILL,,,Clem,,,Dayton,,,Unlv,,Nev,,,,,Davidson,,,,,,,

 
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Posted: #209
now all we need do is select 6 and be done,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
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Posted: #210

Liking Akron alot

 
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Posted: #211
LuDawg is off ECU - they have suspensions.  I'm grabbing Memphis 1h and game for .5u
 
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Posted: #212
Sup Fellas. Love South Florida, Rugters, Virginia, Memphis, Unc, Minnesota and Pitt
 
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Posted: #213
Goaline..  what about Indiana st(4) (fading witchita) and Evansville (5)?
 
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Posted: #214

Just went back over formula plays,,,,,,,,,,,,,heres what i see

St Johns  at home and a PK,,,ATS 7-3-0 vs cinn 3-7-0,,St Johns

NC Wilm at home and +9 with ATS 4-4-0 vs Dom ATS 4-8-0,Nc W

Akron-12 on rd ATS 6-0-1 vs ohio,,ATS 4-5-1,,,,,??? Akron

CMU at Home -9 ats 4-2-0 vs Ball ats 2-6-0,,,,,,,,Cen Mich,,

Richmond -12 at Home ATS 7-4-0 vs Umass ATS 3-4-0,,Richmd

Marsh on rd -2 ATS 6-1-0 vs cfu,,ATS 4-3-0,,,,,Marshall

AF at Home +15.5 ATS 5-2-0 vs BYU ATS 6-5-0,,,,,,,Air Force

S Carol,,at Home -10 ATS 4-40 vs Lsu ATS 1-7-0,,,,,S Carolina

NW at Home +3 ATS 6-1-0 vs Wisc ATS 8-5-0,,,,NW ????

Unlv at home -7 ATS 8-4-0 vs SDS ATS 6-5-0,,,,,,,UNLV

Nev at Home -3 ATS 6-4-0 vs Utah St ATS 3-6-0,,,,Nevada

These appear as the best ATS spreads,,,,,now i need to reduce a few,,,,,but will allow these as formula plays for todays record,,,

 
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Posted: #215
The ATS  posted are results from deducting first weeks ATS rankings of 11/22 from current,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,thus 7 full weeks of play,,
 
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Posted: #216
I took evansville at 15.5.  There is some value in that number, IMO.
 
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Posted: #217

hey Bandos the formula plays went very well yesterday had i just took KSU with the better ATS and not allow the points to matter then they would been the play and another W,,,,I screwed up on that play,, additionally depending on the line you got on Wake you could be a winner and not a loser,,,,,,Hofstra was the only wierd duck of the bunch,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Not bad for just day #2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

 
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Posted: #218

drjf said,,,,,,,,

#213
Posted: 1/13/2010 11:14:24 AM

Goaline..  what about Indiana st(4) (fading witchita) and Evansville (5)?

Missed whichita St at 4-0,,yes first time wager,,,,streak play,,,,

Evansville is listed to cover at 0-5,,as St Joes,,,,

 
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Posted: #219
FYI:  Found this - havent confirmed it.

STARTING POINT GUARD DAMIER PITTS AND THE FIRST TWO FORWARDS OFF THE BENCH ARE ALL OUT TONIGHT VS UCF.

Point guard Damier Pitts, who is averaging 10.2 points and 4.4 assists and shoots 85.7 percent from the foul line, was suspended for violating teams rules and did not make the trip. Jones expects him back for the Herd's home game Saturday against Tulane.
The other two absences are reserves - Tirrell Baines, who is recovering from knee surgery and will miss a few more games, and Antonio Haymon, who did not make the trip with an abdominal infection. Jones said Haymon needs to recover fully from that before returning to the court.
 
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Posted: #220
messed up with Akron as thety are #129 and an ATS of 6-5-1,,,and on week ending 11/22 they were 0-3-1,,,,so they actually are currently,,,,,,,6-2-0 vs Ohio at ATS adjustment 4-5-1,, they still look very good shedding those 3 loses back on week #1 11/22/09
 
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Posted: #221
My card so far:
Evansville 1u
CFL 1u
Memp 1u
Bama 1u
NE 1u (for my betting strat 4-0 fades trump 6-0 fades - either way, I'll get my money back on one or the other if De somehow covers on the road (this also happens to coincide with a rule I have - never bet on DE on the road)

I don't play 0-4 teams as historically they have not been profitable.  They HAVE been this year so far, I see a regression to the mean
SO

No play on Char or UTEP. 

I consider a Push a streak breaker so no play on St Joes for me.

Gotta give props to UNC4, he is on Pitt and and Wich ST so they are no plays for me as well.

I am still undecided on Penn.  Wish I was getting the 22 that I should be.  There is nothing basketball related that leads me to Penn.  Maybe the big 5 and temple's tempo will eventaully lead me bet Penn and only lose by 15.

GL everyone with your wagers...
 
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Posted: #222

scrub Marshall,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Marsh on rd -2 ATS 6-1-0 vs cfu,,ATS 4-3-0,,,,,Marshall

Just finished tomorrows plays and a damnn big # of them to boot,,,loving this formula  ATS adjustment ,,,Not letting points change my play,,,,,,

Cm on System streak plays lets get those covers,,,,,,,,

 
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Posted: #223
Quote Originally Posted by BandosWB:

But the wake game went OT right - whenever that happens, I see the dog as the winner regardless of the eventual outcome.

Ludawg is on ECU.  I might pass on that one too...
Not sure if Ludawg is on ECU. Posted something about suspensions. Check out his thread. BOL
 
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Posted: #224
nice calls yesterday semperfi. I was 2-2, How ya doing Bob? I kinda like witchita tonite. I know that Indy st team well.
 
 
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Posted: #225

Izzy,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

had a very good day yest with  comb streak plays and formula plays,,,,,,,,,,and N Iowa and Baylor tanked ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

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