::Wednesday:: 3/4 (270-270-0) -33.4 units

1* 232-229

2* 29-31

3* 7-8

4* 1-1

5* 1-1

1* Jacksonville Dolphins +1.5

Revenge from the only regular season meeting.  Since Feb 11th the Dolphins are 3-3, but their losses are by a combined 11 points.  They've been very competitive as of late, winning their last two.  This tournament is being played in Jacksonville, so they will be sleeping in their own beds.  They will certainly have the crowd.  Bellarmine can't stop anyone, and just put up 111 on Austin Peay who finished tied atop the ASUN.  So regression is expected from the Knights. 

1* Stetson Hatters +4.5

Stetson has seen the EKU press once already, in the only meeting this year (EKU win by 12 @ EKU).  They should know how to break it, without turning it over, and that is all you have to do to score on EKU.  Beat the pressure, and get whatever you want. Stetson shoots the ball from the outside very well, and defend the arc better than anyone in the ASUN.  They can certainly pull off this upset, but I'll take the points to be safe. 

1* Louisiana/James Madison Under 133.5

The Cajuns are one of the slowest teams in the country, and played last night, in a surprisingly offensive game. JMU will play slow with them, but I'm not sure where the Cajuns points come from.  The JMU defense is tops in the Sun Belt when it comes to making you put the ball in the basket.  Louisiana comes in at 334th in the country in effective FG%.  It appears over 80% of the money so far is on the over in this game, and the total dropped, so that's always a pretty good tell too. 

1* Butler Bulldogs -1.5

Senior night, and what is likely Thad Mattas last game as the coach of Butler, I think Hinkle will be ROCKIN.  It's already a tough place to play, but tonight should be a little extra.  Creighton has burned me many times this year, so I have no problem fading them either.  I don't think it's McDermotts fault completely, but the transfers that came in never lived up to expectations for the Jays.  This is Creightons last game of the season, and they can only improve their seeding if DePaul loses both of their remaining games.  I don't see the motivation for the Jays tonight.

1* Indiana Hoosiers -6.5

I'm playing the alt line of -9.5 @ +138 too.  I think this is a smash spot.  IU senior night for all 5 starters, and their 6th man.  The Hoosiers have dropped 4 straight (3 of them to top 8 KenPom teams), so they are ready to beat the shit out of someone.  Assembly Hall will be as loud as its been all year, and the Hoosiers get redemption from their first loss of the year way back in December.  Minny is coming off a big UCLA win too.

Evening games coming in a few hours

Good luck STL 

Keep it rolling Heels ... 

@STLTarHeels

 Regression from Bellarmine?? Of course there willbe regression they scored 111 points lmao..if anything they are confident offensively..A home crowd for Jacksonville??? Nobody shows up for these games at 11 a.m…horrible capping 

270-270  better than most!  GL

1* Northern Kentucky/Oakland Under 161.5

The Norse have the most efficient defense in the horizon, and have seen this team twice already. The totals came in at 141 and 159. Kampe is going run that zone out there, that forces teams to make perimeter shots, and the Norse don't do that very well. Tournament games bring a different level of intensity, and nerves.  That benefits defenses. 

1* UAB Blazers -2.5

This is a big game when it comes to seeding, as these teams are tied currently.  But I think they are headed in opposite directions.  UAB has won 6 of the last 9, while Charlotte has lost 5 of their last 7, after starting the season 7-2 in conference.  Andy kennedy is clearly the better coach in this game, and I like coaches who have played in high pressure games before.  He fits the bill, and Fearne does not. 

1* Georgia Tech Yellowjackets +2.5

Cal has lost the first leg of every road trip east this year.  No reason to fade that now.  This is likely Stoudamires last game as the coach of the Wreck, it's their senior night.  They've lost 10 straight, so they are bound to jump up and catch someone before it's all over.  May as well be tonight. 

1* Gardner Webb Runnin Bulldogs +10.5

The Dogs have one conference win on the year, and it was over this Upstate squad.  They just played the rematch in the season finale, and Upstate got their revenge in a 10 pt win.  To win by double digits in a third meeting, despite how bad Webb is, seems to be way to much of an ask. 

1* Penn St Nittany Lions +7.5

Ohio St is coming off the win of the year @ home vs Purdue.  They host IU for Senior Night next.  That's a bad middle spot.  Penn St just beat Iowa on this floor, now it's their senior night, and no look ahead to Rutgers.  Penn St can very much win this game. 

1* DePaul Blue Demons +2.5

Revenge on the table, and DePaul has won 4 of the last 5.  CJ Gunn can carry this Demon team, and he's shown that.  It's his senior night, and I know he's gonna put his guys on his back one last time.  They lost the first matchup by 5, after being up by 5 with 7mins to play.  They should want this one pretty bad. 

1* USC Trojans +5.5

USC has lost 5 straight, and they have the whole Baker-Mazara debacle past them.  This is the one game bump, where everyone plays up a little bit after they lose their best player.  I think USC goes into Washington, in a spot where they desperately need a quad 1 win, and they get it, but the points are comforting.