WED HOOPS 151

well in a slump for sure, having some close losses but some bad plays also  

today i am going to try EKY at home vs Austin peay  my 1st thought here was AP on the road but then i started looking into it and am just going to go by this team EKY lost at Austin Peay earlier this year by 2 points 72-74 , in that game EKY had the lead most of the 2nd half, and it was a 1 point game in the last few minutes....now in that game austin peay took 61 shots to just 49 for EKY, reason for the extra shots was 16 offensive rebounds to just 8 for EKY, and they had 17 to's to just 10 for AP, so EKY should play better at home, now EKY did shoot very well on the road 57%  and they were 48% from 3 11/23 and EKY was just 5/9 at the ft line  and AP shot 44% at home 27/61  they were 7/21 from 3  33% and were 13/17 at the line and they won the game in the last minute , again i am willing to try a team at home who just lost on the road vs the same team 4 games ago, i just think teams have a good memory, and i am sure the coach knows why they lost a game that maybe they should have won, and now at home hopefully they can correct things and get the win .....  i do not see injuries ..i have done well using this type of capping , twice as many ft's many more shots, at home and yet they could have lost, i am sure they covered  ill try it 

EKY +2.5  -120  

going to take Cinncy today also at home vs Baylor, looking at this game Baylor is really struggling lately ( like me lol ) losing their last 3 and 6 of their last 7 , what worries me is that Baylor is a good team, they have been playing just 7 players deep even earlier when they were beating some good teams , but they do not have a deep bench, and when playing good teams or conf games they have not done well just 1-6 str up and 1-6 ats  but Cinncy too is only 2-5 str up in conf, and 3-4 ats  so some worry there, if they get into foul trouble it hurts them bigtime   but i have to take cinncy here at home, they have to get this game because they go to Houston next , Baylor stays on the road and goes to WV   i think Cinncy gets this game by 7+   Cinncy is 9-1 str up as a home fav ..Baylor is 0-2 str up as an away dog and 0-2 ats   i do like that Cinncy has a +15 score margin at home, and they do move the ball well avg 18 assist a game at home, and cinncy has to try and get the offensive rebound advantage here, as Baylor does well away  this could be very important  , and Cinncy is forcing almost 16 to's a game at home and Baylor only 9 away  

Cinn -2.5 -127  

Gl rum 

oakland at IPFW  total is 164  line is Oakland -1.5  interesting game as these 2 scored 193 pts last game no overtimes, they scored 108 in 2nd half  85 1st half  these 2 have a lot of assist as in that game Oakland had 25 and IPFW 19   oakland took 66 shots and IPFW took 68  they each shot over 41% from 3  and Oakland shot 53% and 47% for IPFW  i think this could be an OVER here  line seems to of stayed at 164 , now IPFW had 2 guys score 55 of their points and Oakland was really balanced they had 5 players in double digits and one scored 27 , Oakland had a 9 pt lead at half and they won by 9 and Oakland really never lead by more than 10 or less than 6 , all through 2nd half  ..last 3 games Oakland is avg 89 pts a game and giving up 84, and IPFW last 3 are avg 87 pts and giving up 77   i see no injuries but who knows  

just thinking out loud   gl 

another possible OVER is IU Indy at Robert Morris  these 2 scored almost 190 last game as IU Indy won at home 96-93 , and last 3 games IU Indy is avg 92 pts a game and they give up 86, last 3 RM is avg 82 pts a game and they give up about 78   away IU Indy is avg 83 pts and giving up 94 , both these teams are very good on assist as each avg 19 a game home and away, both are shooting really well , Hard rock has this at 158.5  i really like this OVER as a play  see no reason why RM should not score 88-92 pts, and i do think IUI should not get to at least 80 also  i see this getting to 170 at least   

Over 158.5 R Morris game  

gl 151

@RUM151

 R/151......here's to a solid winning evening buddy.....

BOL with your action......indy

I'm right there with you on RMU/IUPUI.

Good luck Rum 

I am also taking Georgia at home +1 i think this has went to georgia being favored now  but one worry i have here is the center for Georgia, he has to stay out of foul trouble and to not get a flagrant foul, i have noticed he sometimes has issues with that, but Georgia has lost the last 5 to Tennessee, none were really close, this is their shot to correct that i think and Tennessee does have Jalen Carey ? tonight he is avg 19 mins  9 pts and he is the leading rebounder for them at 6.37 a game  him and Dalen Brown both avg 6.37  ...Tennessee is just 1-3 str up away this year and 1-3 ats and Georgia is 11-1 str up at home , and they are 3-0 ats after a loss this year, possible OVER here maybe also at 159, if Georgia gets the pace they want this will go over, but i also think they can win even if they score just like 80 , at home they are avg 101 pts a game, i do not think they get there, but very possible to get 86+ , last 3 games Tennessee is avg 81 pts and giving up 78, if georgia can shoot their avg os 48% or better they should win i am hoping they can do 51% as long as Cyril can stay out of foul trouble they have a real shot here,  

Georgia +1  

seems like many are on Lehigh and i have to agree, i am doing a 2 team parlay here, and i am going to go along with others here and add Lehigh ml -135 and i am adding Charlotte over Temple , who i may add as a str up if for some reason Lehigh does not win, Charlotte has been playing well away, they lost at home to temple earlier 76-73 in a game where they had more offensive rebounds but they just did not shoot as wel as they can, one of their main scorers had an off night Ben Bradford who avg's 14 pts had just 8 on 6 shots , temple shot 51% and 50% from 3 but only 64% from the ft line where they missed 9 ft's , Charlotte shot 44% and just 29% from 3  thats where they lost the game i think, they shot 86% at the ft line, now Charlotte has won their last 3 road games , hopefully with the revenge thing going on and they have won last 3 on the road that they feel like they can win this one, i think the line is pointing to them also here  i am raising it to +6.5 for the parlay and its paying +180 

Lehigh ml/Charlotte +6.5  +180 

a Lean here to Boston U at home vs Navy , Navy has been playing well only losing 1 game in their last 12 , but only laying 2.5 on the road at boston, boston has played well at home , even in their losses they have been really close , they lost at home to Lehigh 91-93 lost at home to american 62-64, they lost at Navy earlier 77-82 and in that game they actually took more shots than Navy as they were 29/59  49% and 9/24 from 3 38% but were just 10/12 at the ft line 83%  and Navy shot 25/53 47%  were 10/25 from 3 40% and were 22/30 at the line  they took 18 more ft's and made 12 more and won by 5 ..another game maybe where Boston feels they could have won, now at home as a dog maybe they can win this   just thinking out loud again   also Boston is shooting really well at home this year as they are shooting the 3 at 41% and the 2 at 61% and shooting 52% overall at home and Navy is shooting 30% from 3 away and 47% from 2 away, and overall 42% away  so some big diff's there  

 info 

ok adding Murray st -2 -120  Murray st should be happy to get back home finally as they lost their last 2 games both away, but before that winning 12 straight, and Illinois st has lost their last 3 away game str up , and Illinois st has won the last 3 between these 2 , and Murray st has a +18 score margin at home, avg 88 pts a game and giving up just 70  and they shoot the ball really well at home also , now only worry i have is that this line is just 2.5 , maybe because illinois st has won last 3 but i had this at 4.5-5  only worry but i do think they win this by 7+ just based on Home play and illinois st struggling away   

Murray st -2  

gl 151

W.Georgia at Bellarmine  heres another one, Bellarmine lost earlier at WGA 87-85 they fell behind by 15 at half and lost by 2 , they were within 2-3 points the last 3+ minutes so they had chances  crazy stat is that W Georgia took 72 shots making 29 and Bellarmine took only 50 shots making 29 , so 22 more shots mostly off of offensive rebounds which bellarmine had just 5 offensive boards and WGA had 18 and Bellarmine made just 4 3's and WGA made 12  Bellarmine had an edge at thew ft line making 23/34  and WGA was 17/21  rare to give up 22 more shots and lose by 2 just the missed ft's could have won the game for Bellarmine   but now Bellarmine is -4.5 at home , and they have played 7 of their last 9 on the road so maybe happy to be home  and WGA has lost their last 3 on the road and 4 of 5...WGA has a -14 score margin away this year, and Bellarmine shoots so much better at home than WGA does away  they shoot the 2 at 63% and away WGA shoots the 2 at 42%  over all WGA shoots 39% away and Bellarmine shoots 52% at home  with the huge comeback falling short late on the road this could be another game a team feels they could have won, losing close and now at home   thinking of teasing for sure 

adding 2 teasers   

i like American -4.5  and i like Xavier  i am teasing both  American -pk/Xavier+10.5  1 unit 

also teasing Belmont -pk/Bellarmine -pk   1 unit 

gl 151

ML parlay G town/LSU  +104  1 unit  liking G town - the points but i think both win their games  

parlay  +104  

@RUM151

 I like the Robert Morris/IU-Indianapolis over. Let's fucking go, sir!

5 team ml parlay  tulsa ml/FIU ml/Marshall ml/Auburn Ml/USF ml/  +362  

0ver 157 Queens  

EKY now +3  

Murray st -2

Over 158.5 R Morris 

Cinncy -2.5 

Georgia +1 

Miami Fl over 78.5 TT

parlay G town ml/LSU ML +104 

parlay Lehigh ml/charlotte +6.5 

teaser American pk/Xavier +10.5 

teaser belmont/pk /Bellarmine pk  

gl  151

opinions Butler+13  Miami fl -8  american -4.5  Xavier +6.5   

@RUM151

I enjoy your writeups.  I know it's a lot of work, and underappreciated.  

I do my own sides without regard to any other capper's picks BUT I am curious about totals, props, parlays and teasers which I don't handicap myself but often play a small bet even though I do not post....

@fubah2

 Not me right now. This week is bad

This is how bad. I had Austin peay actually bet and changed my mind.  Need to just put str bets in. Tonight loved Xavier.  Fkn Georgia  they are playing bad. The over queens was good  cinncy. Might be it. Like grown. No more parlays or props. Can't even hit. Throwing all my money from fb playoffs away I swear....

Changes coming. 

NCAA basketball is a hit and run sport…At least for me! Gl2u

BOL rum! 

Get hot!