WED HOOPS 151

well off a 3-2  night winning both teasers  losing small parlay  , made some money about 2 units  , teasers are doing really well this year , 37-15 on 2 team teasers   my parlays were doing well also  I have laid off those but early on was doing well with them, last night took Rhode island and NC AT who lost   

YTD 148-111  but did go 0-7 over 2 days and was Told I was 7 games below .500 for the 1st 9 days of December  by my one true troll, which means that 0-7 2 days put me below .500 for the month  , it was crushing to learn that...lol  any rough spot and he is right there to inform me.. weird huh?   oh well   

see if we can turn things around a little   looking at the Weber st at KC game tonight  ,, Weber st -4  they have struggled on the road so far going 0-4 str up but have played some decent teams on the road losing by 3 at Utah, by 10 at Utah st, and by 9 at UC Irvine, those were 3 games in a row early this year, then they lost their last game a couple of days ago at St Thomas by 23 and that was expected as St Thomas is very good at home winning like 23 str games now, but I think this could be a good spot for Weber st to get their 1st road win, now they are 3-1 ATS on the road this year, and as a favorite they are 3-1 ATS , and they are 4-0 ATS after a loss, 

 KC is 0-8 str up as a dog this year, and they are 1-7 ATS this year, and 0-2 ATS as a home dog this year,   

Weber st averages about 80 pts a game giving up 78, and  KC is avg 65 pts a game and gives up 85, Weber States eff shooting % is about 52% to 44.4% fir KC, Weber is shooting 46.3% to 40.8%  Weber is shooting the 3 at 33% to about 26% for KC, Weber is shooting the 2 at 53% to 48.5% for KC, they avg more assist, avg about 7 more rebounds a game, and a few more offensive also, about 3 fewer to's a game, they avg about 3 more shots a game and make about 5 more a game,  they make about 3 more 3's a game on average also, 

these 2 just played this year at Weber st with Weber winning 82-61 at home and Weber had 13 more rebounds in that game, each team shot about the same amount of shots 55 and 56, Weber shot 53% to 43% they made 4 more 3's and 7 more ft's and took about 6 more ft's in that game so nothing huge there, and Weber had a few more to's in that game, just think this could be a good spot for Weber st to get their 1st road win , they should shoot well, and should control the boards somewhat , they also had 18 assist to 12 for KC in that game, 

Weber st has been in most of their games except the last one, they lost to Texas Arlington by 1 at home , lost by 3 at Utah, by 9 at Irvine and by 10 at Utah st , KC has lost both home games Iona beat them by 14 and Idaho st beat them by 9  I hope Weber can win by 5  nothing is ever easy it seems ..lol  anyway I am going to go with them here and lay the 4 points on the road    thinking a 8+ pt win

Weber st -4  

gl 151   any thoughts always welcomed   

I am kind of looking at the Over in the Liberty/NC st game also, you got 2 teams averaging over 80 pts a game on offense NC st 89 pts and Liberty80 pts,  and Liberty is giving up just 68 and NC st about 75, both teams are shooting the ball very well, Liberty's effective shooting is 62% and NC st is 58%, Liberty is shooting 52.6% to 50% for NC st, they each make about 30 shots a game and each make about 11 3's a game, both are scoring in the 1st half also with Liberty avg 42 pts and NC st 39 pts, this will be Liberty's 1st true road game, the line is 13 seems like a lot, its all going to depend on how they shoot, the total is 151.5 just think this could go over , with the Big points spread I think they are expecting NC st to get theirs, but if Liberty shoots their avg this should go over , if Liberty can get to 72+ this goes over, maybe less if NC st wins big going to be interesting to see which way this total moves  , I am going to wait and see  

87-74 type of game  

Looking into Boston U at home laying 7 to Maine  Maine has struggled so far, and Boston U can shoot the ball well, they shoot the 3 at 405 but Maine only gives up 28% from 3 , but at Home Boston shoots really well , Maine avg's 59 pts a game away and Boston avg;s 84 pts at home, they shoot the 3 at home at 46% to 32% away for Maine, Boston shoots the 2 at home at 64% Maine away 50%, Boston averages 20 assist at home, and Maine 8 assist away, Maine is avg almost 16 to's away and Boston just 11 at home , last 3 games Boston U is shooting the 3 at 45% and at home they shoot 55% and Maine is shooting 43% away, and Maine only shoots ft's at 58% to 76% for Boston U just looks like a game Boston should be able to control, and ya have to like the ft shooting, I Mean Maine avg's 58 pts a game and gives up 72 and Boston is avg 84 a game and gives up about 80 but Maine has not scored over 65 pts a game this year and that was just once, line is -7  7.5  looking at it id have to favor Boston U here to win by about 11+  77-65   total is 130.5  Boston U is 3-0 OVER as a favorite this year , and Maine is 4-3 OVER away this year  HardRock has no line yet but Bet online has -7.5 -110  I do not think this drops  I like this OVER too   going to wait a little while see if this moves early this morning 

Your fingers must be aching/tired typing so much!! lol.. there has to be a shorter way to convey your point.. GL and keep grinding..!!

@JASON3958

 Only on covers do you find someone to actually b*tch about a "long" write up...

Good luck Rum.  

And they are usually prospects. ...lol. its personal with them when they attack me.....as you see they bitch about buying a half pt or a point....when there are people who post in here everyday that take teams that are -2.5. Or 3.5 and they post a play at moneyline....lol. which are at -150 or -170 even....and team -3 is like -160 ml. And yet they don't not go on their threads saying anything....its just personal with them to attack me...lol. and once that is understood it pretty much shows that its all bullshit what he post all the time about ROI. or juice or whatever.    Just looked at 1 thread people betting SD st ml last night that was like -240. I'm all for anyone betting anyway they want, ...anyone should understand that anytime u got someone trying to teach you how to bet, yet they never post a play, and that anyone would listen to an idiot like that, is crazy.   To post plays is one thing, to post with some type of reasoning is another....and their chance to argue with you on the pick is given, they could post reasons to go against, but they dont....but if you lose?? They are right there to say what a shifty pick...lol. well you had time to post your reasons against....but they didn't.  Why?  Cause they are scared....most likely they have no reason why.  Armchair QB. always easy to post after the fact.  And think people will listen...lol

Weber st was 1st game to stick out to me

Leans towards Notre Dame, W Kentucky, Eastern Michigan, and Fresno St

like Purdue and Tulsa bigger lines

Good Luck Rum!

@RUM151

 This prospect loves the write ups and picks 

@SourSausage

 I appreciate write ups. It shows the person has done his homework. 

@RUM151

 Maine last covered my first time I played against them…..just saying.    I’m a horrible picker.    

Good luck Rum 

Just keep grinding, friend. Most people know what you are all about. If I had to pick one person to break down a game and give a perspective, it would be you.

I've seen some smart people on Nebraska. Do you see anything there? Good luck today.

@River_fish

 Nebraska destroyed Creighton at home. Wisconsin better than Creighton, but by how much. This Nebraska offense is legit, and they are tough at home.

Good luck 151

well was up late   and almost fell asleep here at the computer   did get Boston U -7 -120  , I see this has now went to 8 and I was correct  was not going down  wonder if bellsboy had an opinion on that?  he will afterward that's for sure  

Boston U -7 -120   I think 8 should be good also   why I wrote this last night   in years past as many remember I use to post almost all my plays before 4 am and always getting the better lines, cant bitch if ya wait  or claim I am paying -300 juice , lol  you get my point  people can see what the line was to what it is now  

boston U -7  

also I think the over did go up but that happened after I fell asleep, I am still going with it  at over 152.5 which is what it is right this moment at HardRock  

Over 152.5 Liberty/NC st   

gl 151   

I belong to several betting sites KC/Weber st is 6.5 everywhere I see it I guess many are going with Weber but that 4 is no longer oit there

@SourSausage

 lol

@Mskeets

 I'm telling ya  you scare me...lol    I only think I can jinx stuff  or some people that just expect to lose.....  I got some people that have followed me for years, and I have a guy that follows me and every FB season will email me and say he loaded his account going to play just my games, and as in hoops I started out great in football  was +40 bets above .500 in college   and he was doing well  I didn't know it but he went and paid ACE over at RX 250.00 for his picks and then all of a sudden one day I get an email saying brother I am done again, I was following you doing well up over 2 grand , then I sent him money and started betting 500 to 1000 a game again, because I had him on just betting a regular amount, he is an action guy  anyway he went through 9000.00 in 2 weeks and was done  I felt bad for him  and you can go check I have nothing against someone selling picks if people are going to send money, I mean , in years past I could have, but if i ever did I would have a thing that is I didn't go like 52% which is like breaking even, I would give all fee's back  , but his post are up he has had a very bad year so far  I mean 20-25 grand , and that's what's weird  I got a guy here pointing out I am 7 games below .500 in the 1st 9 days of december  , the guy at the RX has lost over????? ..well here is the record

@flutie

 both these offenses are pretty good, I was liking the over in this  , but I could bet either side, without looking into it which I have not done yet, Wisconsin is a pretty good team too, this was 1st game I looked at  and could not get a lean....but looking at it now and seeing the 3 points swing as Nebraska was +1 now -2  home team has won and covered the last 4 , they are almost identical in everything , this is Wisc's 1st true road game also  , I like Wisconsin better, but in this game I would lean home team, and the OVER  I think  have to look at it a bit more 

@Trinkster

 oh I knew that last night  that's why I am going to start looking at games the night before like I always did, if you can guess where the lines will go it really helps  you either bet right away or you might wait if you think it will help ya to wait that's why I bet that right away   and then hit Boston U early AM , Hardrock is a diff book in ways...in FB this year they would have lines that were diff with same juice   I mean you could get a team +7.5 -110 +8 -115 +8.5 -115n+9 -120 +9.5 -120  then +10 -125  and if your liking the dog in my opinion why take +7.5 -110 when you could get +10  -125  I pointed these lines out a lot this year in FB

@RUM151

 it would not let me post his post showing how much he is down this year   its a lot   last Sundayi think 0-5  at 2 dimes a game 

Action………………………4-7…………………..-2759.00
Investment……………….29-37………………-20,059.00
Total …………………..…..33-44……………….-22,818.00

and I am told about being 7 games below .500  and I am above for the year , hey names that attack me  here ya go  go save them, like ya told me, saving others from me ...lol  actual words typed   lol  

over 148 Baylor I think they get over 87 TT  but trying this over small play  just because 

over 148 baylor