starting a thread so i have something to look at i guess..
FRI 12.16
2* Wash -7...coming home with almost a week rest after the road trip to put up some points. UCSBs 2nd game of their first road trip of the season. I don't think they can keep up.
2* Idaho St/Utah o125...a case of 2 horrible teams who can't play defense. their offenses really aren't that bad so they should like the chance to let loose against weak opponents and score a little. thanks to the public under for dropping the line and giving value.
1* Cal -15.5 and 1* WebSt/Cal u66.5 1H...total might go over or not, i have no idea Weber St could adjust 2nd half and backdoor cover, hoping not, but I think they will at least struggle out of the gate.
starting a thread so i have something to look at i guess..
FRI 12.16
2* Wash -7...coming home with almost a week rest after the road trip to put up some points. UCSBs 2nd game of their first road trip of the season. I don't think they can keep up.
2* Idaho St/Utah o125...a case of 2 horrible teams who can't play defense. their offenses really aren't that bad so they should like the chance to let loose against weak opponents and score a little. thanks to the public under for dropping the line and giving value.
1* Cal -15.5 and 1* WebSt/Cal u66.5 1H...total might go over or not, i have no idea Weber St could adjust 2nd half and backdoor cover, hoping not, but I think they will at least struggle out of the gate.
FRI 12.16 2* Wash -7...coming home with almost a week rest after the road trip to put up some points. UCSBs 2nd game of their first road trip of the season. I don't think they can keep up. Hit your free throws!! 2* Idaho St/Utah o125...a case of 2 horrible teams who can't play defense. their offenses really aren't that bad so they should like the chance to let loose against weak opponents and score a little. thanks to the public under for dropping the line and giving value. Didn't kill it by any means but it covered even without the 4pt line drop.
1* Cal -15.5 and 1* WebSt/Cal u66.5 1H...total might go over or not, i have no idea Weber St could adjust 2nd half and backdoor cover, hoping not, but I think they will at least struggle out of the gate. Cal takes care of business even with the nation's leader scorer having his worst output of the season. Helped WebSt missed a lot of makeable shots.
W 1.3 0.5* 3-teamer...Wash -7 / IdSt/Utah o125 / Web/Cal u66.5 1H The push pays for 2 teams...i'll take it.
FRI 12.16 2* Wash -7...coming home with almost a week rest after the road trip to put up some points. UCSBs 2nd game of their first road trip of the season. I don't think they can keep up. Hit your free throws!! 2* Idaho St/Utah o125...a case of 2 horrible teams who can't play defense. their offenses really aren't that bad so they should like the chance to let loose against weak opponents and score a little. thanks to the public under for dropping the line and giving value. Didn't kill it by any means but it covered even without the 4pt line drop.
1* Cal -15.5 and 1* WebSt/Cal u66.5 1H...total might go over or not, i have no idea Weber St could adjust 2nd half and backdoor cover, hoping not, but I think they will at least struggle out of the gate. Cal takes care of business even with the nation's leader scorer having his worst output of the season. Helped WebSt missed a lot of makeable shots.
W 1.3 0.5* 3-teamer...Wash -7 / IdSt/Utah o125 / Web/Cal u66.5 1H The push pays for 2 teams...i'll take it.
1* Indiana St +10.5...Indiana St will shoot a lot more 3s at Vandy than
they've seen so far this season so they should see some open shots and
hopefully are knocking them down. They've been shooting better as of
late so I hope that continues. Wish I woulda looked at the game earlier
to get a better number but oh well. I see with the exception of a
14-pt oregon victory, vandy has won their other three lined games by 2,
4, & 7 so they don't exactly put teams away at the end. Indiana St
should fight to the end also so I like at least a cover here, if not
SU. Not to mention, I was looking at Vandy's team page and noticed
their headlines...just depressing. This is their top headlines in
order: 'without depth, experience not quite enough for vandy'; 'vandy,
louisville look to exploit each others' obvious vulnerabilities'; 'vandy
beats monmouth on superior talent, not effort'; 'vandy loses top 20
bball prospect to kentucky'....wow that even depresses me if those your
top headlines. you're not gonna beat indiana st on pure talent in this
one boys.
2* BoiseSt/Denver o128 & 1* BoiseSt +4.5...These teams' defenses give up about an average of 127 but that's too inferior teams. If you remove ranked opponents, both of these teams are better than other opponents they've each faced. They both allow teams to shoot high percentages and they should get into a shootout. Maybe i'm missing something but i like this game to go to 140.
Denver's opponents haven't shot the ball from 3pt land near as much this year as Boise will, maybe with the exception of Cal (who destroyed 'em) so can Boise rebound with a week's rest from a horrible shooting performance at LSU? I think so. Despite not seeing many 3s this year, Denver is allowing their opponents to penetrate and put up points anyways with a 6-1 O/U record. When I put it like that 127 sure sounds like a trap..but nevertheless 50% still like the under and are driving the total even lower so I'm hoping jokes on them.
Damn...as I was writing this, the total already jumped back up to 128 so I took that quick. more edit...the total is now moving to 128.5 and overs up to 56% bets so looks like the late bettors are turning this around...hopefully those would be the 'sharp' bettors. making me feel good about this total tho.
2* Jac St...Playing a familiar team...it's always a close game so with 6 days rest they know a tough game is coming and they should be ready coming home from a long road trip. They've seen their opponents chuck plenty of 3s just as EKy has on the road this year so no surprises for them there. I think Jac St is finally ready to be the favorite in this conference matchup.
1* Indiana St +10.5...Indiana St will shoot a lot more 3s at Vandy than
they've seen so far this season so they should see some open shots and
hopefully are knocking them down. They've been shooting better as of
late so I hope that continues. Wish I woulda looked at the game earlier
to get a better number but oh well. I see with the exception of a
14-pt oregon victory, vandy has won their other three lined games by 2,
4, & 7 so they don't exactly put teams away at the end. Indiana St
should fight to the end also so I like at least a cover here, if not
SU. Not to mention, I was looking at Vandy's team page and noticed
their headlines...just depressing. This is their top headlines in
order: 'without depth, experience not quite enough for vandy'; 'vandy,
louisville look to exploit each others' obvious vulnerabilities'; 'vandy
beats monmouth on superior talent, not effort'; 'vandy loses top 20
bball prospect to kentucky'....wow that even depresses me if those your
top headlines. you're not gonna beat indiana st on pure talent in this
one boys.
2* BoiseSt/Denver o128 & 1* BoiseSt +4.5...These teams' defenses give up about an average of 127 but that's too inferior teams. If you remove ranked opponents, both of these teams are better than other opponents they've each faced. They both allow teams to shoot high percentages and they should get into a shootout. Maybe i'm missing something but i like this game to go to 140.
Denver's opponents haven't shot the ball from 3pt land near as much this year as Boise will, maybe with the exception of Cal (who destroyed 'em) so can Boise rebound with a week's rest from a horrible shooting performance at LSU? I think so. Despite not seeing many 3s this year, Denver is allowing their opponents to penetrate and put up points anyways with a 6-1 O/U record. When I put it like that 127 sure sounds like a trap..but nevertheless 50% still like the under and are driving the total even lower so I'm hoping jokes on them.
Damn...as I was writing this, the total already jumped back up to 128 so I took that quick. more edit...the total is now moving to 128.5 and overs up to 56% bets so looks like the late bettors are turning this around...hopefully those would be the 'sharp' bettors. making me feel good about this total tho.
2* Jac St...Playing a familiar team...it's always a close game so with 6 days rest they know a tough game is coming and they should be ready coming home from a long road trip. They've seen their opponents chuck plenty of 3s just as EKy has on the road this year so no surprises for them there. I think Jac St is finally ready to be the favorite in this conference matchup.
1* Indiana St +10.5...SU win 2* BoiseSt/Denver o128...over 140 as expected 1* BoiseSt +4.5...denver shot amazing 2* Jac St -2...close game as expected but they couldn't quite pull her off.
1* Indiana St +10.5...SU win 2* BoiseSt/Denver o128...over 140 as expected 1* BoiseSt +4.5...denver shot amazing 2* Jac St -2...close game as expected but they couldn't quite pull her off.
1* W Illinois +100...WI's opponents at 44% for 3PA to FGA in theory says it must be hard to penetrate on them so opp's settle for 3-ball. Ill-Chi's opponents only at 24% for 3PA to FGA tells me no need for the 3 b/c it's easy to penetrate. just a theory, no idea if it makes sense, but since WI doesn't rely heavily on the 3, I think they'll have a solid night of running their offense.
1* WI/Ill-Chi u122...Ill-Chi has been overachieving all year with 7-1 O/U record. I think they'll have to force outside shots meanwhile WI keeps it slow on their end making every possession count. Really thought I'd get a better total out of this but can't ignore it. like the under.
1* W Illinois +100...WI's opponents at 44% for 3PA to FGA in theory says it must be hard to penetrate on them so opp's settle for 3-ball. Ill-Chi's opponents only at 24% for 3PA to FGA tells me no need for the 3 b/c it's easy to penetrate. just a theory, no idea if it makes sense, but since WI doesn't rely heavily on the 3, I think they'll have a solid night of running their offense.
1* WI/Ill-Chi u122...Ill-Chi has been overachieving all year with 7-1 O/U record. I think they'll have to force outside shots meanwhile WI keeps it slow on their end making every possession count. Really thought I'd get a better total out of this but can't ignore it. like the under.
1* UCSB +10...Cal hasn't seen a decent team in 2 weeks. I think UCSB can surprise em. Looks like there's also a reverse line movement on UCSB which is cool. Both teams should look to penetrate and take good shots up and down the court so was leaning toward the over but that also has a RLM play on the under which is wierd...74% bets over according to SI but line drops 1.5. i guess that makes it a no play :shrug:
1* UCSB +10...Cal hasn't seen a decent team in 2 weeks. I think UCSB can surprise em. Looks like there's also a reverse line movement on UCSB which is cool. Both teams should look to penetrate and take good shots up and down the court so was leaning toward the over but that also has a RLM play on the under which is wierd...74% bets over according to SI but line drops 1.5. i guess that makes it a no play :shrug:
1.1* W Illinois +100...ouch, with the lead turn the ball over with 13 seconds left and UIC completes a 10-1 run at the end of the game to win by a pt. shoulda payed the juice and took +1.5. sick way to lose.
1.1* W Illinois +100...ouch, with the lead turn the ball over with 13 seconds left and UIC completes a 10-1 run at the end of the game to win by a pt. shoulda payed the juice and took +1.5. sick way to lose.
2* Depaul -3.5...Cal Poly has
overachieved thus far being able to play their pace. I don't think
Depaul will let them do that and they'll run away at the end.
1* La-Laf +1...seems worth it to try a huge RLM play here with 82% ucf and line 2 to 1. ucf has been playing nothing but cupcakes lately so maybe hitting the road they come out flat against a little bit better team.
1* Alabama -9.5...first time unranked this season gives some motivation. OKSt has been horrible on neutral courts and I don't see why it should change tonight against a motivated and hopefully refocused Bama team.
2* Depaul -3.5...Cal Poly has
overachieved thus far being able to play their pace. I don't think
Depaul will let them do that and they'll run away at the end.
1* La-Laf +1...seems worth it to try a huge RLM play here with 82% ucf and line 2 to 1. ucf has been playing nothing but cupcakes lately so maybe hitting the road they come out flat against a little bit better team.
1* Alabama -9.5...first time unranked this season gives some motivation. OKSt has been horrible on neutral courts and I don't see why it should change tonight against a motivated and hopefully refocused Bama team.
3* LSU/NTex o127...linesmakers have overestimated the totals on both teams all year with 2-7 & 0-6 U/O records. Now they come out with the lowest total of either team all season not to mention this looks like a game that could go at a snail's pace so bettors see this and are driving the total lower and lower as we speak. I see a lot of value in the over no matter what the team's stats say.
3* LSU/NTex o127...linesmakers have overestimated the totals on both teams all year with 2-7 & 0-6 U/O records. Now they come out with the lowest total of either team all season not to mention this looks like a game that could go at a snail's pace so bettors see this and are driving the total lower and lower as we speak. I see a lot of value in the over no matter what the team's stats say.
2* Boise St +5.5...now I know Boise hasn't won a road game yet but consider their losses to LBSt, LSU, & Denver...teams that are a combined 14-2 at home and add in Iowa's SOS rating of 296, I think this looks a little lopsided. I don't know much about Iowa and maybe I'm missing something but I like getting points here and hope Boise is sinking the 3's tonite. yes i know someone else will have to do it b/c drmic is questionable but it's a risk i'll take at +5.5 to a team who's played no one.
2* Boise St +5.5...now I know Boise hasn't won a road game yet but consider their losses to LBSt, LSU, & Denver...teams that are a combined 14-2 at home and add in Iowa's SOS rating of 296, I think this looks a little lopsided. I don't know much about Iowa and maybe I'm missing something but I like getting points here and hope Boise is sinking the 3's tonite. yes i know someone else will have to do it b/c drmic is questionable but it's a risk i'll take at +5.5 to a team who's played no one.
[quote] 3* LSU/NTex o127...70 in the 1H only to go flat 2H and lose a total for the first time by a mere 2 pts. shrug.
2* Boise St +5.5...they remain winless on the road. guess they needed drmic after all.
0.5* 2-teamerTAMU -8 / TAMU/Rice u129.5 [/quote]
0-2 plus the parlay makes -5.5u but we're not gonna try to make it up by picking late games...realize we made +7u last nite and move on...tomorrow will be profitable day i feel it.
overall 11-6-1 +4.1u parlays 2-3 +2.8u total +6.9u
[quote] 3* LSU/NTex o127...70 in the 1H only to go flat 2H and lose a total for the first time by a mere 2 pts. shrug.
2* Boise St +5.5...they remain winless on the road. guess they needed drmic after all.
0.5* 2-teamerTAMU -8 / TAMU/Rice u129.5 [/quote]
0-2 plus the parlay makes -5.5u but we're not gonna try to make it up by picking late games...realize we made +7u last nite and move on...tomorrow will be profitable day i feel it.
overall 11-6-1 +4.1u parlays 2-3 +2.8u total +6.9u
2* Baylor -6...could be a flat spot for baylor having to play the next nite but even more letdown angles for w virginia being down a starter, coming off OT win night before, & huggins just hitting a wins.
1* Baylor/WV o136...both teams played last night and come back to a tough one tonite resulting in some possible laziness. 'laziness' as in looser defense and 'laziness' as in rather than running through the offense, the first good look should constitute a shot. with two teams who shoot very well from the field chucking a lot of attempts up (in theory) there ought to be some points scored.
yea i know a public favorite and a big public over...really goin for it eh? got to go with what feels right tho :shrug:
2* Baylor -6...could be a flat spot for baylor having to play the next nite but even more letdown angles for w virginia being down a starter, coming off OT win night before, & huggins just hitting a wins.
1* Baylor/WV o136...both teams played last night and come back to a tough one tonite resulting in some possible laziness. 'laziness' as in looser defense and 'laziness' as in rather than running through the offense, the first good look should constitute a shot. with two teams who shoot very well from the field chucking a lot of attempts up (in theory) there ought to be some points scored.
yea i know a public favorite and a big public over...really goin for it eh? got to go with what feels right tho :shrug:
No extensive thought/research put into these. I just don't see any reason the favorites shouldn't cover against subpar teams and Mizz St comes back tonite motivated after a rough loss while St. Mary's probably put most of their preparation/energy into Baylor.
1* Mizz St +7 0.5* Mizz St +260 1* LBSt -8.5 0.5* 3-teamer LBSt -8.5 / Xavier -11 / Mizz St +7
No extensive thought/research put into these. I just don't see any reason the favorites shouldn't cover against subpar teams and Mizz St comes back tonite motivated after a rough loss while St. Mary's probably put most of their preparation/energy into Baylor.
1* Mizz St +7 0.5* Mizz St +260 1* LBSt -8.5 0.5* 3-teamer LBSt -8.5 / Xavier -11 / Mizz St +7
2.2* Baylor -6...several chances to pull away but sloppy & undisciplined 1* Baylor/WV o136..."theory" worked well putting up 152 in regulation 1.1* Mizz St +7 0.5* Mizz St +260...bad pick 1* LBSt -8.5...very impressive 0.5* LBSt/Aub u143...easily only going 107
0.5* 3-teamerLBSt -8.5 / Xavier -11 / Mizz St +7 0.5* 2-teamerLBSt/Aub u143 / Mizz St +7
tonite sides/totals 3-3 -1.3u parlays 0-2 -1u
overall sides/totals 14-9 +2.8u parlays 2-5 +1.8u total +4.6u
killed myself investing too much in Mizz St between a side, a ML, & both parlays. will learn from that one.
on an up note, killing totals at 8-1 now...on a down note that also means i'm lacking on sides.
2.2* Baylor -6...several chances to pull away but sloppy & undisciplined 1* Baylor/WV o136..."theory" worked well putting up 152 in regulation 1.1* Mizz St +7 0.5* Mizz St +260...bad pick 1* LBSt -8.5...very impressive 0.5* LBSt/Aub u143...easily only going 107
0.5* 3-teamerLBSt -8.5 / Xavier -11 / Mizz St +7 0.5* 2-teamerLBSt/Aub u143 / Mizz St +7
tonite sides/totals 3-3 -1.3u parlays 0-2 -1u
overall sides/totals 14-9 +2.8u parlays 2-5 +1.8u total +4.6u
killed myself investing too much in Mizz St between a side, a ML, & both parlays. will learn from that one.
on an up note, killing totals at 8-1 now...on a down note that also means i'm lacking on sides.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.