well again we made money, nothing wrong with making money every night, and if ya bet N.Alabama you did better, I had a friend bet them str up because he called and when he said that line went from +4.5 to +6.5 I said well hell I am betting it now and I think they win str up, some people listen better than I do to myself , another thing that's happening is with me anyway, have to stop wondering why lines might be to low or too high, as if someone wants me to bet a certain way, when the reality is sometimes Vegas just puts out bad lines, last night Iona was the favorite , and should have been, but instead of just seeing it as a bad line that should have been -6, I over think, just go with it, did the same thing a few days ago when LSU was only -5 to Depaul, I think why is Depaul onlu+5 when they should be +9, have to see what happens maybe just start seeing it for what it is....
already took Mich st-4 and this line has went down a half pt, from some books last night,
and I am taking UT Martin -3, this line was higher, I think 4 then it went down and just a few mins ago it went back up, but this too is another, Charleston Southern beat UTM last year at home 83-68 as a 4.5 pt favorite, all new rosters, but I am taking UT Martin because I like their early wins at UNLV and at Bradley, and this is to be honest their 1st true home game vs div 1 teams, so I expect them to be up for this one, playing these small teams don't matter, so when you finally play a div 1 team that's a true home game in my opinion,
UT Martin -3
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
well again we made money, nothing wrong with making money every night, and if ya bet N.Alabama you did better, I had a friend bet them str up because he called and when he said that line went from +4.5 to +6.5 I said well hell I am betting it now and I think they win str up, some people listen better than I do to myself , another thing that's happening is with me anyway, have to stop wondering why lines might be to low or too high, as if someone wants me to bet a certain way, when the reality is sometimes Vegas just puts out bad lines, last night Iona was the favorite , and should have been, but instead of just seeing it as a bad line that should have been -6, I over think, just go with it, did the same thing a few days ago when LSU was only -5 to Depaul, I think why is Depaul onlu+5 when they should be +9, have to see what happens maybe just start seeing it for what it is....
already took Mich st-4 and this line has went down a half pt, from some books last night,
and I am taking UT Martin -3, this line was higher, I think 4 then it went down and just a few mins ago it went back up, but this too is another, Charleston Southern beat UTM last year at home 83-68 as a 4.5 pt favorite, all new rosters, but I am taking UT Martin because I like their early wins at UNLV and at Bradley, and this is to be honest their 1st true home game vs div 1 teams, so I expect them to be up for this one, playing these small teams don't matter, so when you finally play a div 1 team that's a true home game in my opinion,
going to take Stone hill +7 at Bryant, stone hill the better shooting team by far and from 3 even better 33.5% to 26% , and they make about 5 more shots a game as Bryant is averaging just 58 pts a game this year, and they are a much better offensive rebounding team, as they avg over 9 offensive boards a game and 13 the last 3 games, and Bryant is avg just 5 when at home, I do have concern that they cut back on to's but that can be fixed, and SH is 3-1-1 ATS away this year and Stonehill is playing just 23 miles from home in this one very close schools
stonehill +7
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going to take Stone hill +7 at Bryant, stone hill the better shooting team by far and from 3 even better 33.5% to 26% , and they make about 5 more shots a game as Bryant is averaging just 58 pts a game this year, and they are a much better offensive rebounding team, as they avg over 9 offensive boards a game and 13 the last 3 games, and Bryant is avg just 5 when at home, I do have concern that they cut back on to's but that can be fixed, and SH is 3-1-1 ATS away this year and Stonehill is playing just 23 miles from home in this one very close schools
taking New Mexico st ML tonight vs s Alabama , I really like this NM st team, they have covered for me, and their defense is really good, they are holding teams to 23% from 3 this year, and are holding teams to just 20 made shots a game this year, a edge in rebounding to NM st also, this should be a good game, its in a neutral court, and they are a better ft shooting team also,
New Mexico st ML
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taking New Mexico st ML tonight vs s Alabama , I really like this NM st team, they have covered for me, and their defense is really good, they are holding teams to 23% from 3 this year, and are holding teams to just 20 made shots a game this year, a edge in rebounding to NM st also, this should be a good game, its in a neutral court, and they are a better ft shooting team also,
Taking USC ML over Oregon at Oregon this line of USC -1.5 I think goes up, this USC team is pretty good, and Oregon has not lived up to what they were suppose to be in my view I'll lay small juice here ML
USC ML -130
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Taking USC ML over Oregon at Oregon this line of USC -1.5 I think goes up, this USC team is pretty good, and Oregon has not lived up to what they were suppose to be in my view I'll lay small juice here ML
adding 2 2 team teasers with teams I do like str up,
taking U Conn +3.5/Winthrop -.5 2 very good teams here, Winthrop beat LIU last year at home by 22 pts as a 13 pt favorite , very good shooting team, they avg 11 3's a game, and they should cover the 5 pts, and U conn getting healthy, have to like them vs Kansas and if I can get 3.5 I'll take it
teaser Texas AM +1.5 at Pitt and wake forest pk think both these should cover
u conn+3.5/winthrop-.5 Tex am+1.5/wake forest pk
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adding 2 2 team teasers with teams I do like str up,
taking U Conn +3.5/Winthrop -.5 2 very good teams here, Winthrop beat LIU last year at home by 22 pts as a 13 pt favorite , very good shooting team, they avg 11 3's a game, and they should cover the 5 pts, and U conn getting healthy, have to like them vs Kansas and if I can get 3.5 I'll take it
teaser Texas AM +1.5 at Pitt and wake forest pk think both these should cover
one bigger favorite today Taking George Mason -10 over Cornell, Cornell is avg 91 pts a game and giving up 84, GM is avg 79 pts a game and giving up just 62, so this is going to be about the defense of GM, and at home I think they clamp down here, as Cornell is shooting the 3 at 41% GM is holding teams to 27% shooting from 3 , I just do not see Cornell playing their game here on the road, I think GM keeps them under 70, and I do think GM wins this by about 15 pts , and Cornell is avg 5 more to's a game than GM and they commit about 8 more fouls a game, , I see this as the same kind of game Cornell had at Ill st where they lost 65-76 I think GM's defense is better than Ill st's and I have this as a 83-67 type of game
G Mason -10
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one bigger favorite today Taking George Mason -10 over Cornell, Cornell is avg 91 pts a game and giving up 84, GM is avg 79 pts a game and giving up just 62, so this is going to be about the defense of GM, and at home I think they clamp down here, as Cornell is shooting the 3 at 41% GM is holding teams to 27% shooting from 3 , I just do not see Cornell playing their game here on the road, I think GM keeps them under 70, and I do think GM wins this by about 15 pts , and Cornell is avg 5 more to's a game than GM and they commit about 8 more fouls a game, , I see this as the same kind of game Cornell had at Ill st where they lost 65-76 I think GM's defense is better than Ill st's and I have this as a 83-67 type of game
ETSU @ Dayton I like this ETSU team, they shoot the ball really well, Dayton has played a tougher schedule, but 12 pts is a bit much here, ETSU actually a little better on defense, ETSU holds teams to lower shooting % and 3 points % they have won 6 of 7 games and 5 in a row and maybe they are starting to believe , I think they hang here and stay within 8-9 pts if not more
E Tenn st +12
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ETSU @ Dayton I like this ETSU team, they shoot the ball really well, Dayton has played a tougher schedule, but 12 pts is a bit much here, ETSU actually a little better on defense, ETSU holds teams to lower shooting % and 3 points % they have won 6 of 7 games and 5 in a row and maybe they are starting to believe , I think they hang here and stay within 8-9 pts if not more
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