well coming off a 4-2 night, and hit the one teaser I played so good night, made money Mich st vs KY in NY I am going to go with Michigan st +5.5 bet this earlier, really have no huge reasoning except I am a IZZO believer, this guy can coach and has been doing it at the highest level for the longest time, it seems every year he does well, and its with no super stars, no one and dones, he finds tuff players, and he gets them to play as a team, KY is good, they have a few who are expected to go right onto the NBA, but I'll go with Michigan st here, no thought
Mich st +5.5
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
11-18
well coming off a 4-2 night, and hit the one teaser I played so good night, made money Mich st vs KY in NY I am going to go with Michigan st +5.5 bet this earlier, really have no huge reasoning except I am a IZZO believer, this guy can coach and has been doing it at the highest level for the longest time, it seems every year he does well, and its with no super stars, no one and dones, he finds tuff players, and he gets them to play as a team, KY is good, they have a few who are expected to go right onto the NBA, but I'll go with Michigan st here, no thought
just some thinking out loud here...Troy has been on a west coast run, and they have lost both games so far, after winning at Kent st, and at Furman, then playing a nobody at home, they go out west, lose to Loyola 63-74, then lose to C st North 85-94 now they go to SD st , SD st had won both games at home winning by 32 to long Beach and then by 16 vs Idaho st, now they are -15.5 vs Troy, Now Troy is not a bad team by any means, early in the year its hard for teams to travel out west or out east for a week to 10 days and do well, but I do think 15.5 is a lot...just my opinion, but also this is the 3rd game in a row out there so ......
also here's a tuff one to cap, Abilene Christian at Texas st Texas st-2 these 2 are identical in all stats , take a look
also Xavier has been struggling this year to cover, or even win as they are 0-4 ATS this year and 0-3 ATS at home, but ODU is also 0-3 ATS this year, and 0-2 ATS away, I mean Xavier only beat Marist by 4 and they beat Lemoyne by just 5 and both at home, but ODU is shooting better than xavier, 42% to 37% and they are shooting the 3 a little better 33% to 32%, effective shooting is better 49% to 44.7%, ft shooting is better 74% to 69%, they each take about the same amount of shots with ODU averaging 2 more made shots, they are even on made 3's a game, ODU is averaging 3 more to's a game 14 to 11....one thing is ODU is avg 39 pts in 1st half to just 30 for Xavier anyway Xavier is -10.5 and my thought is that that seems a bit much for a team that is having problems covering .....again just thinking here....lol gl 151
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just some thinking out loud here...Troy has been on a west coast run, and they have lost both games so far, after winning at Kent st, and at Furman, then playing a nobody at home, they go out west, lose to Loyola 63-74, then lose to C st North 85-94 now they go to SD st , SD st had won both games at home winning by 32 to long Beach and then by 16 vs Idaho st, now they are -15.5 vs Troy, Now Troy is not a bad team by any means, early in the year its hard for teams to travel out west or out east for a week to 10 days and do well, but I do think 15.5 is a lot...just my opinion, but also this is the 3rd game in a row out there so ......
also here's a tuff one to cap, Abilene Christian at Texas st Texas st-2 these 2 are identical in all stats , take a look
also Xavier has been struggling this year to cover, or even win as they are 0-4 ATS this year and 0-3 ATS at home, but ODU is also 0-3 ATS this year, and 0-2 ATS away, I mean Xavier only beat Marist by 4 and they beat Lemoyne by just 5 and both at home, but ODU is shooting better than xavier, 42% to 37% and they are shooting the 3 a little better 33% to 32%, effective shooting is better 49% to 44.7%, ft shooting is better 74% to 69%, they each take about the same amount of shots with ODU averaging 2 more made shots, they are even on made 3's a game, ODU is averaging 3 more to's a game 14 to 11....one thing is ODU is avg 39 pts in 1st half to just 30 for Xavier anyway Xavier is -10.5 and my thought is that that seems a bit much for a team that is having problems covering .....again just thinking here....lol gl 151
ODU +11.5 -130 only reason I am going to -130 is because I do not see this losing but every point can matter sometimes, its only extra juice if ya lose
ODU +11.5 1 unit
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ODU +11.5 -130 only reason I am going to -130 is because I do not see this losing but every point can matter sometimes, its only extra juice if ya lose
taking Boston U +6.5 vs Columbia Boston U is shooting really well , making almost 10 3's a game , also in this game the total is 144, I do think this has a good shot at going Over, I think Columbia wants to get to 80, and Boston would rather keep this around 72 , but they don't mind playing in the mid to high 70's may use the over in a teaser or a parlay, but will grab 6.5 at -115 they do not want to give 7.5 as that is -145
Boston U +6.5 and a big lean to the oVER
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taking Boston U +6.5 vs Columbia Boston U is shooting really well , making almost 10 3's a game , also in this game the total is 144, I do think this has a good shot at going Over, I think Columbia wants to get to 80, and Boston would rather keep this around 72 , but they don't mind playing in the mid to high 70's may use the over in a teaser or a parlay, but will grab 6.5 at -115 they do not want to give 7.5 as that is -145
also going to go with Stephen F Austin again , this time on the road at Fresno st...I think this SFA team is very good, I have been on them 3 times and they have covered 3 times, averaging 82 pts a game and giving up just 66, and they have been getting ahead in the 1st half of games too as they avg 39 pts in 1st half, Fresno is avg 31, SFA has an effective shooting % of 57.4 they are shooting the 3 at 44% so far, and holding teams to 25%, and Fresno is at 33% and they hold teams to 31%, they are avg 59 shots a game making 28, and Fresno is avg 54 and making 24..they are making 4 more 3's a game than Fresno, and are avg 5.7 blocks a game this year, and SFA just came off a very good battle with Abilene Christian, as they won by 10 but it was what they needed I think with lots of lead changes, their player Jerald Colonel is 2nd in the nation in blocks with 17 already, and they are climbing in the mid major top 25, they have lots of scoring this year, their player Narit chotikavanic shot 80% from 3 making 8 of 10, and they had the player of the week in their conference Keon Thompson I'll lay 2.5 here at -120 Hardrock
SFA -2.5 -120
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also going to go with Stephen F Austin again , this time on the road at Fresno st...I think this SFA team is very good, I have been on them 3 times and they have covered 3 times, averaging 82 pts a game and giving up just 66, and they have been getting ahead in the 1st half of games too as they avg 39 pts in 1st half, Fresno is avg 31, SFA has an effective shooting % of 57.4 they are shooting the 3 at 44% so far, and holding teams to 25%, and Fresno is at 33% and they hold teams to 31%, they are avg 59 shots a game making 28, and Fresno is avg 54 and making 24..they are making 4 more 3's a game than Fresno, and are avg 5.7 blocks a game this year, and SFA just came off a very good battle with Abilene Christian, as they won by 10 but it was what they needed I think with lots of lead changes, their player Jerald Colonel is 2nd in the nation in blocks with 17 already, and they are climbing in the mid major top 25, they have lots of scoring this year, their player Narit chotikavanic shot 80% from 3 making 8 of 10, and they had the player of the week in their conference Keon Thompson I'll lay 2.5 here at -120 Hardrock
I do not want to take you off something you may like UTA is a decent team, they are giving up 61 a game and evans is giving up 79 maybe due to the 30 point loss to Purdue though its a tuff one to figure
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@gary4323
I do not want to take you off something you may like UTA is a decent team, they are giving up 61 a game and evans is giving up 79 maybe due to the 30 point loss to Purdue though its a tuff one to figure
do favor Kent st tonight, or maybe the OVER, their TT is 85.5 only worry I have is that this is their 3rd game in 4 days, EKY gave up 92 at Vandy and 87 at home to WKY, so I think Kent st should score over 86 but ya never know how tired they are , they scored 102 vs Clev st on the 15th and then scored 76 vs wright st on the 16th both on neutral court, now at home where they can score a lot....just thinking out loud
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do favor Kent st tonight, or maybe the OVER, their TT is 85.5 only worry I have is that this is their 3rd game in 4 days, EKY gave up 92 at Vandy and 87 at home to WKY, so I think Kent st should score over 86 but ya never know how tired they are , they scored 102 vs Clev st on the 15th and then scored 76 vs wright st on the 16th both on neutral court, now at home where they can score a lot....just thinking out loud
going to take Santa Clara tonight -14.5 at home vs Idaho st, this Santa Clara team is a good team, averaging 88 pts a game and giving up just 72, while Idaho st is averaging 67 pts a game and giving up 72, Santa Clara is shooting 51.8% and their effective shooting is close to 60%, and they are shooting the 3 at 42%, and Idaho st is giving up 44% from 3, but what I like the most is they are avg 20 assist a game to 12 for Idaho st, at home its 22.5 assist, anytime your turnover to assist ratio is 1.7 that's good, and Idaho states is 0.9 , and they are avg 15 offensive boards a game at home, but they do need to get better at ft's they only shoot 61% but Idaho st is not much better, I think they get this by 19+ tonight I think a 1st half play would be worth a shot also at ike -8 to 9
Santa clara -14.5 -115
I see so many games that I think are worth a shot...lol will be putting a parlay together for sure tonight
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going to take Santa Clara tonight -14.5 at home vs Idaho st, this Santa Clara team is a good team, averaging 88 pts a game and giving up just 72, while Idaho st is averaging 67 pts a game and giving up 72, Santa Clara is shooting 51.8% and their effective shooting is close to 60%, and they are shooting the 3 at 42%, and Idaho st is giving up 44% from 3, but what I like the most is they are avg 20 assist a game to 12 for Idaho st, at home its 22.5 assist, anytime your turnover to assist ratio is 1.7 that's good, and Idaho states is 0.9 , and they are avg 15 offensive boards a game at home, but they do need to get better at ft's they only shoot 61% but Idaho st is not much better, I think they get this by 19+ tonight I think a 1st half play would be worth a shot also at ike -8 to 9
Santa clara -14.5 -115
I see so many games that I think are worth a shot...lol will be putting a parlay together for sure tonight
A OVER I think that may be worth taking is ECU at NC Wilmington the total is 143 UNCW is taking 66 shots a game and ECU 60 and UNCW is making 26.5 and ECU 27 now they both take about 20 3's a game but they each only make like 5 that's they key thing, over 60 shots a game shows a decent tempo, and they both do that, if they ever hit like 40% from 3 this could go way over, and ECU is avg 36 ft's a game making 24 and UNCW is avg 23 ft's making 17 so they could have 35-40 pts in ft's between them just throwing this out there want to see how totals are made. 53 shots 106, add 10 for the 10 3's made 116 35 for ft's made 151 if they avg what they have been this should go over
151
0
A OVER I think that may be worth taking is ECU at NC Wilmington the total is 143 UNCW is taking 66 shots a game and ECU 60 and UNCW is making 26.5 and ECU 27 now they both take about 20 3's a game but they each only make like 5 that's they key thing, over 60 shots a game shows a decent tempo, and they both do that, if they ever hit like 40% from 3 this could go way over, and ECU is avg 36 ft's a game making 24 and UNCW is avg 23 ft's making 17 so they could have 35-40 pts in ft's between them just throwing this out there want to see how totals are made. 53 shots 106, add 10 for the 10 3's made 116 35 for ft's made 151 if they avg what they have been this should go over
well I am adding over 143 ECU/UNCW went off shore to not have the half pt....ECU is avg 82 pts a game and giving up 88, UNCW avg 75 pts a game and givees up 73 too many things point to an OVER in this game sure it can lose, but when capping you have to find how many things point your way this one has a lot of them gl
Over 143 ECU/UNCW
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well I am adding over 143 ECU/UNCW went off shore to not have the half pt....ECU is avg 82 pts a game and giving up 88, UNCW avg 75 pts a game and givees up 73 too many things point to an OVER in this game sure it can lose, but when capping you have to find how many things point your way this one has a lot of them gl
Like the Wilmington TT over much better, I lean them anyway, ECU has had a hard time defending the Paint vs way worse teams than Wilmington, I think UNCW gets over 74. GL man
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@RUM151
Like the Wilmington TT over much better, I lean them anyway, ECU has had a hard time defending the Paint vs way worse teams than Wilmington, I think UNCW gets over 74. GL man
really think St Peter is a play vs Delaware that total has dropped a lot, from 144 to 136 that points to a St Peter cover , also NJIT +13.5 -120 St Peter +4.5 -120
really think St Peter is a play vs Delaware that total has dropped a lot, from 144 to 136 that points to a St Peter cover , also NJIT +13.5 -120 St Peter +4.5 -120
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