Kind of a head-scratching short line as East Tennessee (167, KenPom) hosts Campbell (286 KenPom).
ETS is a perennial contender in the Southern and are ranked second behind a very strong Furman squad, while Campbell is ranked second from the bottom in the CAA.
ETS is playing their home opener after playing 2 very good teams. They lost by 10 at Arizona State as 19.5-point dogs, and by 14 at NC State as 17.5-point pups. Campbell also played at NC State and lost by 19, followed by a dismal 87-71 loss to a mediocre Western Michigan team.
In comparing those common games at NC State, the Bucs actually led the Wolfpack at halftime before the home team rebounded in the second half. Campbell on the other hand, got overwhelmed in the first half and fell behind by 22. The Wolfpack made liberal use of their bench in the second half and won by 19, as Campbell covered the 24.5 number.
I think the Buccaneers get home in front of their home fans in Johnson City for the first time this season and put on a good show while coming away with a comfortable 10-12 point win over a team they are clearly better than. As mentioned, a 1.5 unit play.
Will probably pull the trigger on Michigan -3.5. Obviously Marquette is a much improved team, but now we get to see just how much. Slaughtering Detroit and Mercyhurst at home while allowing just 32 and 43 points is one thing, but neither is even a top 300 offence. Now you go into Ann Arbor against the defending champs, who just got schooled by UConn (if you watched the game, you know it wasn't as close as the score suggested). Michigan obviously is not close to what they were last season, but I think they are still a solid offensive team and a highly motivated bunch in this spot after getting punched in the mouth by the Flyin' Hurleys. Michigan did play a home game against Oakland, but I think the AA faithful will be much more excited about this one.
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