Posted:
#1
Bad Saturday posting 5-8-1 and big loss. Back to work. I love these two match ups tonight. I know people tend to shy away from rivalry games but I like the action. 
B12: 8-4-1
Nova+6>20U- Why such a large bet? I've been searching for a spot to hammer Nova all year and I fear that this will be the last chance to get them catching >5pts. Look, throw the trends, stats and angles out the window b/c with teams like Nova built on super talented veteran guards, they can wade into any venue and get a W. I know WVU has some bark at home and they've been coming together playing well of late. But this is the same team who took a SU loss to the Cuse this year, were getting drubbed by the Buckeyes at home and should of lost to Louisville. Bottom line is they are beatable. Nova is pissed off and hungry after the Gtown game. I know the travel is rough and I know the weather has been bad. But the refs in that gtown game allowed 50 FT attempts by the home team. 50!!! Add to that the Gtown was lights out from 3 and you get that result. I don't see that happening tonight. I think WVU will play well but can they play at Nova's tempo? If Nova limits the silly to's which have killed them in their ATS losses, I think they have a chance to lead from start to finish. The matchups to me lean to Nova. Reynolds vs.Bryant- no contest give it to Reynolds. Corey Fisher is one of the most under appreciated guards in the country. Who matches up with him from WVU? Stokes will bother D. Butler but give that one to D. Butler. Ebanks vs. Redding is not a physical match up that Ebanks likes. W. Smith and Jones may give issues on the board but they can't guard in transition. I could be wrong here b/c there is always risk in taking a road team no matter the pts in a Beast game especially at a venue like WVU. But I just feel man for man, Nova can beat these guys and they certainly will have the motivation after taking a slap to the mouth vs. Gtown. Plus WVU has to go to Pitt next for another rivalry match up while Nova goes back home to face Prov.
Texas +2>15U- Bottom line is in the B12 in a marquee match up you gotta run with the home team. That's the high % play and with Texas catching points this is a decent enough spot. I know they are 1-7 ATS in conf play and Kansas is looking impressive. But if there ever was a time when Texas is going to reassert themselves as a legit contender it is tonight. That motivation will give them an edge. Another throw the stats out the window match up and it comes down to desire, heart and effort. Texas will out work Kansas tonight. Collins will play too much 1 on 1 and try to take the game over and that will be a mistake.
B12: 8-4-1
Beast: 12-9-2
CBB: 140-112-10
%: 55.5
$: +98.36 
Nova+6>20U- Why such a large bet? I've been searching for a spot to hammer Nova all year and I fear that this will be the last chance to get them catching >5pts. Look, throw the trends, stats and angles out the window b/c with teams like Nova built on super talented veteran guards, they can wade into any venue and get a W. I know WVU has some bark at home and they've been coming together playing well of late. But this is the same team who took a SU loss to the Cuse this year, were getting drubbed by the Buckeyes at home and should of lost to Louisville. Bottom line is they are beatable. Nova is pissed off and hungry after the Gtown game. I know the travel is rough and I know the weather has been bad. But the refs in that gtown game allowed 50 FT attempts by the home team. 50!!! Add to that the Gtown was lights out from 3 and you get that result. I don't see that happening tonight. I think WVU will play well but can they play at Nova's tempo? If Nova limits the silly to's which have killed them in their ATS losses, I think they have a chance to lead from start to finish. The matchups to me lean to Nova. Reynolds vs.Bryant- no contest give it to Reynolds. Corey Fisher is one of the most under appreciated guards in the country. Who matches up with him from WVU? Stokes will bother D. Butler but give that one to D. Butler. Ebanks vs. Redding is not a physical match up that Ebanks likes. W. Smith and Jones may give issues on the board but they can't guard in transition. I could be wrong here b/c there is always risk in taking a road team no matter the pts in a Beast game especially at a venue like WVU. But I just feel man for man, Nova can beat these guys and they certainly will have the motivation after taking a slap to the mouth vs. Gtown. Plus WVU has to go to Pitt next for another rivalry match up while Nova goes back home to face Prov.
Texas +2>15U- Bottom line is in the B12 in a marquee match up you gotta run with the home team. That's the high % play and with Texas catching points this is a decent enough spot. I know they are 1-7 ATS in conf play and Kansas is looking impressive. But if there ever was a time when Texas is going to reassert themselves as a legit contender it is tonight. That motivation will give them an edge. Another throw the stats out the window match up and it comes down to desire, heart and effort. Texas will out work Kansas tonight. Collins will play too much 1 on 1 and try to take the game over and that will be a mistake.
0
but texas is just not that good. who knows that game is a crap shoot. I think nova does bounce back though.
....just hopefully not on TX 
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