HF and n:line>-4 and o:rank<26 and no:rank<26 and line<-8
A ranked or unranked ( it doesn’t matter too much only slightly worse if a ranked team like a Michigan) any Home favorite when their next fame will be lined at not as high as -4 (In this case Michigan will play @MSU on deck) no=next opponent rank is a ranked top 25 team (as I said next opponent is elite ranked MSU ) and Michigans current opponent is a ranked 25 team. The current line is -8.5 or more.
Michigan is lined very high against a quality opponent. Their quality opponent still is debatable based upon lack of trust because they are new to this type of elevated ranking.
Historically these lines are elevated. The fact the Michigan has another huge game on deck that they should be a dog bringing weak historical line ROI projections.
the above query from a historical perspective are Michigan covers this spread
33-61-3 ATS. Not a “lock” or sure thing at all
just a sound long term approach to winning ROI situations.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
HF and n:line>-4 and o:rank<26 and no:rank<26 and line<-8
A ranked or unranked ( it doesn’t matter too much only slightly worse if a ranked team like a Michigan) any Home favorite when their next fame will be lined at not as high as -4 (In this case Michigan will play @MSU on deck) no=next opponent rank is a ranked top 25 team (as I said next opponent is elite ranked MSU ) and Michigans current opponent is a ranked 25 team. The current line is -8.5 or more.
Michigan is lined very high against a quality opponent. Their quality opponent still is debatable based upon lack of trust because they are new to this type of elevated ranking.
Historically these lines are elevated. The fact the Michigan has another huge game on deck that they should be a dog bringing weak historical line ROI projections.
the above query from a historical perspective are Michigan covers this spread
33-61-3 ATS. Not a “lock” or sure thing at all
just a sound long term approach to winning ROI situations.
Analysis: Delaware State Hornets @ South Carolina State Bulldogs
The Stakes: A battle at the bottom of the MEAC standings. Both teams have struggled immensely this season, but this is a rare opportunity for a conference win. Delaware State (5-14, 0-4 MEAC) is on a five-game losing streak and desperately seeking its first conference victory. South Carolina State (4-16, 2-2 MEAC) has shown slight life in MEAC play with two wins but remains one of the lowest-ranked teams in Division I. The low total of 136.5 points set by oddsmakers reflects both teams' profound offensive deficiencies.
Deep Dive: Team Styles & Key Factors
Delaware State Hornets:
Biggest Weakness (Fatal Flaw): Catastrophic Offense. They are the 361st ranked scoring offense out of 362 teams. They cannot shoot (39.5% FG) and struggle to create easy baskets. Their offense is stagnant and relies heavily on guard Ponce James (14.7 PPG) creating something out of nothing.
Identity: A defensively mediocre but offensively crippled team that plays at a slow pace. Games are ugly, with scoring droughts that last for minutes.
South Carolina State Bulldogs:
Biggest Weakness (Fatal Flaw): Inefficient, Turnover-Prone Offense. While slightly better than DSU, they are still in the bottom 20 nationally for scoring. They rely on Jayden Johnson (12.7 PPG) and have poor shot selection. They average 15.1 turnovers per game, which kills their own possessions.
Current Form/Injury Watch:VOLATILE. They can score 74-82 points against MEAC foes (Howard, Coppin St., Norfolk St.), but also laid a 50-point dud in a win over a non-D1 team (Mid-Atlantic Christian). Consistency is non-existent
?? Game Flow & X-Factors
The "Race" to 70: Neither team is built to reach 70 points. The first to 65 might win. Expect a rock fight with missed shots, turnovers, and long offensive possessions that yield nothing.
Three-Point Reliance: Both teams shoot a high volume of threes at a very low percentage. A randomly hot night from deep for either team (unlikely) is the biggest threat to the UNDER.
Pressure & Confidence: This is a huge game for both teams' morale. The pressure to get a win could lead to tight, nervous play, especially offensively, in the first half.
Prediction & Pick:
You'll find the full analysis and many other interesting things on my website:
victorypicks.eu
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Analysis: Delaware State Hornets @ South Carolina State Bulldogs
The Stakes: A battle at the bottom of the MEAC standings. Both teams have struggled immensely this season, but this is a rare opportunity for a conference win. Delaware State (5-14, 0-4 MEAC) is on a five-game losing streak and desperately seeking its first conference victory. South Carolina State (4-16, 2-2 MEAC) has shown slight life in MEAC play with two wins but remains one of the lowest-ranked teams in Division I. The low total of 136.5 points set by oddsmakers reflects both teams' profound offensive deficiencies.
Deep Dive: Team Styles & Key Factors
Delaware State Hornets:
Biggest Weakness (Fatal Flaw): Catastrophic Offense. They are the 361st ranked scoring offense out of 362 teams. They cannot shoot (39.5% FG) and struggle to create easy baskets. Their offense is stagnant and relies heavily on guard Ponce James (14.7 PPG) creating something out of nothing.
Identity: A defensively mediocre but offensively crippled team that plays at a slow pace. Games are ugly, with scoring droughts that last for minutes.
South Carolina State Bulldogs:
Biggest Weakness (Fatal Flaw): Inefficient, Turnover-Prone Offense. While slightly better than DSU, they are still in the bottom 20 nationally for scoring. They rely on Jayden Johnson (12.7 PPG) and have poor shot selection. They average 15.1 turnovers per game, which kills their own possessions.
Current Form/Injury Watch:VOLATILE. They can score 74-82 points against MEAC foes (Howard, Coppin St., Norfolk St.), but also laid a 50-point dud in a win over a non-D1 team (Mid-Atlantic Christian). Consistency is non-existent
?? Game Flow & X-Factors
The "Race" to 70: Neither team is built to reach 70 points. The first to 65 might win. Expect a rock fight with missed shots, turnovers, and long offensive possessions that yield nothing.
Three-Point Reliance: Both teams shoot a high volume of threes at a very low percentage. A randomly hot night from deep for either team (unlikely) is the biggest threat to the UNDER.
Pressure & Confidence: This is a huge game for both teams' morale. The pressure to get a win could lead to tight, nervous play, especially offensively, in the first half.
Prediction & Pick:
You'll find the full analysis and many other interesting things on my website:
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