Lost my profit last night misfiring on New Mexico, which was my largest bet to date of the tournament. No regrets, they had their chance to win it, but just got outplayed at crucial points in the game..
Georgetown -4 (6.6 units to win 6.29)
NC State / Georgetown UNDER 132 (8 units to win 7.62)
The Wolfpack were 2-6 straight up this year against the top 4 ranked teams in the ACC at defending the three point line. GTown ranks 1st in the nation in that stat, so the Wolfpack should find little to no space from behind the arc. NC State has feasted on weaker conference opponents all year. In there 11 conference wins (incl. ACC tournament), the combined record of the Wolfpack opponent was 57-102. They only have two wins against ACC teams with above a .500 conference record. Some might see the 4.5 and think it's a gift given GTown laid less to Belmont, but I think we can look back in hindsight and see that the Belmont line was off. They were the sexy upset pick and oddsmakers lined it accordingly. Tough matchup for NC State and while I'm not overly high on GTown, I'll play the matchup.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Lost my profit last night misfiring on New Mexico, which was my largest bet to date of the tournament. No regrets, they had their chance to win it, but just got outplayed at crucial points in the game..
Georgetown -4 (6.6 units to win 6.29)
NC State / Georgetown UNDER 132 (8 units to win 7.62)
The Wolfpack were 2-6 straight up this year against the top 4 ranked teams in the ACC at defending the three point line. GTown ranks 1st in the nation in that stat, so the Wolfpack should find little to no space from behind the arc. NC State has feasted on weaker conference opponents all year. In there 11 conference wins (incl. ACC tournament), the combined record of the Wolfpack opponent was 57-102. They only have two wins against ACC teams with above a .500 conference record. Some might see the 4.5 and think it's a gift given GTown laid less to Belmont, but I think we can look back in hindsight and see that the Belmont line was off. They were the sexy upset pick and oddsmakers lined it accordingly. Tough matchup for NC State and while I'm not overly high on GTown, I'll play the matchup.
NC State / Georgetown UNDER 70 (8.6 units to win 8.19)
Everything in the first half was somewhat abnormal and the total still went under, and way under 70. There were 23 total free throws, 49 total shots and NC State shot 50% from three point range. I think things normalize in the second half and even with potential fouls at the end, think we have cushion with this number.
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thanks everyone, GL today..
NC State / Georgetown UNDER 70 (8.6 units to win 8.19)
Everything in the first half was somewhat abnormal and the total still went under, and way under 70. There were 23 total free throws, 49 total shots and NC State shot 50% from three point range. I think things normalize in the second half and even with potential fouls at the end, think we have cushion with this number.
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