Hello back again for my second write up. I cashed in early on my big three 3u play on Colorado st+2.5 in the first half, and lost a small one unit play on csu +5 for the whole game. Here we go lets gets some dough. I have a parlay ml parlay pending with Louisville/Wichita st risking 3u to win 2.4u
Long Beach st vs New Mexico
Long Beach State Starters
(f)E. Dervisevic 6’8 250
(g)J. Ennis 6’6 190
(f)E. Phelps 6’7 255
(f)T.J. Robinson 6’8 250
(g)C. Ware 5’10 175
New Mexico Starters
(f)D. Gordon 6’9 245
(g)T. Snell 6’7 195
(f)A.J. Hardeman 6’8 235
(g)K. Williams 6’3 180
(g)H. Greenwood 6’3 209
Offense
LBSU/NM
FG% 46.6/45.8
3FG% 35.8/38.5
FT% 67.2/71.3
Defense
FG% 42.0/38.4
3FG% 34.0/30.9
Some quick facts about these two teams
Both of these teams are well coached and are very disciplined on both sides of ball. Both teams bring a physical defensive presence with a lot of talent.
Long Beach has played a tough schedule, but in all honesty that was only in the beginning of the year when they played North Carolina, Kansas, and Kansas St( I don’t count san Diego st has a tough opponent ) Most of their games they were favored by double digits. The strength of schedule for Long Beach St was 131. The tempo of LBSU is in the middle of pack of the NCAA, but the think I like about them a lot is they take could care of the ball which brings a lot of quality possessions. They have big guys that can play inside and they also can shoot the rock from outside the arc. This team is one of the most athletic teams in the tournament. In all there loses combined which there loses were to Montana, Louisville, Kansas, North Carolina, Creighton, and Cal state Fullerton by an average of defeat by 6. That is an impressive margin of defeat by the teams they played. Most of all the games they played by the top teams in the league they came out firing and had one hell of a first half against these top teams. The last thing I have to say about this team is they are full of experience and that experience and talent can take them a long way in this tournament.
I have watched New Mexico play a lot of times this year and to me it seems like they will play down to the tempo that the opponent wants to play. Which in this game I think they have to slow the ball down a lot and get to line and take advantage of the charity stripe. After looking over the schedule of the lobos they do shoot good and play smash mouth defense, but they haven’t played anyone in my opinion. Like I said earlier I don’t think San Diego St is a good team. I don’t really like looking at percentages of overall statistics throughout the season because the teams they played are totally different. This is a solid team and can wear and tear on you if they play to slow tempo. The lobos are also in the middle of the pack in tempo per game. SOS is 135 with really no good wins over any out of conference team IMO.
As you can tell I have no angle here to bet New Mexico.
My predicted game line was a pk and 141
My plays for this game are the following:
I will have only a few 5u plays in this tournament. Once again this is gambling I could be wrong thats why there is alway another game. BOL fade or tail me.
Long Beach St fh +2.5 (5u)
Long Beach st +4 (5u)
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