MAC Conf tourney....this round home teams are at home
E Mich is unreal at home against ANY team -3 (5x)
Pepperdine +24... 2x.....getting 24 in a Conf. tourney on a neutral court should be golden especially when the starters build a lead and then coach Frew looks to get the bench involved for much of second half....I think the 2nd half spread will be good with the right line or depending what happens in the first half
I never bet against Zags ....just lay off them but I will in this situation given the circumstances. They are my clear #1 team
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Lets get back the 5 U we lost yesterday....
MAC Conf tourney....this round home teams are at home
E Mich is unreal at home against ANY team -3 (5x)
Pepperdine +24... 2x.....getting 24 in a Conf. tourney on a neutral court should be golden especially when the starters build a lead and then coach Frew looks to get the bench involved for much of second half....I think the 2nd half spread will be good with the right line or depending what happens in the first half
I never bet against Zags ....just lay off them but I will in this situation given the circumstances. They are my clear #1 team
Last year this week, I was at the Bellagio and killing it in the first half on every game.....and the same thing is happening this year.
Can't finish.
Who is motivated for 60 min. That is what I am looking for because the inconsistency to the regular season to crunch time now is not very appealing. Might as well spin the bottle until you figure out the motivation. I am hoping the Tourney evens that out as it usually does.
Might have to lay off until then.
GL
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Last year this week, I was at the Bellagio and killing it in the first half on every game.....and the same thing is happening this year.
Can't finish.
Who is motivated for 60 min. That is what I am looking for because the inconsistency to the regular season to crunch time now is not very appealing. Might as well spin the bottle until you figure out the motivation. I am hoping the Tourney evens that out as it usually does.
UNC is my #3 team and the word on the street is....they want to gain the trifecta to propel them onto a Nat Championship.....that means meeting Duke in the ACC final and I can see it happen for sure. Louisville has run out of gas and UNC is raring to go with a very senior type team. I expect firepower tonight.
-7.5 3x
Miss St. -8 3x....TexAM is gassed and the guard play alone should make for some very easy buckets
Arizona St. -4.5 2x ....superior team in every way
Colorado +2.5 2x
ML 1x......Vegas has this wrong
Kansas -2.5 2x .....better team/looser team with something to prove
Georgetown +3 1x
ML 1x....awesome team in the dog role/even match
Marquette -3.5 1x....was my sleeper team but they went to sleep at the end of the year ....got a feeling they have things ironed out now
BOL
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Loads of value today....
UNC is my #3 team and the word on the street is....they want to gain the trifecta to propel them onto a Nat Championship.....that means meeting Duke in the ACC final and I can see it happen for sure. Louisville has run out of gas and UNC is raring to go with a very senior type team. I expect firepower tonight.
-7.5 3x
Miss St. -8 3x....TexAM is gassed and the guard play alone should make for some very easy buckets
Arizona St. -4.5 2x ....superior team in every way
Colorado +2.5 2x
ML 1x......Vegas has this wrong
Kansas -2.5 2x .....better team/looser team with something to prove
Georgetown +3 1x
ML 1x....awesome team in the dog role/even match
Marquette -3.5 1x....was my sleeper team but they went to sleep at the end of the year ....got a feeling they have things ironed out now
UNC is my #3 team and the word on the street is....they want to gain the trifecta to propel them onto a Nat Championship.....that means meeting Duke in the ACC final and I can see it happen for sure.
-7.5 3x
Colorado +2.5 2x
ML 1x......Vegas has this wrong
Marquette -3.5 1x
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Results so far......
UNC is my #3 team and the word on the street is....they want to gain the trifecta to propel them onto a Nat Championship.....that means meeting Duke in the ACC final and I can see it happen for sure.
I am sitting now at 36 Units and on a mission......I want close to 100 Units by the end of the NCAAB Tourneys......My original investment that I carried over from NCAAF is safe and ready to utilize for next year. I am not going to be afraid to go after profits in the next while because its $2500 of house money.....baseball is next!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Quote Originally Posted by skoonr3:
Always great info thx!
Sharing is the whole point my friend
I am sitting now at 36 Units and on a mission......I want close to 100 Units by the end of the NCAAB Tourneys......My original investment that I carried over from NCAAF is safe and ready to utilize for next year. I am not going to be afraid to go after profits in the next while because its $2500 of house money.....baseball is next!
Sitting on 44 Units and searching for motivation today.......careful with selection committees watching these next 2 days
The following list of games have motivation implications for the Big Dance:
RI/VCU.....RI 's only shot to tourney is to win but this VCU team is one of my sleeper picks and they are angling for a 6 seed or better
UCONN/HOU....UCONN only shot...same as above applies
FLA/LSU ....likely FLA's only shot to make tourney
NEB/Wisky....same.....really, really liked this Huskers team early and I have a feeling whatever issue they had on the team is resolved now with a re-commitment to getting to the big dance.....I am playing this one for sure at +7.5 3x
Xavier/VILLA....X is on a terror vs. good teams and take the +7 because they have to win this to get to big Dance 1x....tricky vs a rejuvenated Villa team though
FSU/VIRGINIA....both teams angling for the final and FSU has the tools to upset here 2x +9
SMU/CINCI....cinci is going but SMU on a major run vs good teams and I think Cinci has motivation issues +7.5 2x
WVU/KANSAS....take motivated team +11 1x
HALL/MARQUETTE....both are going ...but MQ has something to prove -4 2x
COL/WASH.....+2.5 2x.....playing with house money on Colorado....think if Huskies are motivated, its a tight game but I already know the Buffalos are.....Huskies have a direct entry into Big Dance....Colorado opens some eyes for the committee with a Conf. tourney win....likely a good seed 4-5 ish
MISSST/TENN....laying off and going to watch....TENN can push around MISST and guard play may not come this easy for MISST
OREG/AZST.....strong lean on Ducks....but AZST matches up well
FRESNO/AZST....line about right....last game was a 1pt game in Fresno
BOL ....checking injuries next and may have an update of some of these....plays stand above though
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Sitting on 44 Units and searching for motivation today.......careful with selection committees watching these next 2 days
The following list of games have motivation implications for the Big Dance:
RI/VCU.....RI 's only shot to tourney is to win but this VCU team is one of my sleeper picks and they are angling for a 6 seed or better
UCONN/HOU....UCONN only shot...same as above applies
FLA/LSU ....likely FLA's only shot to make tourney
NEB/Wisky....same.....really, really liked this Huskers team early and I have a feeling whatever issue they had on the team is resolved now with a re-commitment to getting to the big dance.....I am playing this one for sure at +7.5 3x
Xavier/VILLA....X is on a terror vs. good teams and take the +7 because they have to win this to get to big Dance 1x....tricky vs a rejuvenated Villa team though
FSU/VIRGINIA....both teams angling for the final and FSU has the tools to upset here 2x +9
SMU/CINCI....cinci is going but SMU on a major run vs good teams and I think Cinci has motivation issues +7.5 2x
WVU/KANSAS....take motivated team +11 1x
HALL/MARQUETTE....both are going ...but MQ has something to prove -4 2x
COL/WASH.....+2.5 2x.....playing with house money on Colorado....think if Huskies are motivated, its a tight game but I already know the Buffalos are.....Huskies have a direct entry into Big Dance....Colorado opens some eyes for the committee with a Conf. tourney win....likely a good seed 4-5 ish
MISSST/TENN....laying off and going to watch....TENN can push around MISST and guard play may not come this easy for MISST
OREG/AZST.....strong lean on Ducks....but AZST matches up well
FRESNO/AZST....line about right....last game was a 1pt game in Fresno
BOL ....checking injuries next and may have an update of some of these....plays stand above though
IOWA ST -2 2X .....would never fade my Wildcats but they are missing their most important inside player and leader/scorer in Wade...so I fade
SD ST. +11 2x ....they beat NEVADA earlier and will revenge cause Nevada to be too aggressive against a well matched up foe? Too many fouls?? Like the revenge factor to play out the first half but not the full game...I see a backdoor cover in last 10 min after a big Nevada lead
UNC +3.5 2X.....have cut my teeth fading rookie teams with talent vs older teams on a mission and that is the scenario we have here, not to mention its played in a UNC friendly building but something is grabbing at my wallet to keep my money in my pants? Hmmmm.....Zion will run wild in this game but senior players DO NOT EVER like getting shown up by a freshmen if equally talented and that might be enough but with 3.5 pts staring at me, UNC will not lack for motivation so I have to take this for 3 in a row.....I bet the same line for +4 for 10 Units a month ago and steamrolled that one to victory
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
A few other plays...
IOWA ST -2 2X .....would never fade my Wildcats but they are missing their most important inside player and leader/scorer in Wade...so I fade
SD ST. +11 2x ....they beat NEVADA earlier and will revenge cause Nevada to be too aggressive against a well matched up foe? Too many fouls?? Like the revenge factor to play out the first half but not the full game...I see a backdoor cover in last 10 min after a big Nevada lead
UNC +3.5 2X.....have cut my teeth fading rookie teams with talent vs older teams on a mission and that is the scenario we have here, not to mention its played in a UNC friendly building but something is grabbing at my wallet to keep my money in my pants? Hmmmm.....Zion will run wild in this game but senior players DO NOT EVER like getting shown up by a freshmen if equally talented and that might be enough but with 3.5 pts staring at me, UNC will not lack for motivation so I have to take this for 3 in a row.....I bet the same line for +4 for 10 Units a month ago and steamrolled that one to victory
DON'T EVER DOUBT A TALENTED TEAM WITH SENIORS ON IT GOING AGAINST HOTSHOT FRESHMEN TALENT...........a big lesson for the ESPN highlight reel savvy never played a lick of college sports like I did and as a rookie.....you think you are superman until you get in the weight room and get into drills at practice .....vets will keep you honest and show you up ....bigtime!!
Cue the third beatdown by North Carolina most likely....its happening before your eyes people!!!
Seniors with talent don't panic....freshmen do
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
DON'T EVER DOUBT A TALENTED TEAM WITH SENIORS ON IT GOING AGAINST HOTSHOT FRESHMEN TALENT...........a big lesson for the ESPN highlight reel savvy never played a lick of college sports like I did and as a rookie.....you think you are superman until you get in the weight room and get into drills at practice .....vets will keep you honest and show you up ....bigtime!!
Cue the third beatdown by North Carolina most likely....its happening before your eyes people!!!
Georgia St -1.5 1x ....quality program and know how to coach to win a key game.....going light due to lack of complete familiarity
Wichita/Cinci.....Shockers appear to be one of the most motivated teams going and I have hit on almost every one so far that are in form except for Colorado last night.....I would play +4.5 but maybe my run is going to turn...try it
Kansas -1 1x ....playing loose....don't like Iowa St's play this yr and I believe this is a revenge game
Utah St. -5.5 2x....I could make the case that they are better than Nevada....we shall see if they can beat a hot SDST who matched up well twice with Nevada....but it will be different vs UST
G. South -4 1x ....star player will get them where they need to be
S.Hall +4.5 2x ....simply a better team than Villa and I love Villas coach so if they have something cooked up for SH, I would like to see it....my money remains firmly on SH who like big games!
BWG +11 3x....I subscribe to the theory that Buffalo used up a lot of energy emotionally and physically yesterday vs CMU.....with an upset likely causing them to be a little rattled today....it could make them uptight, or it could cause them to get a blowout win here....I think tired legs will prevent that...too many pts
FSU +7.5 3x ....see above what I wrote for BWG....emotionally charged game for Duke and relief.....FSU is going to be super focused and motivated to snag themselves a ACC title and likely #2 seed as a result
Old Dom +1.5...1x....been fading them and they are showing me something with their last eight of every game pulling out easy wins after being down for most of the game
Oregon -1.5 2x....my guest buddy on this thread was really high on them and K-State and with Ducks in fine form and health, they will win a squeaker over a talented Huskies team....should cover by 3 -5 pts I figure
UCIrvine Over 127.5....talented team with a spread at -9 and only a low total? I expect UCI to play easy and hit the FT line to inflate the score in the 2nd half
BOL
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Saturday plays....starting the day with 51 Units
Georgia St -1.5 1x ....quality program and know how to coach to win a key game.....going light due to lack of complete familiarity
Wichita/Cinci.....Shockers appear to be one of the most motivated teams going and I have hit on almost every one so far that are in form except for Colorado last night.....I would play +4.5 but maybe my run is going to turn...try it
Kansas -1 1x ....playing loose....don't like Iowa St's play this yr and I believe this is a revenge game
Utah St. -5.5 2x....I could make the case that they are better than Nevada....we shall see if they can beat a hot SDST who matched up well twice with Nevada....but it will be different vs UST
G. South -4 1x ....star player will get them where they need to be
S.Hall +4.5 2x ....simply a better team than Villa and I love Villas coach so if they have something cooked up for SH, I would like to see it....my money remains firmly on SH who like big games!
BWG +11 3x....I subscribe to the theory that Buffalo used up a lot of energy emotionally and physically yesterday vs CMU.....with an upset likely causing them to be a little rattled today....it could make them uptight, or it could cause them to get a blowout win here....I think tired legs will prevent that...too many pts
FSU +7.5 3x ....see above what I wrote for BWG....emotionally charged game for Duke and relief.....FSU is going to be super focused and motivated to snag themselves a ACC title and likely #2 seed as a result
Old Dom +1.5...1x....been fading them and they are showing me something with their last eight of every game pulling out easy wins after being down for most of the game
Oregon -1.5 2x....my guest buddy on this thread was really high on them and K-State and with Ducks in fine form and health, they will win a squeaker over a talented Huskies team....should cover by 3 -5 pts I figure
UCIrvine Over 127.5....talented team with a spread at -9 and only a low total? I expect UCI to play easy and hit the FT line to inflate the score in the 2nd half
Sitting at 3 -4 -2 Units....meh.....Oregon wins by 2....its a saw and then I have the late game
Regardless......I am sitting at 49 Units. I see a spot tomorrow.
Tennessee -4.5 5x......Auburn has some guards that are good shooters but nothing inside. I mean....they made only one FT today....wow. I have been doing well with Auburn but that is not going to cut it with Tenn who have 3 senior players who play inside, outside and power positions that will bring home the title and if they are as motivated as I expect....they said today they are the best team in the country on national tv after the game...all the motivation is with Tenn especially with the fact they lost last time to Auburn by 4
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Sitting at 3 -4 -2 Units....meh.....Oregon wins by 2....its a saw and then I have the late game
Regardless......I am sitting at 49 Units. I see a spot tomorrow.
Tennessee -4.5 5x......Auburn has some guards that are good shooters but nothing inside. I mean....they made only one FT today....wow. I have been doing well with Auburn but that is not going to cut it with Tenn who have 3 senior players who play inside, outside and power positions that will bring home the title and if they are as motivated as I expect....they said today they are the best team in the country on national tv after the game...all the motivation is with Tenn especially with the fact they lost last time to Auburn by 4
St. Louis +1 5x....have buzzsawed through some good offenses and I remember now how they started the year in their non-Conf sched...playing a lot of good teams early in the sched.....now its paying off. Bonnies have been hot but likely overmatched here vs a battle hardened foe.
They beat Seton Hall, Butler, Oreg. St. and only lost to Houston by 4...on the road....thats a helluva resume
St. Bonnavenure = got smoked by 20 or more by VCU, SYRACUSE and BUFFALO
Sorry, Vegas has set an old fashioned trap here....??
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Sunday also:
St. Louis +1 5x....have buzzsawed through some good offenses and I remember now how they started the year in their non-Conf sched...playing a lot of good teams early in the sched.....now its paying off. Bonnies have been hot but likely overmatched here vs a battle hardened foe.
They beat Seton Hall, Butler, Oreg. St. and only lost to Houston by 4...on the road....thats a helluva resume
St. Bonnavenure = got smoked by 20 or more by VCU, SYRACUSE and BUFFALO
Sorry, Vegas has set an old fashioned trap here....??
Houston -4.5 5x......don't like this Cinci team and was one week away from placing Houston in my Top tier of rankings....I am thoroughly impressed with Houston and not with Cinci.....who should play from behind the whole game after the 10 min mark and which team would you rather side with?
Houston beat Cinci by 16 in Cinci...last week....they beat Utah St. by 10....LSU by 6 and Oregon by 4....all in the NCAA tourney
Cinci beat Ole Miss....Xavier and UCLA....non of which are going to be in the NCAA tourney .....they did beat Temple and UCF in tight games and they should be in the tourney
Who would you side with....haha??
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Houston -4.5 5x......don't like this Cinci team and was one week away from placing Houston in my Top tier of rankings....I am thoroughly impressed with Houston and not with Cinci.....who should play from behind the whole game after the 10 min mark and which team would you rather side with?
Houston beat Cinci by 16 in Cinci...last week....they beat Utah St. by 10....LSU by 6 and Oregon by 4....all in the NCAA tourney
Cinci beat Ole Miss....Xavier and UCLA....non of which are going to be in the NCAA tourney .....they did beat Temple and UCF in tight games and they should be in the tourney
Not touching Sparty/Wolverines.....lean....revenge for Wolverines who have a better defense but this is going to be a beauty like Tenn-Kentucky and Duke/UNC
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Not touching Sparty/Wolverines.....lean....revenge for Wolverines who have a better defense but this is going to be a beauty like Tenn-Kentucky and Duke/UNC
Harvard +4.5....2x.....hard to figure out what Vegas is thinking with this line especially when Yale has lost twice to H and was life and death to close their game out on Saturday
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Another Play:
Harvard +4.5....2x.....hard to figure out what Vegas is thinking with this line especially when Yale has lost twice to H and was life and death to close their game out on Saturday
Terrrible day.....shocked by Tenn and Houston 45 Units it is starting the tourney....just forming my BUILT FOR TOURNEY READY TEAM RANKINGS
Some of my rankings may include teams that don't make it but the same sort of thing can be applied to the NIT or other tourney.
Statistical Criteria that helps determine a Great Tourney Ready Team that has the pedigree to go far:
1. Scorer to take over a game in the crunch >18 pts = +1.0 factor ......Duke has 2 x 1.0 factor
2. Free Throw team ranking <100 ranking = 1.0 factor
3. Rebounding....lean to offensive in weighting but under 60 rank in Defense is good <100 in offensive = 1.0 factor
4. Team defense ranks....overall good or 2 Categories <100 rank = 1.0 factor
5. Three pt shooting rank <100 ....= 1.0 factor....extremely necessary to be able to climb back into a game after a bad half or late in the ball game to force OT
Ratings soon based on their Total Factor in Stats......use or lose
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Terrrible day.....shocked by Tenn and Houston 45 Units it is starting the tourney....just forming my BUILT FOR TOURNEY READY TEAM RANKINGS
Some of my rankings may include teams that don't make it but the same sort of thing can be applied to the NIT or other tourney.
Statistical Criteria that helps determine a Great Tourney Ready Team that has the pedigree to go far:
1. Scorer to take over a game in the crunch >18 pts = +1.0 factor ......Duke has 2 x 1.0 factor
2. Free Throw team ranking <100 ranking = 1.0 factor
3. Rebounding....lean to offensive in weighting but under 60 rank in Defense is good <100 in offensive = 1.0 factor
4. Team defense ranks....overall good or 2 Categories <100 rank = 1.0 factor
5. Three pt shooting rank <100 ....= 1.0 factor....extremely necessary to be able to climb back into a game after a bad half or late in the ball game to force OT
Ratings soon based on their Total Factor in Stats......use or lose
...a big lesson for the ESPN highlight reel savvy never played a lick of college sports like I did and as a rookie.....you think you are superman until you get in the weight room and get into drills at practice .....vets will keep you honest and show you up ....bigtime!!
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