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    All Forums | College Basketball

    KENPOM SAYS....Its time again

    «First Previous 123
    lets_go_out
    Contrarian
    TheCatsAreHere
    lcpopp
    OKKID
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    Views: 8493
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    «First Previous 123
     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 3:02 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by stiffler1705:

    Letsgoout BOL, been following the other Kenpom system (which seems much different than yours, and both are doing well from the looks of it)

    BoL

    same to you bro.....Lets drop the MAN.....whichever system you use
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    Quote Originally Posted by stiffler1705:

    Letsgoout BOL, been following the other Kenpom system (which seems much different than yours, and both are doing well from the looks of it)

    BoL

    same to you bro.....Lets drop the MAN.....whichever system you use
     
    Contrarian
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 3:02 PM ET #52

    lets go tout-kudos for coming clean about your past. Still makes me wonder where this was going if you hadn't been outed.But enough of that. My question is-You obviously did quite well early on so you decided to try and capitalize on it by going tout. After doing so you failed miserably. Is your plan now to bet against your system in another month from now?Have you tweaked your system? Do you know why you lost so badly later in the year ?

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    lets go tout-kudos for coming clean about your past. Still makes me wonder where this was going if you hadn't been outed.But enough of that. My question is-You obviously did quite well early on so you decided to try and capitalize on it by going tout. After doing so you failed miserably. Is your plan now to bet against your system in another month from now?Have you tweaked your system? Do you know why you lost so badly later in the year ?

     
    TheCatsAreHere
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 3:40 PM ET #53

    just read the thread and im not familiar with this system but after yesterdays numbers this seems like it could be a great system. good work lets_go_out 
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    just read the thread and im not familiar with this system but after yesterdays numbers this seems like it could be a great system. good work lets_go_out 
     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 3:41 PM ET #54

    yes....We narrowed the window of the systems success....We will advise a system fade at some point....it took many weeks of backtesting to narrow the window....actually we are thinking that the system isn't firing on all cylinders yet....in about two weeks we should have it where we want it.....As far as outing me....i already outed myself in another thread....i can only say "i'm sorry" so many times......Like i sais ...I took some bad advise from people that were in this for the wrong reasons....many people were mad and i lost more than a few friends over it....im sure we all have regretful happenings in our past...mine just took place in the forum of public opinion.....i wear my heart on my sleeve now and am willing to take the blame for my past "moral deviations".....I'm in it now for nothing more than the sport of it...My personal life is in a great place right now and i return to everyone a more humble and apprieciative person....For those who cannot forgive me i humbly accept their reluctance...for those that can i vow to not let them down again.......choice is yours....

    LGO

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    yes....We narrowed the window of the systems success....We will advise a system fade at some point....it took many weeks of backtesting to narrow the window....actually we are thinking that the system isn't firing on all cylinders yet....in about two weeks we should have it where we want it.....As far as outing me....i already outed myself in another thread....i can only say "i'm sorry" so many times......Like i sais ...I took some bad advise from people that were in this for the wrong reasons....many people were mad and i lost more than a few friends over it....im sure we all have regretful happenings in our past...mine just took place in the forum of public opinion.....i wear my heart on my sleeve now and am willing to take the blame for my past "moral deviations".....I'm in it now for nothing more than the sport of it...My personal life is in a great place right now and i return to everyone a more humble and apprieciative person....For those who cannot forgive me i humbly accept their reluctance...for those that can i vow to not let them down again.......choice is yours....

    LGO

     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 4:07 PM ET #55

    Will have 1 or 2 more plays for night games.....Just waiting to run system again on late games...could be none if numbers come back different than this morning....i always like to run the number after the lines change....we will putting the two games in a parlay as well as betting them str8 up.....I'll post them i an hour or so if they come up as a play with the updated line movement

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    Will have 1 or 2 more plays for night games.....Just waiting to run system again on late games...could be none if numbers come back different than this morning....i always like to run the number after the lines change....we will putting the two games in a parlay as well as betting them str8 up.....I'll post them i an hour or so if they come up as a play with the updated line movement

     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 4:46 PM ET #56

    Final two plays....

    Cal. -3 (btw..cal was barely a play @ -3...if you can get a better line grab it)

    NC.ST. -11

     

    we parlayed the two as well....gl....will post tommorrow by 5 pm or so....

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    Final two plays....

    Cal. -3 (btw..cal was barely a play @ -3...if you can get a better line grab it)

    NC.ST. -11

     

    we parlayed the two as well....gl....will post tommorrow by 5 pm or so....

     
    lcpopp
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 5:41 PM ET #57

    how is it you and beaverfan use the same #s, opposite on cal and nc st, added games are beating the systems up. BOL- yesterday in the beginning was very impressive, first time i've  seen you guys! i'll definitely be watching closely
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    how is it you and beaverfan use the same #s, opposite on cal and nc st, added games are beating the systems up. BOL- yesterday in the beginning was very impressive, first time i've  seen you guys! i'll definitely be watching closely
     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 6:29 PM ET #58

    Not sure how beaverfan comes to his selections....I'd love to discuss what he and i are both doing....if our plays on Cal And Nc St differ seems it would be a good thing for him given my record today.....I use an algorithum and plug in various Kenpom numbers into it...I highly doubt we use the same method of picking games....Yes we both use Kenpom charts...however i use a complete algorithum with the numbers....Today it sucked....In my expeirence with my system when the early games tank the late games hit and vice versa.....the system should be running much smoother when the Kenpom number have had another week or two to saturate.....backtesting showed the system became most effective around the 18-21 of january and became excellent fade material when most teams had 2-4 games left in their season.....hope this helps.......LGO
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    Not sure how beaverfan comes to his selections....I'd love to discuss what he and i are both doing....if our plays on Cal And Nc St differ seems it would be a good thing for him given my record today.....I use an algorithum and plug in various Kenpom numbers into it...I highly doubt we use the same method of picking games....Yes we both use Kenpom charts...however i use a complete algorithum with the numbers....Today it sucked....In my expeirence with my system when the early games tank the late games hit and vice versa.....the system should be running much smoother when the Kenpom number have had another week or two to saturate.....backtesting showed the system became most effective around the 18-21 of january and became excellent fade material when most teams had 2-4 games left in their season.....hope this helps.......LGO
     
    OKKID
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 6:31 PM ET #59

    How are your picks doing today??
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    How are your picks doing today??
     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 6:32 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by OKKID:

    How are your picks doing today??

    Imagine a steaming pile of dog SH*T.......bout that good.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by OKKID:

    How are your picks doing today??

    Imagine a steaming pile of dog SH*T.......bout that good.....

     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 6:37 PM ET #61

    FWIW when the system tanks it usually does really great the next day....Very strange how the system can hit and tank with such entirety....Feast or Famine....wish i could put my finger on the key to that....hopefully someday we will be able to get this thing figured out mathmatically......sometimes it really makes my brain hurt......
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    FWIW when the system tanks it usually does really great the next day....Very strange how the system can hit and tank with such entirety....Feast or Famine....wish i could put my finger on the key to that....hopefully someday we will be able to get this thing figured out mathmatically......sometimes it really makes my brain hurt......
     
    OKKID
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 7:32 PM ET #62

    I hope people aren't dumb enough to take your plays and make there own plays. Ever here of the gofuckyourself system? Works well moron. Keep flipping your quarter tout!!
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    I hope people aren't dumb enough to take your plays and make there own plays. Ever here of the gofuckyourself system? Works well moron. Keep flipping your quarter tout!!
     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 7:49 PM ET #63

    I hope people dont" take my plays and make their own plays" either...... well said

     

     

     

    tee hee

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    I hope people dont" take my plays and make their own plays" either...... well said

     

     

     

    tee hee

     
    Contrarian
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2012 - 1:22 PM ET #64

    lets go tout---I've looked at all of your posts from this year and you made no admittance of being a former tout until I brought it up.If you're doing this out of the goodness of your heart how come you're not posting at SBR  anymore ? Or are you still banned from there ? I still question  the validity of a system  that requires you to bet the opposite of your picks at a certain time.I'm curious to know what your yearly record was last year.Like many "systems" they  usually seem to revert  to the mean.Maybe this year you'll start out cold and then get hot ?50/50 proposition at best
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    lets go tout---I've looked at all of your posts from this year and you made no admittance of being a former tout until I brought it up.If you're doing this out of the goodness of your heart how come you're not posting at SBR  anymore ? Or are you still banned from there ? I still question  the validity of a system  that requires you to bet the opposite of your picks at a certain time.I'm curious to know what your yearly record was last year.Like many "systems" they  usually seem to revert  to the mean.Maybe this year you'll start out cold and then get hot ?50/50 proposition at best
     
     
    lets_go_out
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2012 - 3:32 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

    lets go tout---I've looked at all of your posts from this year and you made no admittance of being a former tout until I brought it up.If you're doing this out of the goodness of your heart how come you're not posting at SBR  anymore ? Or are you still banned from there ? I still question  the validity of a system  that requires you to bet the opposite of your picks at a certain time.I'm curious to know what your yearly record was last year.Like many "systems" they  usually seem to revert  to the mean.Maybe this year you'll start out cold and then get hot ?50/50 proposition at best

     

    Dude if it was Anonimty i was looking for i probably would've used a different username.....What exactly is it you want from me....I bust my ass every night working on this system...all i'm doing is posting the system for anyone interested....I recommend everyone come up with their own plays...I've answered every PM ive recieved and answered everyone to the best of my ability....I'm all done apologizing so get over it....Here's an idea....Stop paying attention to my posts....They seem to really bother you....Why than so much attention....one would think indifference would be the answer for you.....every time you post it feels like a jilted lover creeping around my back door....give me your address and I'll send you a pair of my used undies so you can walk around with them over your head....Don't worry about creeping your neighbor's out i'm sure they already think badly of you anyway......Get a hobby......BTW ....I like the Lets go TOUT reference....that made me laugh.......to answer your questions....Yes ...I am Banned from SBR.....Yes i do think its strange to suggest that people fade at some point, a system i workd so hard on....Mabey it challanges its validity....however ....Predictablity is what im interested in....If it means at some point fading the system so be it....and BTW in the 3 years I've posted the plays we have never finished 50/50......even with the colllapse last year we were still over 90 units up....

    I'll be posting tonights picks in another thread....as per the requests via PM......People asked me to do so so they didn't have to find them by going page to page.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

    lets go tout---I've looked at all of your posts from this year and you made no admittance of being a former tout until I brought it up.If you're doing this out of the goodness of your heart how come you're not posting at SBR  anymore ? Or are you still banned from there ? I still question  the validity of a system  that requires you to bet the opposite of your picks at a certain time.I'm curious to know what your yearly record was last year.Like many "systems" they  usually seem to revert  to the mean.Maybe this year you'll start out cold and then get hot ?50/50 proposition at best

     

    Dude if it was Anonimty i was looking for i probably would've used a different username.....What exactly is it you want from me....I bust my ass every night working on this system...all i'm doing is posting the system for anyone interested....I recommend everyone come up with their own plays...I've answered every PM ive recieved and answered everyone to the best of my ability....I'm all done apologizing so get over it....Here's an idea....Stop paying attention to my posts....They seem to really bother you....Why than so much attention....one would think indifference would be the answer for you.....every time you post it feels like a jilted lover creeping around my back door....give me your address and I'll send you a pair of my used undies so you can walk around with them over your head....Don't worry about creeping your neighbor's out i'm sure they already think badly of you anyway......Get a hobby......BTW ....I like the Lets go TOUT reference....that made me laugh.......to answer your questions....Yes ...I am Banned from SBR.....Yes i do think its strange to suggest that people fade at some point, a system i workd so hard on....Mabey it challanges its validity....however ....Predictablity is what im interested in....If it means at some point fading the system so be it....and BTW in the 3 years I've posted the plays we have never finished 50/50......even with the colllapse last year we were still over 90 units up....

    I'll be posting tonights picks in another thread....as per the requests via PM......People asked me to do so so they didn't have to find them by going page to page.....

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