joe shmoe's first time starting his own thread - thread

Yes.  Just take a look at the #'s from the first half of the Big West tourney.  Lot of low production.  There aren't too many teams scoring over 60. 

Ahhhh, finally someone asks the $1.99 question.  I don't want to share my complete system.  But I have shared the jist of it with others.

If you know EC's half by half systerm, that's a good starting point.  Our 1H system is pretty similar.  If you don't know it, it's basically this:

- look at the 1H line and comparing it to the past few games (on the same court).

- make sure the lines set by the book are within 10 pts

- if the lines are within 10 pts and history shows that the games were low scoring (under the current 1H) you play the under

- and if history shows that it played over the current 1H line, you play the over.

So that's pretty similar to my system but I just add a few more elements to it.  I just don't rely on those #'s.  If I'm capping "right" I look at about 10 other things along with those #'s. 

As for 2H - I believe EC does the same thing for the 2H as 1H.  My 2H system takes into account past performance just like his does, but I have "rules" or bucket plays.  I don't really want to get into it but I a lot of what I do depends on pace of game and efficiency and what the 1H total looks like compared to the overall line set for the game.

I know that doesn't completely answer your question, but I hope it sheds some light.  My sides involve more "gut" and feel than totals.

Nev -2

Over 70.5 <------ does not fully meet the requirements of my system play.  might want to play for a smaller amount.

Yeah, it gets crazy at times.  I try to crunch #'s before the 2H lines are set.  But cover's is slow on my computer and my book releases the lines slow at times. 

BTW - you look crazy in your pix.  I wouldn't want to f* with you.  Take that shiz down.  You make me feel like a lesser man.

Quote Originally Posted by Bulldog22:

Joe, what are your thoughts on the last game of the night?  I respect your opinion and wish you still gave it in the Three Amigos page.  Thanks for your hard work

I'm on CSUN +.5 1H

Under 61 1H.

The reason why I'm posting here is b/c

1) I was posting way too much on EC's thread.  Didn't want people to think I was trying to hijack his thread.  It was starting to look like that even to me.

2) While I would say about 75% of my plays are similar to his, there are still plays I'm opposite on.  Some are winners and some are losers.  But I just wanted to be able to post all my plays b/c I don't want to be the guy that comes back after a game is over and says I was on the other side and I won. 

Hope you understand.  And trust me, I'm still following EC and the rest of the boys.  I would be a fool not to.

I'm not watching the game but looking at the #'s I'm seeing, it looks like the pace is great in the Utah St game, just the efficiency is crappy.

Anyone watching it?  Any insights?