Is MOLLYDOG CHEATING?

21- 7 last nite 

mollydog posted EIU 139.5 now it's 141 means u take it OVER when close to tip off if it stays OVER 139.5

Write down all mollydogs plays and the lines.  Then when games are over, see if plays and lines are the same.  Covers aint cheating on this contest

@KushMartin2

Why Certain Contest Players Always Get “The Best Line” in College Basketball

There has been a lot of confusion on Covers about one recurring issue:
How can certain players always seem to lock in the best number in college hoops contests?

They aren’t psychic.
They aren’t super-sharp handicappers.
They aren’t fixing games.

What they *are* doing is taking advantage of how the contest lines are updated.

Let’s break it down in simple terms.

---

## 1. Contest Lines Come From Pinnacle

Covers uses Pinnacle as the line source. That part is straightforward.

But here’s the important point:

**Pinnacle updates instantly. Covers updates on a delay.**
Usually around **10–15 minutes**.

This delay is where the entire “advantage” comes from.

---

## 2. College Basketball Lines Move More Than Any Other Sport

In major sports (NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB), lines barely move:

* Half a point here
* A point there
* Nothing major

But in smaller college basketball games, early lines can move **5–10 points** in a single morning.

Why?

Because these lines are soft, the limits are low, and sharp bettors hit bad numbers immediately.

Example of what happens all the time:

Pinnacle opens Lindenwood **+3.5**.
Sharp bettors smash it.
Thirty minutes later it’s **Lindenwood -3**.

That’s a **6.5-point swing** — something that never happens in pro sports.

---

## 3. Covers Lines Don’t Move During These Sharp Moves

When Pinnacle jumps from:

**+3.5 ? -3**

Covers is still showing the old number for several minutes.

So while the real world is at **LINW -3**, Covers contestants still see **LINW +3.5**.

That number is stale.

And anybody who enters picks during that gap is getting a line that no longer exists anywhere else.

---

## 4. This Creates “Free Value”

If you can grab:

* +3.5 when the true market is -2
* +4 when the true market is -1
* +2.5 when the true market is -3

you’re basically flipping a coin where someone already tells you the outcome.

This is called **closing line value (CLV)**.
In college basketball, CLV is extremely powerful.
If you beat the close by 3+ points, you win far more often than you lose — even if your actual handicapping is mediocre.

This is why certain players:

* Look unbeatable
* Always get the best number
* Only dominate during college basketball season
* Don’t win in NBA, NHL, MLB, NFL

Because pro sports do not move enough to create stale lines.

College hoops *do*.

---

## 5. These Players Are Not Handicapping Geniuses

Let’s call it what it is:

They are not beating the market.
They are beating **Covers’ 10–15 minute update lag**.

The formula is simple:

1. Watch Pinnacle live.
2. Wait for a big steam move.
3. Jump into Covers before the update hits.
4. Lock in a number that is already outdated.

This is not illegal.
But it’s not “handicapping skill,” either.
It’s timing and exploiting a delay.

---

## 6. Why They Only Win in College Basketball

Because:

* No other sport has wild early-morning line swings
* No other sport is as soft at open
* No other sport creates 4- to 7-point stale numbers
* No other sport gives free CLV the way small-conference CBB does

It’s the perfect storm for gaming the system.

---

## 7. What This Means for Contest Players

If you wonder:

“How does this guy always get the best number?”

The answer is simple:

He’s entering picks during the line-lag window every morning while Pinnacle is moving the market and Covers hasn’t updated yet.

Nothing more.
Nothing less.
No mystery.

@Vladieee

 you are clearly a bot account or run by someone at covers.