Posted:
#101
0
i've seen enough ..... time to get serious
Posted:
#103
POY type play on Miami FL tomorrow against Pitt, be ready if line is anything -5 or under. They are gonna smoke Pitt at home after their FSU debacle and with ACC title on line. Pitt was exposed vs ND and Larranaga is one of the top coaches and will mimick Brey's tactics. Plus, the U is just much better than Pitt and doesn't rely on the 3 as a one-sided O strategy
0
Posted:
#104
ok...... indiana state...... they lost to Belmont, by 1, in nashville, just 10 days ago.... Indy st got caught up in the run n gun game and lost the 3 point contest that night as they only hit 8/25. Move to a neutral court and unfriendly confines of St Lou for Belmont that relies on the 3 ball for almost 40% of its points. Belmont is wildly 1-dimensional and is a bottom 10 team in the nation regarding points from the FT line. Belmont doesn't get inside and doesn't draw fouls and doesn't get to the line much. Despite Belmont being a very good shooting team across the board, they really just look for the 3 and Indy St should have the advantage on O and D today. Why? Simple. Indy St is the #1 team, yes, the #1 team, nationally in 2 pt FG % at 60%!!! They also shoot 76% from the FT line and do draw many more fouls and get to the line more than belmont, thus having the adv there. They are also a very good shootng team across the board and just lacking in 3 pt % to Belmont. Indy St is taller, deeper, more experienced, and has more returning % minutes/points from last year. Those aren't game changers but it matters positively each one, so aggregated there are a lot of checks on the Indy St side. But most importantly is that Indy St does limit (not in the first game so much which they will learn from and adapt) opponent 3 pt FG points and %. They are 80th in the nation at limiting opponents to 27% of points from 3. After the 1st meeting, this should be the focus. On the other end, Belmont disallows the 3 also at a high clip but advantage ISU bc Belmont gives up 60% of opponent points from 2. Bottom line........ none of this really means anything other than ISU has lots of small advantages in most areas so the odds are in their favor. The 'big' advantage is situational and that Belmont is not going to be shooting tons of 3s at home in nashville this game. They'll be in a much larger arena with new sightlines and backgrouns and depth perceptions. I'll rely on ISU to take this game and get revenge on Belmont on the bigger stage.
0
Hot Forum Topics
