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I have won 16 of 22 games with a system I have been using ONLY in NCAA B-Ball

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Posts: 147

ragingstorm

MVP

Joined: Sep, 2003

Posts: 15576

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:51 PM ET #101

BET THE FUCKING OPPOSITE OF THE LINE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

example

KANSAS is AVG 84 PPG
UMASS is AVG 69

KANSAS is -15

KANSAS is giving up 62 ppg

UMASS is giving up 74

KANSAS is now - another 12

15+12 =27

KANSAS -27

The actual line was -KANSAS -18

The PUBLIC was ALL OVER KANSAS.

So play on the opposite is UMASS +18

ragingstorm

MVP

Joined: Sep, 2003

Posts: 15576

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:52 PM ET #102

I think you got it. Good becuase I need help. Sorry I wasnt around. I had to work today.,

Bird4332

Covers Rehab

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 10520

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:55 PM ET #103

Quote Originally Posted by ragingstorm:

I think you got it. Good becuase I need help. Sorry I wasnt around. I had to work today.,

its the exact same thing i run almost Raging. Glad you pointed out that TEMP game cause i had my numbers mixed up with a different game...

GSHawk20

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 593

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:55 PM ET #104

Thanks storm, sorry about the mis understanding.

Bird4332

Covers Rehab

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 10520

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:55 PM ET #105

Oh and as we get deeper in the season dont use overall stats start using home and away...

D-MACK

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 35

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:56 PM ET #106

I TRIED ONE MY SELF WOULD GA.ST BE THE PLAY AGAINST FSU

nbafan88

Hall of Fame

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 26899

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:56 PM ET #107

where do you guys get the Public % from?

ragingstorm

MVP

Joined: Sep, 2003

Posts: 15576

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:58 PM ET #108

Oh. I was thinking why did you take Tenn if you ran almost the same thing. Glad I posted this morning

Play on Northern Iowa +3 and New Mexico -4

Strong on Northern Iowa OK on NM. Im bound to lose fire soon so be careful. I also won on the totals system last night 4-0 between team totals AND game totals. So please bet with caution. .

clepto

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2001

Posts: 34492

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 2:59 PM ET #109

Can you start a new thread and list todays plays as they come please?

Bird4332

Covers Rehab

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 10520

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:01 PM ET #110

The only time i make plays is if the PUB is over 75%. Feel more confident and it has to be double the actual spread or a complete landslide to the fav. but you got to remember im using home/away stats. I have yet to bet on favs it has all been dogs...

nbafan88

Hall of Fame

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 26899

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:01 PM ET #111

Why New Mexico?

manifesto

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 763

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:02 PM ET #112

Pacific at Pepperdine

Pac should be -9, they are -6....public on Pac at 60%....bet Pepperdine, correct?

Bird4332

Covers Rehab

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 10520

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:03 PM ET #113

Todays plays for my FADED SYSTEM so far today are, IND ST, UMASS, and VALPO. Looking at DEP and SF for tonight...

ragingstorm

MVP

Joined: Sep, 2003

Posts: 15576

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:03 PM ET #114

FSU is the right concept but NOT A PLAY because the difference is NOT enough.

NEW MEXICO should be getting 1 but are giving 4 (always buy) therefore with only 56% on the Submitfavorite (NM) the play is on NM!!

BryGuy247

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 1390

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:04 PM ET #115

Quote Originally Posted by manifesto:

Pacific at Pepperdine

Pac should be -9, they are -6....public on Pac at 60%....bet Pepperdine, correct?

let me step in, think raging is getting lots of questions
I think the gap needs to be >5
so the -9 vs -6 is only a gap of 3
look for a larger gap

Bird4332

Covers Rehab

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 10520

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:04 PM ET #116

How many ML winners has your brought up? My biggest one was WKU over LOU as 17 pt home dogs...

GSHawk20

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 593

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:06 PM ET #117

Harvard & Geo. Wash. game: Geo Wash -10.5, should've been +2, public @ 80 % on Geo Wash. was the play Harvard ?

Kings55dez

Banned

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 6330

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:06 PM ET #118

Rage can you post you NBA picks for tonite?

www.Lucky-Bet.site => Bet on Sports - 50% Deposit Bonus

ShittaMcStoolie

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 29

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:07 PM ET #119

Quote Originally Posted by ragingstorm:

Believe me or not I dont give a rats ass.

Last night my games were Middle Tenn St. And Miami(Ohio)

Here what you do

Take team A

Say that team A is avg 66 PPG on Offense

Team B is AVG 58

Now team A is favored by 8 points.

Now move on to defense

Say team A is giving up 57 PPG and team is giving up 63

Now team is is favored another 6 on defense. 6+ 8 =14

What do u do with this?

BET THE OPPOSITE

but NEVER BET WITH THE PUBLIC!!!!!!

UNLESS the favorite is getting less than 55% support.

So team A is favored by 14 in my theory

Say the vegas line is TEAM A -6. they are only 6 points better but the damn Vegas line for some reason has them at -14 and the public thinks team B is going to cover then you take the bad line. becuase Vegas expects you to take the DOG.

Now if team A in our line was 8 points better but were giving 2 you take the dog because the public will always take the fav becuase the line is low.

Example tonight

Drake is avg 69 PPG
GaS is AVG 66

Drake -3

Defense Drake gives up an Avg of 62 and GaS gives up 78

so minus another 16

Drake in my line should be favored by 16+3=19

The real line is Drake -12

The public has Drake 75%

The play is Ga Southern +12

Ill probably lose tonight but this shit seriously works. NBA also but not as well as totals. I have develooped a killer team total system in the NBA Ill get to that whenever

Most systems are silly ... but this is one is the most silly I have seen in a while ...

manifesto

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 763

Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 3:09 PM ET #120

Quote Originally Posted by Bird4332:

Todays plays for my FADED SYSTEM so far today are, IND ST, UMASS, and VALPO. Looking at DEP and SF for tonight...

Bird - sorry but can you explain Valpo....does not look like big enough public on Valpo to make this a play (where do you get your public % by the way?)