Humpday Selections

Here are some plays for the day...nice card.

Toledo +17

*Yes I know this team is horrible, but this game could be played around 100-110 possessions which would make it very difficult for this line to be covered. Miami-OH has covered a spread of this size ONE TIME back in November...they get very little bench production, so if 1 or 2 starters are off...Toledo should have zero issues covering this spread.  Miami-OH just threw out a 50% effort against Northern Illinois and only won by 5pts.

Northern Illinois +6.5

*Same thing here, except it may be even more of a drastic drop-off in possessions.  BG plays their best basketball when staying around 50 possessions and getting good shots.  Northern however will try to bump the tempo up and use their athleticism & rebounding advantage.  A solid game from Silas gives them their best chance to stay close.

UTEP -3.5

*This is a game where I think SMU will come out with a flat tire after their large win at Tulane.  A game in which McCoy got injured and will be missed.  SMU's strength is their inside game, which I don't see being effective against the size of Character and the athletes UTEP will throw out there.  Its about time for Culpepper to have a solid game and what better team to do it against than SMU giving up nearly 40% from deep defensively.

Baylor -2

*This game favors Baylor in almost every area.  They have the size to give Diaz fits down low...and athleticly are slightly better than KSU who just demolished Nebraska.  If Carter & Dunn are on, this wont be pretty.

North Carolina +5.5

*I know Duke is the better team, and the better shooters.  But as bad as UNC has been this is a team they should absolutely demolish in the paint.  Duke has ZERO answer for Davis & Thompson...and if UNC gets a slight bit of outside shooting they could hang...and the arena will be rocking.

New Mexico +5.5

*Revenge spot here, UNLV already owns a 12pt victory over New Mexico...yet in that game they shot like shit and it cost them.  From that game, UNLV is now missing Jasper & possibly Bellfield who combined for 6pts, 10reb & 13 of the Rebels 20 assists in the last meeting.  They got CRUSHED on the boards last meeting, and it could get UGLY again tonight without Jasper.  Anything close to 45% shooting and they steal this roady.  Great value in the ML

Nevada -1.5

*Two factors here give the Wolfpack the edge, they don't turn the ball over...and get to the charity stripe.  They already own an 8pt victory over Idaho a game in which somehow they lost the rebounding battle...which I don't see happening again tonight.

If ya want some early day action...these 2 kick-off in 45mins...

Chelsea ML

Manchester United ML

Also liking...

Orlando ML

First 2 games looking good at halftime...both going as expected to an exact T

*As I expected a poor shooting night thus far from Miami-OH's starters only 32% ..low possession game thus far only (48 possesions)...and a 3pt Toledo lead.

*The NIU/BG is being played at a slightly quicker pace than I expected (55 possesions, was thinking this would be played around 100) but that is due to a few too many turnovers 19 combined at half...and NIU having the lead and playing to their pace rather than BG's has given them the 11pt halftime lead.

K,

Keep them coming, love your insight win or lose. Don't like to post on here, but love ur write ups.

Love the utep play,

good luck

kww

k,

I also think Ark. is going to steam roll LSU.

Just my two cents

kww

love all the plays esp... baylor, unc, and nevada

UTEP

Baylor

BOL K

2-0

*Toledo hangs around late and covers.

*Northern Illinois manages to hang on to barely cover...after shitting their pants the last 2mins.

*Not liking UTEP @ the half...were up 19-13 and allowed SMU to go on a 11-3 run to trail by 2 at the half

*Orlando blowing the doors off Chicago, midway thru 2nd quarter.

UTEP would be rolling if Character would get his shit together...

6pts & 4 turnovers...fucking bum

3-0

*Orlando smashing Chicago...should have just laid the spread...but ML -200 or less is a play if I like the team...don't see a 25pt come back in the 4th for Chicago

4-0

*UTEP finally opens the lead up and doesn't look back..as I expected...the UTEP interior defense would give SMU problems and 33% shooting kinda proves it.

*UNC looking good, just gotta hope

k

Nice night so far, good luck with the rest of the card,

Ark and utep

two wins, some beer and 35 inches of snow

kww

Good luck digging out

If these 2 games go well, I may put a bit on New Mexico ML...think they got a shot to steal it.

k

Not playing it (local probably sleeping), but like NM straight up a lot.

gl

kww