Holmey's $$$$ Thread WED - Post Your BEST Play Only - 02.10.16

Question

$$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.&#xD;&#xA;THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST! &#xD;&#xA;PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.&#xD;&#xA;RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won&#x27;t be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.&#xD;&#xA;Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week.  &#xD;&#xA;A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.&#xD;&#xA;- No buying points.&#xD;&#xA;- No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.&#xD;&#xA;- No parlays&#xD;&#xA;- No props&#xD;&#xA;- $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.&#xD;&#xA;- Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn&#x27;t go into the spreadsheet.&#xD;&#xA;AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!&#xD;&#xA;You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don&#x27;t just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.&#xD;&#xA;FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED &#xD;&#xA;Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

USC_Holmey · Answer

$$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.&#xD;&#xA;THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST! &#xD;&#xA;PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.&#xD;&#xA;RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won&#x27;t be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.&#xD;&#xA;Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week.  &#xD;&#xA;A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.&#xD;&#xA;- No buying points.&#xD;&#xA;- No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.&#xD;&#xA;- No parlays&#xD;&#xA;- No props&#xD;&#xA;- $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.&#xD;&#xA;- Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn&#x27;t go into the spreadsheet.&#xD;&#xA;AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!&#xD;&#xA;You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don&#x27;t just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.&#xD;&#xA;FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED &#xD;&#xA;Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

USC_Holmey · Answer

Hey guys. Looks like good results for Tuesday. Make sure you guys who have made two $$$$'s so far this week already remember that there is a limit of four $$$$'s per week, with the week running from Monday to Sunday.

So if you have made a $$$$ on Monday and on Tuesday, that means you only have 2 more from Wed-Sun.

Thanks and good luck!

USC_Holmey · Answer

Started off promising but Tuesday ended up at 9-8 for the thread.  Be selective today and let&#x27;s see some more $$$$ winners!

BarneysDad · Answer

South Dakota St -3 $$$$    What can be said of the Kings of the Summit Conf except rewarding their backers 4 of their last 5 in conference play. While Neb Omaha has showed they can put up points AVG 81 their last 5 and avg 83.9 at home it will not be enough to hang with the Summit automatic bid.

BadTimes · Answer

1-1 since Mondayyesterday Akron -4.5Feb 10  early pick $$$ $ south dakota state -3 $$$$they have a record of 6-1   , ats 5-2, average score around 84 against omaha in head to head. ..south dakota  st rank69 In scoring defense with more rebounds allowing  67 points while omaha rank 320 in scoring defense alloweing 80. last match they had miss some field goals and I&#x27;m hoping they still do.  79-72

Madden21 · Answer

USC when do u do record updates?

jroc1247 · Answer

What do you do when someone posts a winner on an early line. Example: My post yesterday on Purdue &#x2B;1 outright winner, Line opened on my sight at Mich St -1.5  then went to 1 round 8:00 which is when I locked in Purdue&#x2B;1. Then 3 hours later RLM  made Purdue -2 eventually blowing up to 3.

USC_Holmey · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;You mean the Standings post?  Around 10AM, PST on most days.

USC_Holmey · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;I would review it on a case-by-case situation.  I accepted your Purdue one yesterday because it looked OK and it was your first $$$$, but that was a big swing from &#x2B;1 to -3 and it was the difference between a W and an L.  We just ask everyone to post their $$$$ at the line they made their bet and then try to post the $$$$ as soon as they can.

jroc1247 · Answer

Marquette&#x2B;2 Out Right!

jroc1247 · Answer

My on-line off shore book opened Mich St as the 1.5 fav. Then dropped to 1 which is when I grabbed it. Then RLM train began to roll towards Purdue

USC_Holmey · Answer

No problem, jroc.  That line was just a real anomaly last night.  The thing that matters the most is that you won your bet!

bk1374 · Answer

Good luck today all.

Xdresser · Answer

$$$$ Pick Cal State Northridge(-5.0) over Cal state fullertonThe schizo Big West is starting to take their meds and settle down.  CSUN at home.  Top 5 scorer in league and a top 5 rebounder in league.  Beat fullerton by 10 on the road, but most importantly playing much better with win over riverside on road and a strong effort against Long Beach at the pyramid losing by 5.  Both teams shitty against spread. CSUN is stabilizing while Fullerton stays real erratic.  On a few days rest, at home, should win by 8 to 10.BOL

FenwayFrank · Answer

Looking for a bounce back!!!$$$$ play tonite Belmont -17 1/2 vs Jax StateThis is a rematch from Jan 28th where Belmont took out Jax State on the road by the score of 72-63.  Belmont comes into this game at 17-8 and 9-2 in league play. They own a 9-1 home record this year.  Jax State comes in at 8-18 and 4-7 in league play.   They come in owning a 3-10 road record.  Belmont ranks tied for 1st in the Ohio Valley in ppg at 82. Jax State ranks 9th scoring 69.  Neither team defends particularly well which favors the higher scoring Belmont squad.Where the rubber meets the road in this battle is Jax State is suffering thru injuries. In the prior meeting (Jan 28th) Jax State lost Malcolm Drumwright, their leading scorer (14 ppg) and point guard. They also lost Christian Cunningham, 5 points and 5 boards per game.  In the past two games without them Jax State has scored 53 and 58 points respectively.  Jax State will be playing this game short handed playing a 7 man rotation. This game looks like, smells like, and will hopefully play out like lasts nite game between Auburn and Tennessee....Auburn missing their leading scorer (point guard) as well as a forward.  Tennessee rolled to a 26 point win. Jax State comes into this meeting struggling to score and they will be missing another 18ppg and point man.  I see Belmont running away here. Possible 1st half action could come thru also if they run them off the court early...BOL May all your bets come thru!!

BarneysDad · Answer

GL tonight Everybody     USC for starting this thread

USC_Holmey · Answer

Thanks guys.  And I appreciate all the &#x27;thank you&#x27;s&#x27;.  I like the feel of teamwork here.  It used to take a long time each year on CBS to get the "we are all on the same team here" vibe going, but I think we are already there on Covers right now.  Keep the great $$$$&#x27;s and writeups coming!

silversilver · Answer

$$$$ play: St Bonaventure -5.5 @ Fordham

I smell a blowout. Fordham's offense is a turnover machine, and they rarely get to the line - but if they do, they're horrible FT shooters. Contrast that with Bonny - 3rd best FT shooters in the nation, good offense. Fordham has been playing like crap lately, on a 1-3 swing at home. Bonny is pumped up-they beat Saint Joseph's on the road last week. Sorry Fordham, but Posley, Adams, and Wright are too much for you. I expect a bunch of threes from Bonny and capped this game at Bonny -10.

winoNV · Answer

What is RLM?

BarneysDad · Answer

Reverse Line ,movement

bk1374 · Answer

YTD $$$ plays (0-1)Wednesday 2/10/15Scottish PremiershipRoss County - Hearts OV 2.5 (-115)Ross County have averaged 3.2 goals ppg (scored and allowed) this season in league.  That&#x27;s in 24 matches (77 goals).  Key for me with that number is that their balance in scored/allowed is 40-37, so they score, and also concede.  Including Cup matches, 9 of their last 12 have hit at least 3.  They haven&#x27;t been shut out at home in over a year (outside of one friendly).  11 of their last 12 matches (league and cup) have hit 3.  Hearts are a little more stingy with what they give up, but still have 66 totals in their 23 league matches (for and allowed), but they are only allowing about 1 goal per game.  While they are involved in more lower scoring matches than RC, they are still hitting 3 in over half their league matches this season.  Additionally, Liam Boyce is back for RC after about a month off.  He&#x27;s their leading goal scorer this season.  He played in both their cup matches in the last 2 weeks, but this is his first league game since Dec. 29th.  8 of their last 9 matches (cup and league) and 6 of their last 7 (league only) matches that he&#x27;s played in have hit 3, regardless if he&#x27;s scored or not.Sure thing, not a chance.  But at -115 I think we have the value to make this play every time.  At -115 juice, we have to be right about 54% of the time to be profitable in the long run.  I think we have a better chance to hit, thus the play.If that write-up is sufficient, then make it my $$$ play.  BOL............Match kicks at 245 PM ET / 145 PM CT (US)

USC_Holmey · Answer

"If that write-up is sufficient, then make it my $$$ play."&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Assuming it is all real (since I have no idea if those two teams even exist), then it will certainly do, bk.....

bk1374 · Answer

^^^^^ let me add/clarify.  I haven&#x27;t seen official lineups yet, so not 100% sure Boyce is in.  Based on the fact that he subbed in both recent cup matches I assume he&#x27;ll be out there, even if it&#x27;s coming off of the bench in the 2H.  He had been starting before his injury (broken hand).https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/35480150Looks like he is pushing for it.  This is a play for me either way.  Bonus if he plays, even for just a half.  They have been scoring/conceding without him, so not a huge factor in my overall decision.  Just wanted to clarify since I sort of jumped the gun saying he was back, since he may come off of the bench.

Bubbaski27 · Answer

I guess Hearts and Ross County do exist but my book has the over as even money

Bubbaski27 · Answer

$$$$$ Michigan -77 points is quite a few to lay on the road but I have this game capped at -9.  Going to take the two extra points on a team that desperately needs to go on the road and leave those two blowout home losses to IU and Spartans behind (both of which will win at least one game in the tourney).  Keep in mind Wolverines only beat the Gophers by 5 at home and now they are on the road.  The first game Michigan took their foot off the gas and cruised to a victory.  LeVert is a gametime decision for the Wolverines and I think he will be good for 20 minutes which is a bonus as he provides leadership and good decision making on the floor.  I expect Wolverines to come out pumped out and ready to give a low Minnesota team a dose of the medicine they just received.And on just how bad this Gopher team is with no support from the home crowd I have copied in this link for your reading pleasure:https://www.thedailygopher.com/2016/2/9/10950114/minnesota-basketball-where-do-we-go-from-here$$$$Michigan -7 My other lean was Seton Hall at -2 which was beat out by Michigan by 2.4%.  Thinking of making this a rare two play night for me but don&#x27;t want to chase given that I picked Xavier last night who made my eyes bleed with their lack of enthusiasm and shooting 4% from beyond the arc:(

Holmey's $$$$ Thread WED - Post Your BEST Play Only - 02.10.16

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