SU winners: 18 OT record: 5-0 Record on the open: 25-18 Winners because of the Open: 3 Losers because of the Open: 1
Notes: -Ole
Miss was a great grab, feel a little bit tricked by it all as I was
severely overrating the Rebels offense. A 1-point lead at halftime
turned into a 17-point deficit because UK was playing great offense in
the 2H and the home team couldn't do anything on offense. A 4th foul on
Nerlens Noel opened the bucket and the Rebs went on a 16-0 run but yet
another huge Noel block sent UK on a run and clinched the game. -The
Tad wasn't as crazy as I thought and that was the chance for Ole Miss to
get a quality win. It didn't work for the Rebs and this could be a
tough one to swallow with Florida on deck. They may emerge with a
tournament bid, but that's because of the weak SEC. -Kyle Wiltjer
dominated the game in a rough matchup against an extremely athletic
player. If he can score like that, he is a game changer similar to Ryan
Kelly -NCSU struggles in slow-paced games and on the road. Combine
both and laying off UVA was a mistake as the Hoos got another big win at
home. -Wisconsin's 3pt reliant offense is scary on the road, not
worth backing because they have nothing inside. Jared Berggren should go
back to the post moves he had freshman year
Guesses: ND 8.5 MICH 19.5 UGA 2 LaS 3.5 BAY 6 Temple 9.5 Cincy 9 GTown 7 VCU 16 Duke 8 OkSt 5 FSU 5.5 MIZ 4.5 UF 23 K-State 12.5 Jays 24 IU 7 CSU 11 X 4.5 Johnnies 7 AFA 3.5 MIAfl 7 WYO 1.5 TAMU 3.5 Ucla 13.5 ORE 1
SU winners: 18 OT record: 5-0 Record on the open: 25-18 Winners because of the Open: 3 Losers because of the Open: 1
Notes: -Ole
Miss was a great grab, feel a little bit tricked by it all as I was
severely overrating the Rebels offense. A 1-point lead at halftime
turned into a 17-point deficit because UK was playing great offense in
the 2H and the home team couldn't do anything on offense. A 4th foul on
Nerlens Noel opened the bucket and the Rebs went on a 16-0 run but yet
another huge Noel block sent UK on a run and clinched the game. -The
Tad wasn't as crazy as I thought and that was the chance for Ole Miss to
get a quality win. It didn't work for the Rebs and this could be a
tough one to swallow with Florida on deck. They may emerge with a
tournament bid, but that's because of the weak SEC. -Kyle Wiltjer
dominated the game in a rough matchup against an extremely athletic
player. If he can score like that, he is a game changer similar to Ryan
Kelly -NCSU struggles in slow-paced games and on the road. Combine
both and laying off UVA was a mistake as the Hoos got another big win at
home. -Wisconsin's 3pt reliant offense is scary on the road, not
worth backing because they have nothing inside. Jared Berggren should go
back to the post moves he had freshman year
Guesses: ND 8.5 MICH 19.5 UGA 2 LaS 3.5 BAY 6 Temple 9.5 Cincy 9 GTown 7 VCU 16 Duke 8 OkSt 5 FSU 5.5 MIZ 4.5 UF 23 K-State 12.5 Jays 24 IU 7 CSU 11 X 4.5 Johnnies 7 AFA 3.5 MIAfl 7 WYO 1.5 TAMU 3.5 Ucla 13.5 ORE 1
add Seton Hall +9 (-105) @ Georgetown -Tom Maayan scares the crap out of me trying to break a press, but Georgetown's last two wins over solid teams and their inability to score are keeping me around this one. The Hall has a press of their own and will look to shoot a boatload of 3pt shots, which likely won't fall on the road, but the GTown zone will allow those to be taken and its where the Hoya defense can be exploited. Whittington's suspension leaves GU lacking depth, while Seton Hall has a bunch of guys to throw at them in the backcourt for pressing/breaking the press and the GU bigs aren't scorers so I like Gene Teague's chances staying out of foul trouble. Massachusetts +8 (-102) @ La Salle -UMass has not had success in Philly against La Salle, but they don't need to win this game to cover. La Salle is off two program-changing wins at home against Butler and @VCU, which makes me think it'll be harder to get up for a team they beat twice last year. The Minutemen players have mentioned the ownage and I like the size advantage UMass has because both teams want to play fast. Should be a fun game to watch, slowing the game wouldn't hurt me either with that size. Auburn +4.5 (-102) @ Georgia -Any team that loses at home to Mississippi State should be on the fade list, but I like the way Auburn has played this year. They have a big guy and survived the Chris Denson injury so far. Four straight L's don't look great, but the blowout loss at home to Kentucky doesn't look as bad after last night and they could have beaten Ole Miss. UGA is more athletic and has more talent, but they have no home crowd and I think Mark Fox is on his way out.
add Seton Hall +9 (-105) @ Georgetown -Tom Maayan scares the crap out of me trying to break a press, but Georgetown's last two wins over solid teams and their inability to score are keeping me around this one. The Hall has a press of their own and will look to shoot a boatload of 3pt shots, which likely won't fall on the road, but the GTown zone will allow those to be taken and its where the Hoya defense can be exploited. Whittington's suspension leaves GU lacking depth, while Seton Hall has a bunch of guys to throw at them in the backcourt for pressing/breaking the press and the GU bigs aren't scorers so I like Gene Teague's chances staying out of foul trouble. Massachusetts +8 (-102) @ La Salle -UMass has not had success in Philly against La Salle, but they don't need to win this game to cover. La Salle is off two program-changing wins at home against Butler and @VCU, which makes me think it'll be harder to get up for a team they beat twice last year. The Minutemen players have mentioned the ownage and I like the size advantage UMass has because both teams want to play fast. Should be a fun game to watch, slowing the game wouldn't hurt me either with that size. Auburn +4.5 (-102) @ Georgia -Any team that loses at home to Mississippi State should be on the fade list, but I like the way Auburn has played this year. They have a big guy and survived the Chris Denson injury so far. Four straight L's don't look great, but the blowout loss at home to Kentucky doesn't look as bad after last night and they could have beaten Ole Miss. UGA is more athletic and has more talent, but they have no home crowd and I think Mark Fox is on his way out.
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