::Friday:: 3/6 (279-282-0) -37.6 units

1* 241-241 

2* 29-31

3* 7-8

4* 1-1

5* 1-1

1* Bellarmine/Central Arkansas Over 155.5

Both regular season games went over this number, one took OT to get there.  Bellarmine played yesterday and against a much slower team, and they still got over this number.  Both offensive are very efficient, and shoot the 3 well, and often, and neither defense puts any pressure on the 3pt line.  

1* Drake Bulldogs +11.5

This is a lot of points for Belmont to be laying in their first tourney game.  They won the first two meetings this year, so advantage Drake. Drake got to play in the Enterprise Center yesterday, which is a hockey arena, so sight lines are a bit different, and take a bit to get used to.  Advantage Drake. Arch Madness tends to be one of the crazier tournaments year in and year out, so dogs are always live. 

1* Winthrop Eagles -4.5

These two split the season series, but Winthrop has almost immediate revenge on the table.  They lost @ Southern on 2/26 by 2.  Southerns offense is good, but they have big time turnover problems and that will be their demise today.  Winthrops offensive efficiency will end up burying Southern.  One, they will beat their ass on the glass and get all kinds of second chance points, and then throw in the extra possessions from turnovers, and I don't think the Bucs can keep this in single digits.

1* Illinois-Chicago Flames +.5

Murray swept the regular season, so there is that.  Also, Murray has been losing steam as they got to the finish line.  Losing 4 of their last 6, while the Flames have won 4 of their last 6.  UIC defense is the difference maker in this game.  They turn their opponents over more than any other MVC team.  UIC is also the best offensive rebounding team in the Valley, and Murray St ranks near the bottom of the defensive rebounding teams in the conference. 

Night games later on

What a cover by Winthrop!

1* Merrimack Warriors -6.5

Yes, the Warriors won both match ups in the regular season, but they were both decisive wins more than the number tonight.  Merrimacks defense will shut down the Pioneers offense and turn them over quite a bit, and the Pios defense won't have any answers for Merrimacks offense.

1* Western Michigan/Kent St over 159.5

Westerns season is over after tonight, and Kent St has secured the 3 seed in the conference tournament, so I think we get an up and down, very little fucks given, kinda game.  Street ball if you will.  Kent Sts senior night for 3 starters so they should be amped and ready to put on a show. 

1* Dayton Flyers -1.5

The Flyers got their brains beat in @ VCU, and have not lost since, winning six straight.  Now its Senior Night, with revenge, and with how hot this Dayton team has been, I wouldn't want to be VCU.  

1* Valparaiso Beacons +5.5

MVC tourney never disappoints.  Already two upsets in the afternoon games, and while I think the Braves hang on and advance, I think it's a one possession game.  They split the season series, each team winning by 7 on their home floor. Valpo holds the same edge that Drake had, in playing in this arena yesterday.  Bradley faithful always travel well to this tournament, and I think that gives them the will to win, but Valpo gives them all they can handle. 

1* Tennessee Martin  Skyhawks +2.5

Nearly immediate revenge for the Skyhawks, who also lost both match ups in the regular season as well.  The last one being a 25 point drubbing @ Martin.  Should feed the fire pretty well. Martin has limped to the finish line, losing 5 of the last 7, and didn't look impressive at all yesterday.  Which makes me wonder why the line is so low?? Tenn St is the 1 seed, and didn't have the benefit of playing yesterday, so hoping I'm reading this line right and the Skyhawks get the upset. 

1* South Alabama Jaguars -4.5

I'm going at Georgia Southern again.  No way can Tyren Moore be that fucking hot three days straight.  This silly bracket has the led to the Eagles already playing two games in the tournament, while South Alabama will make their debut tonight, but I think the fresh legs benefit the Jags, as Southern has won the last two by 3, and had to fight until the end in both.  They run out of gas tonight.

1* St John Johnnies -4.5

If Marquette can beat UCONN tomorrow in Milwaukee, and the Johnnies win tonight, Slick Rick and his guys get the 1 seed in the Big East tournament.  If UCONN wins, its all a moot point, cause they hold the tie breaker, but they don't play til tomorrow, so the Johnnies need to stick it to the Pirates tonight.  They are the much superior team, I just hope they match the physicality of Seton Hall. 

1* Ohio Bobcats +5.5

Miami OH has been looking shakey as of late, and with one game left, will the pressure of an undefeated season be too much?  I'm banking on it. Revenge too. 

1* Northern Iowa Panthers -1.5

Almost immediate revenge for the Panthers, who lost @ home to Illy St on 2/25.  The Redbirds swept the season series, so we have that angle too.  But for me, its Ben Jacobsen.  They guy has been in this spot a dozen times, and will have his guys ready, after shaking off Evansville last night. 

1* San Diego Toreros +9.5

Can the boys keep Lavins career alive?  Probably not, but I bet they give Seattle everything they can handle!

Drake was