Fizzle Tuesday Plays

St. Francis vs New Heaven 1h 66.5

Yes it is

Tailing you....its a no brainer play

@hadenfizzle

 Over or under?

THE SUSPENCE I PLAYED THE OVER BOL

22-11  50-49 tues 4-4 wed 3-9 ....3-7  0-1  sat 14-12  1-2  5-4  4-5  wed 7-0.... 4-5  3-4  4-4  monday 3-2 ... today ?  time for a run       

Under

my bad guys I’m on the under

let’s try this again Washington versus Rutgers first half under 66 1/2

George Washington versus LaSalle first half under 69

-19.09 units since Jan 31

I am a run of the mill average bettor with insufficient skills or expertise to profit consistently (in short, I suck, just like most) I observe other cappers in an effort to pick up tips that can improve my handicapping. I DO NOT tail anyone. This post is intended to be informative. In no way whatsoever is this intended to be mean-spirited. If you read it that way then YOU are reading it wrong. 

I have observed all Fizzle's threads and counted the numbers:

YTD was 36-35 to end of January 15 (with losses on juice)

There would be no logical reason for anyone to be blindly betting his picks at this point. It would be foolish. Even inexperienced gamblers would have skipped the next few days while waiting to see if his picks would turn the corner and become profitable.

They did: over the next 4 days his picks scored 22-11! So that was the evidence needed for some to begin jumping on board believing a profit train was coming after Jan19. It did: 66-46 between Jan20 and Jan30! With a mean average of -113.5 vig associated with his picks that yielded about +13.8 net units for Fizzle.

But while good profits for him, it's unlikely most achieved anywhere close, since that would entail monitoring the computer screen diligently from 4 to 10 hours daily, in hopes of getting down on every single pick, day and night, often with only moments until game start, at the same or better odds he posted. Reading the threads it is clear that many missed quite a few games and in many cases took a different line which resulted in close losses instead of wins.

Then beginning Jan31, these results:
9-12
5-5
4-3
4-3
7-5
3-4
0-3   Martingale Night
12-8
4-3
2-3
4-4
3-9
3-8
0-1
14-12
1-2
5-4
4-5
7-0
4-5
----
3-4
4-4
3-2

= 105-109 (last 23 days)

At the mean avg of -113.85 vig (updated) associated with his picks and what the majority could get after they eventually see his pick, this resulted in -19.09 units since Jan 31.

Good luck everyone.

UNDERS TUFF TO COME BY WITH THESE TEAMS GETTING PUMPED FOR TOURN, I TOOK BOTH OVERS BOL

6pm 

duke verse Notre Dame first half under 67 1/2

buffalo versus Akron first half under 76 1/2

ODU versus Marshall first half under 76 1/2

@zircon

How many other threads do you post this win loss info in? 

@hottoonight

 Good pick

The Juice is the enemy for high volume players 

I got under in Rutgers 70.5. Winner winner 

@hadenfizzle

 NOT TROLLING U FIZZ PLAYED AND MDE MONEY WTH A LOT OF YOUR PICKS JUST DONT AGREE WITH THEM ALL BOL 

@zircon

 The shear volume of plays will catch up and produce losing numbers

I've done this for a long time

Anyone can go on runs but in the long run the regression to a norm will cancel out any potential profit

Moderation is the key

1-2 hoops plays a day or on short schedule days possibly no plays

Its all about discipline

The Vig 

WHATS THE RECORD TODAY ASKING FOR A FRIEND BOL

Oklahoma vs Auburn 1h over 73.5

Miami vs FSU 1h under 72.5