Purdue is getting the full Mackey tax after the Indiana blowout, but the home trend says otherwise - the Boilers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven at Mackey. That's market inflation. Michigan State travels because they defend and rebound, ranking top-10 in adjusted defensive efficiency and top-three nationally on the glass. If Sparty limits second chances, this becomes a half-court grinder. Getting over two possessions with an elite defensive profile is value. This number feels stretched.
Good Luck!
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Record: 25-26
Michigan State +7 1/2
Purdue is getting the full Mackey tax after the Indiana blowout, but the home trend says otherwise - the Boilers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven at Mackey. That's market inflation. Michigan State travels because they defend and rebound, ranking top-10 in adjusted defensive efficiency and top-three nationally on the glass. If Sparty limits second chances, this becomes a half-court grinder. Getting over two possessions with an elite defensive profile is value. This number feels stretched.