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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Catch My Drift UNC?

    digbick1969
    StevenC
    GregmLV
    Farris2k1
    rr207
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 1013
    Posts: 10
     
    digbick1969
    digbick1969
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 232
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 12:32 AM ET #1

    Teams opening up as a -1 favorite at home over a more superior team in the eyes of the public (please keep this in mind. Not basing this on skill. But what the public expexta) is what is called a reverse trap. Books try to scare you off the +1 road obvious team and try I bait u on that home team. Just cause they are less superior at the moment and favored over a better team they want u to buy into that. Below are a few examples that have taken place over the past 2 weeks but please not the home team HAS TO OPEN AT -1 nothing else.

    Open:
    Syracuse +1
    Pitt -1
    (Yes cuse hit a miracle shot to win but they were only down 1 before that shot and most books closed this game at 1.5 or 2).

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Clippers -1

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Golden state -1

    Open:
    Okc +1
    Portland -1
    (Yes some will say that okc is not much better than Portland and this is a pretty even matchup... But at the moment of
    This game okc was more superior in publics eye)

    Open:
    Notre dame +1
    Boston college -1

    Now we have....
    North Carolina +1
    Florida state -1

    Yes a square looks at that and says.... North Carolina definitely! As would a square say in all the games I mentioned above. This makes people who try to be smart think a little. Well why is Florida state favored? They can't even beat Miami at home how are they gonna beat both Carolina. Why are they favored over North Carolina? They gotta be the play! North Carolina is a trap! well...Don't fall for the trap on FSU. I know the line forces ppl who actually put some thought into picking a side think FSU automatically just cause unc seems too easy. Well it is that easy. Unc wins this game by 5 +++ good luck to all just giving u some info on a type of a line (like unc and FSU tomorrow) that has burned me a lot in my past but I am done falling for it!


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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Teams opening up as a -1 favorite at home over a more superior team in the eyes of the public (please keep this in mind. Not basing this on skill. But what the public expexta) is what is called a reverse trap. Books try to scare you off the +1 road obvious team and try I bait u on that home team. Just cause they are less superior at the moment and favored over a better team they want u to buy into that. Below are a few examples that have taken place over the past 2 weeks but please not the home team HAS TO OPEN AT -1 nothing else.

    Open:
    Syracuse +1
    Pitt -1
    (Yes cuse hit a miracle shot to win but they were only down 1 before that shot and most books closed this game at 1.5 or 2).

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Clippers -1

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Golden state -1

    Open:
    Okc +1
    Portland -1
    (Yes some will say that okc is not much better than Portland and this is a pretty even matchup... But at the moment of
    This game okc was more superior in publics eye)

    Open:
    Notre dame +1
    Boston college -1

    Now we have....
    North Carolina +1
    Florida state -1

    Yes a square looks at that and says.... North Carolina definitely! As would a square say in all the games I mentioned above. This makes people who try to be smart think a little. Well why is Florida state favored? They can't even beat Miami at home how are they gonna beat both Carolina. Why are they favored over North Carolina? They gotta be the play! North Carolina is a trap! well...Don't fall for the trap on FSU. I know the line forces ppl who actually put some thought into picking a side think FSU automatically just cause unc seems too easy. Well it is that easy. Unc wins this game by 5 +++ good luck to all just giving u some info on a type of a line (like unc and FSU tomorrow) that has burned me a lot in my past but I am done falling for it!


     
    StevenC
    StevenC
    Banned
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    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 700
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 12:36 AM ET #2

    North Carolina it is

    Thanks for the info Bigdick!!!!

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    North Carolina it is

    Thanks for the info Bigdick!!!!

     
    GregmLV
    GregmLV
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    Joined: Jul, 2013
    Posts: 93
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 12:42 AM ET #3

    Sample size is way too small. Need to go back 1-2 years and compare over 20-30 games at least. But I do commend you for doing some research and taking a look.

    Go back further and see what you come up with

    Cheers mate

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    Sample size is way too small. Need to go back 1-2 years and compare over 20-30 games at least. But I do commend you for doing some research and taking a look.

    Go back further and see what you come up with

    Cheers mate

     
    Farris2k1
    Farris2k1
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 370
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 1:03 AM ET #4

    I was thinking unc too, wont be suprised if theyre favored by tip off though
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    I was thinking unc too, wont be suprised if theyre favored by tip off though
     
    rr207
    rr207
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    Posts: 3743
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 1:08 AM ET #5

    People are going to break down mentally when this line moves to -3 UNC
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    People are going to break down mentally when this line moves to -3 UNC
     
    digbick1969
    digbick1969
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    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 232
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 8:44 AM ET #6

    rr207 it's not even gonna move unc favorite. The lines gonna hold at Florida state favorite to make ya think.

    Also, Gregmlv, I know this is a super small sample size but have seen this type of situation a ton on top of all my examples. When you look at a line and say "I love unc" but then you say to yourself "why the f*** is FSU favored over North Carolina with how good they been play?" That's what the line makes u think hence reverse trap.

    Good luck!!!
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    rr207 it's not even gonna move unc favorite. The lines gonna hold at Florida state favorite to make ya think.

    Also, Gregmlv, I know this is a super small sample size but have seen this type of situation a ton on top of all my examples. When you look at a line and say "I love unc" but then you say to yourself "why the f*** is FSU favored over North Carolina with how good they been play?" That's what the line makes u think hence reverse trap.

    Good luck!!!
     
    LuvParlays
    LuvParlays
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    Posts: 2232
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 8:52 AM ET #7

    I do like where you're going with this, I am on UNC myself. However, I do not like seeing just about everyone on covers are posting plays on UNC so far. Still early of course...but I'm not seeing much love for Florida State right now. 
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    I do like where you're going with this, I am on UNC myself. However, I do not like seeing just about everyone on covers are posting plays on UNC so far. Still early of course...but I'm not seeing much love for Florida State right now. 
     
    Lucrative
    Lucrative
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2010
    Posts: 915
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 9:10 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by digbick1969:

    Teams opening up as a -1 favorite at home over a more superior team in the eyes of the public (please keep this in mind. Not basing this on skill. But what the public expexta) is what is called a reverse trap. Books try to scare you off the +1 road obvious team and try I bait u on that home team. Just cause they are less superior at the moment and favored over a better team they want u to buy into that. Below are a few examples that have taken place over the past 2 weeks but please not the home team HAS TO OPEN AT -1 nothing else.

    Open:
    Syracuse +1
    Pitt -1
    (Yes cuse hit a miracle shot to win but they were only down 1 before that shot and most books closed this game at 1.5 or 2).

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Clippers -1

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Golden state -1

    Open:
    Okc +1
    Portland -1
    (Yes some will say that okc is not much better than Portland and this is a pretty even matchup... But at the moment of
    This game okc was more superior in publics eye)

    Open:
    Notre dame +1
    Boston college -1

    Now we have....
    North Carolina +1
    Florida state -1

    Yes a square looks at that and says.... North Carolina definitely! As would a square say in all the games I mentioned above. This makes people who try to be smart think a little. Well why is Florida state favored? They can't even beat Miami at home how are they gonna beat both Carolina. Why are they favored over North Carolina? They gotta be the play! North Carolina is a trap! well...Don't fall for the trap on FSU. I know the line forces ppl who actually put some thought into picking a side think FSU automatically just cause unc seems too easy. Well it is that easy. Unc wins this game by 5 +++ good luck to all just giving u some info on a type of a line (like unc and FSU tomorrow) that has burned me a lot in my past but I am done falling for it!





    No trap here. The line is exactly where it should be when all factors are culminated. The square is angle I see, but squares win as often as any.
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by digbick1969:

    Teams opening up as a -1 favorite at home over a more superior team in the eyes of the public (please keep this in mind. Not basing this on skill. But what the public expexta) is what is called a reverse trap. Books try to scare you off the +1 road obvious team and try I bait u on that home team. Just cause they are less superior at the moment and favored over a better team they want u to buy into that. Below are a few examples that have taken place over the past 2 weeks but please not the home team HAS TO OPEN AT -1 nothing else.

    Open:
    Syracuse +1
    Pitt -1
    (Yes cuse hit a miracle shot to win but they were only down 1 before that shot and most books closed this game at 1.5 or 2).

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Clippers -1

    Open:
    Heat +1
    Golden state -1

    Open:
    Okc +1
    Portland -1
    (Yes some will say that okc is not much better than Portland and this is a pretty even matchup... But at the moment of
    This game okc was more superior in publics eye)

    Open:
    Notre dame +1
    Boston college -1

    Now we have....
    North Carolina +1
    Florida state -1

    Yes a square looks at that and says.... North Carolina definitely! As would a square say in all the games I mentioned above. This makes people who try to be smart think a little. Well why is Florida state favored? They can't even beat Miami at home how are they gonna beat both Carolina. Why are they favored over North Carolina? They gotta be the play! North Carolina is a trap! well...Don't fall for the trap on FSU. I know the line forces ppl who actually put some thought into picking a side think FSU automatically just cause unc seems too easy. Well it is that easy. Unc wins this game by 5 +++ good luck to all just giving u some info on a type of a line (like unc and FSU tomorrow) that has burned me a lot in my past but I am done falling for it!





    No trap here. The line is exactly where it should be when all factors are culminated. The square is angle I see, but squares win as often as any.
     
    santafeken
    santafeken
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 344
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 10:37 AM ET #9

    I think every thing said above is right on.  Also the only problem is that maybe UNC will look ahead to Duke on Thurs as this is a sandwich game between Pitt & Duke, but Williams is a great coach and he will have them ready for this game....one game at a time.  

    GL to all
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    I think every thing said above is right on.  Also the only problem is that maybe UNC will look ahead to Duke on Thurs as this is a sandwich game between Pitt & Duke, but Williams is a great coach and he will have them ready for this game....one game at a time.  

    GL to all
     
     
    digbick1969
    digbick1969
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 232
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2014 - 9:13 PM ET #10

    Good hit unc backers! Don't get fooled when a crap team opens up -1 over a better team. The line is set like that to screw with your mind.
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    Good hit unc backers! Don't get fooled when a crap team opens up -1 over a better team. The line is set like that to screw with your mind.
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