Posted:
#1
2010-2011 NCAAB Record:
34-15 @ 69% for +17.5 Units
Thur, 03/10
Buffalo Bulls PK
Kent St might be the public favorite here but this Buffalo squad matches up very well with them. In the 2 games during the regular season, each team won on their own home-court. Buffalo crushed Kent St 79-54 as -4 point home favorites in January. They shot 52% from the floor and held the Flashes to 33%, outrebounding them by 16 (by 4 on offensive boards), and had 11 more assists. Overall a dominant performance. In a rematch in February, playing @ Kent State, Buffalo lost 72-69, as +2.5 point underdog. They were actually winning by 10 at half-time, but fell apart a bit in the 2nd half. This time Kent St shot 50%, while the Bulls only 43%. Even so, Buffalo again outrebounded the Flashes 35 to 28 and 14 to 6 on offensive boards. They attempted 12 more shots but unfortunately were only 42% from the FT line (6 for 14), while Kent St went 80% (12 for 15). That was the difference. Even though Buffalo lost, they were able to again play well against the Flashes. Looking at the box-scores closely, I actually feel that Buffalo is the better team. Bookmakers agree. Buffalo was -4 at home and +2.5 on the road, indicating that they're about 1 point better than Kent St according to the books.
Bottom line is that Buffalo is the 2nd best offensive rebounding team in the MAC, while Kent St is ranked #11 in defensive rebounding out of 12 teams in the conference. Looking at the previous 2 games, it was obvious who the more dominate team was on the boards. Why is this important? Well, in post-season play, teams usually play tighter D, and it's a little harder to shoot for a high percentage. Rebounding is critical, and Buffalo is clearly much better in this area. I really like the size of the Bulls in this one. In addition, the Bulls were the #1 team in the MAC at causing turnovers. This is again an important factor in the playoffs.
Buffalo is playing with 'revenge' in this one, having lost the previous meeting. The Bulls are 3-1 SU revenging a road loss this year and 14-6 in the past 20. Kent St is only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on neutral court, and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 tournament games. Their perfect 0-4 ATS conference tourney record in the last 4 tries is another indicator that this team has been greatly over-valued by the bookmakers over the past few years in conference tournaments. You can't win just on 'name' alone and I expect this solid Bulls squad to start making a 'name' for themselves with this victory tonight.
34-15 @ 69% for +17.5 Units
Thur, 03/10
Buffalo Bulls PK
Kent St might be the public favorite here but this Buffalo squad matches up very well with them. In the 2 games during the regular season, each team won on their own home-court. Buffalo crushed Kent St 79-54 as -4 point home favorites in January. They shot 52% from the floor and held the Flashes to 33%, outrebounding them by 16 (by 4 on offensive boards), and had 11 more assists. Overall a dominant performance. In a rematch in February, playing @ Kent State, Buffalo lost 72-69, as +2.5 point underdog. They were actually winning by 10 at half-time, but fell apart a bit in the 2nd half. This time Kent St shot 50%, while the Bulls only 43%. Even so, Buffalo again outrebounded the Flashes 35 to 28 and 14 to 6 on offensive boards. They attempted 12 more shots but unfortunately were only 42% from the FT line (6 for 14), while Kent St went 80% (12 for 15). That was the difference. Even though Buffalo lost, they were able to again play well against the Flashes. Looking at the box-scores closely, I actually feel that Buffalo is the better team. Bookmakers agree. Buffalo was -4 at home and +2.5 on the road, indicating that they're about 1 point better than Kent St according to the books.
Bottom line is that Buffalo is the 2nd best offensive rebounding team in the MAC, while Kent St is ranked #11 in defensive rebounding out of 12 teams in the conference. Looking at the previous 2 games, it was obvious who the more dominate team was on the boards. Why is this important? Well, in post-season play, teams usually play tighter D, and it's a little harder to shoot for a high percentage. Rebounding is critical, and Buffalo is clearly much better in this area. I really like the size of the Bulls in this one. In addition, the Bulls were the #1 team in the MAC at causing turnovers. This is again an important factor in the playoffs.
Buffalo is playing with 'revenge' in this one, having lost the previous meeting. The Bulls are 3-1 SU revenging a road loss this year and 14-6 in the past 20. Kent St is only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on neutral court, and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 tournament games. Their perfect 0-4 ATS conference tourney record in the last 4 tries is another indicator that this team has been greatly over-valued by the bookmakers over the past few years in conference tournaments. You can't win just on 'name' alone and I expect this solid Bulls squad to start making a 'name' for themselves with this victory tonight.
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFL: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFLP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
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'TOTAL: 145-112 @ 56% for +$23,730
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
0
U just like saying the BULLS!!! 
Im rolling with U my man!! Great write up! 
Did u walk us over to that boiler room on accident?? 
Its hot in here all of a sudden... 
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