Wednesday Review:
1-0 Virginia -2
My Rules:
1) Never bet on games involving Tennessee VOLS, my team.
2) Don't bet on PAC-10 games, Georgetown or Notre Dame.
3) Lean Home Favorite vs the Ranked Team Road Dog.
4) Use Reverse Line Movement as a tool, but not as the only tool.
5) Don't put much stock in games with suspensions/injuries.
6) Keep the units the same and plays to no more than 3 a day.
On to Thursday games...
James Madison +10.5 at William & Mary - JMU is one of those teams I think will have a little value as an underdog for the rest of the year. They had a transfer from TAMU who is playing this semester in Bowles and he is a beast against this talent-level it seems. The #'s are very similar across the board for these two teams and I am guessing W&M will get pounded by the public on this one based on record alone.
Chattanooga -1.5 vs Citadel - I thought Citadel was supposed to be a little better than they've shown this year. They are not a good road team and this will be their 5th road game out of last 6. Chatt is a good home squad and all of the numbers point to UTC. Look for a low scoring game in the 65-55 range.
Cleveland State +16 at Butler seems like a lot of points.
Auburn +16 at Tennessee - Rules say I can't bet UT games, but I don't see us winning by this much after a HUGE WIN over #1 Kansas and having NO DEPTH.
Arkansas +15 at Miss St seems like a lot of points too.
Louisiana-Lafayette -1.5 vs Denver - Fishy Line Alert, Vegas is telling us to take ULL in this game. ULL is 5-10 on the year and Denver is 12-5. Guess is Denver gets pounded by public. ULL hasn't covered at home this year and Den hasnt covered on the road. The home team usually wins in this series SU.
Tennessee Tech -1.5 at UT-Martin - UTM is 1-10 ATS this year. Neither team plays Defense at all, so this should be a shootout. TT has the better offense so I'll take them in this one.
St.Mary's -3 vs Gonzaga - Rule #3.
don't go against your rules vol! I'm with you in that I see Auburn covering here, but everyone and their mother is on them and betting against the vols has never worked out for me in the past.
I'm opposite you on Tennessee Tech, simply a system play for me. Just based on trends of the past, the chances of this team losing 10 games in a row at the spread are very slim. However, Tech looks like a solid play when you run the numbers.
LOVE the Saint Mary's play. Good luck tonight 
Vol i like your analyst on the night Fav or Dog night!!! I lean the aub, but Home team is 10-1 Ats so not a heavy lean. On St marys with ya no doubt, Chatt was also another one that stuck out. I have locked in Ark at 14 should have took it 15 last night they play Miss st tough. Ind is another that I pulled the trigger on at 13 they are 14-3 ats with Mich and Mich hasnt won by 13 except for copst whip be. Let me know what you think if you got the time or anyone else in here
swizzol - Go Mocs! and F*** the P10!
panther - thanks
Petehead - I'm not going to break my rules, I did that vs Charlotte at about the same spread and you see what happened. I am probably wrong about UT 80% of the time...so that tells everyone Auburn is the play. I can't back UTM this year. They lost Hudson who scored about 27 a game last year and lost their top guy from this year a couple weeks ago. Bad bad team. It will be a shootout, that is for sure.
redsox - I won't be playing AUB or UT in that one, one of my rules. good luck to you though
kingcovers - Let's hope we are right!
tasco - If I was forced to bet those games I would take Ark and Ind as well.
kap - just a lucky run!
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