31-19 YTD App St+3.5

These teams have played similar competition and SOS are 179 and 192nd nationally.

App St avgs 75 ppg, ECU 69, App St gives up 67 ppg, ECU 78.

App st shoots 47 pct from the field and ECU 41. App st out rebounds ECU by a slim margin. App st avgs 14 apg compared to ECU’s 10. App st leads in Blocks per game.

ECU does not have a significant home court advantage, Williams arena is dark and old. Holds 7100 and have only averaged 3417 for home games thus far.

App St+3.5 as a live dog here!

Gl noon     

@Noonball

 I’m not a huge on bland stats, but this game sticks out like a sore thumb. App ST simply leads in every category except steals pg and that’s nominal. 

App St with its similar schedule is in my opinion just the better team and home court doesn’t overcome ECU’s disadvantage in this case.

Line has moved up to App St +4 1/2.

Good luck   Noon  

app st has screwed me this year   Not sure I play it but it’s hard for teams to go on road and cover    Southern last night was almost a total collapse  and lightning struck bc your s desert eagle right now   Pistol hot   The way you’re seeing the forest through the tress should make this a live bet     Public already pounding the home fav 

@D-Town

 Opened at 5.5. Probably lands on 3.5 at game time is my guess. If you’re playing this game I’d take the 4.5. Don’t see it going back up to 5.5.

@brickbets

 I’m hitting well above my normal 56.7 rate right now, 62.3 pct so a regression is certainly in play. 
I just think this early in the year recency bias overtakes common sense. ECU has been decent the last few years and this line looks like an easy cover for ECU.

ECU I think is just a really bad team this year and App St is better, home court be damned.

@CowboyGangster

 GL!

@brickbets

 I love your idea on Live betting as well. I just placed my bet but went smaller. I respect your opinion. 

@D-Town

 Thanks for pointing this out. You’re right, my books are at 4 and 4.5 now. I’m rarely on the public side, even though squares get gifted often! GL D Town!

@D-Town

I  agree with it  but in a slump last few days    I got a troll who says I need to know which teams are motivated more.....  like when 2 bad teams play we know who is motivated    I just didn't like that they were -18 scoring margin last 3 games, they do have fewer turnovers , wish their ft shooting was better  so many of these games come down to ft's at the end of last minute    they are shooting 55% away this year    but ECU not much better,  yea this troll even started counting my plays...lol  I'm 150-and 116 this year but he is counting from Dec 1st for me  I guess its his own way to make the record worse   and he has said he has been trying to help me,,,lol   him and his  other 5 names anyway I do agree with your app st as being the play  if I was choosing     

gl   very nice %  I am 11 games under .500 since Dec 1st  so I was doing really well  was about 61%    but any more games   much harder to maintain 60% with a lot of games  266 plays     good luck brother 

HardRock has +4.5 right now

Nice work 

yes I am playing it.....this line opened at 5.5  last night about 11 it went to 4.5  then at 1:45 am it went to 3.5  and at 12:09 pm today went to 4.5   think it's a smart to grab 4.5  my guess would be if anything it drops to 4  as long as their are no injuries that may have caused it to drop 2 points last night 

@RUM151

 Rum I hear ya. I hit at 56.7 pct over last two years and that’s hard as hell. People will be asses when you get em wrong but the key is to be consistent. I follow all who hit over 53.5 pct because that’s the profit mark and if you’re not a degenerate you’ll win.

@Chipper65

 GL if you’re playing it!!!!

BOL 

@Floridaman

 You too on your under same game! Great write up!

App st. Has been historically bad this year.  American conference vs Sun belt give me American.

@Fuse

Teetering on +4 even money. Wishing it goes to 4.5-110. Would love to add an additional unit.

@brianx

 Historically bad this year? What you mean?