Montana holds a clear efficiency edge in this matchup, particularly on the offensive end. The Grizzlies are significantly stronger shooting the ball, ranking well ahead of Northern Arizona in effective FG%, 2-point percentage, and overall shooting efficiency, while NAU’s defense has struggled badly in conference play, especially defending inside the arc and allowing high shooting efficiency.
Northern Arizona’s issues are reflected in their 0–6 Big Sky record, where they’ve consistently been outclassed on both ends of the floor. Montana also owns a major free-throw advantage, converting at an elite rate compared to NAU’s poor performance at the line, which is critical late. Money Williams is the difference-maker, serving as Montana’s primary creator and closer, capable of scoring at all three levels and controlling tempo when games tighten.
Expect Montana’s superior shot quality, experience, and free-throw shooting to separate late, leading to a Montana win with a projected final score of 78–70.
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Play on : Montana -2.5
Montana holds a clear efficiency edge in this matchup, particularly on the offensive end. The Grizzlies are significantly stronger shooting the ball, ranking well ahead of Northern Arizona in effective FG%, 2-point percentage, and overall shooting efficiency, while NAU’s defense has struggled badly in conference play, especially defending inside the arc and allowing high shooting efficiency.
Northern Arizona’s issues are reflected in their 0–6 Big Sky record, where they’ve consistently been outclassed on both ends of the floor. Montana also owns a major free-throw advantage, converting at an elite rate compared to NAU’s poor performance at the line, which is critical late. Money Williams is the difference-maker, serving as Montana’s primary creator and closer, capable of scoring at all three levels and controlling tempo when games tighten.
Expect Montana’s superior shot quality, experience, and free-throw shooting to separate late, leading to a Montana win with a projected final score of 78–70.
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