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🤢🥴_ Fubah's 2023 Hoops Thread _😲🥵

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Posted: #1826

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: REGRESSION likely still underway...   My first full week I went 41 - 40. Took a week off to revamp my methods; starting back Tuesday, Feb 13.   From the 13th  thru last night's minor loss: NCAA MENS:   45 - 19   +31.40u    (25 - 8 *BBs)    WOMENS:      8 - 5     +2.90u      (4 - 1 *BBs)   * I likely have two bets coming...ZIPS -330     Loss    Phoenix -130 *BB 2u   BIG FAT LOSER  -2.60u   Spencer Johnson (G) is highly Q for game at KSU!Bama's guard Wrightsell, seems unlikely to playNot sure why the line on W.Michigan at home has moved from -6.5 open to -4.5 but I am going to throw caution to the wind here and  bet BRONCOS -200Lines on WOMENS NCAA still not up yetNot sure why the opening line on hometown ORANGE plunged 2.5 pts.....
Saturday, Feb24:
NCstate-188; Mocs-245*BB; 49ers-130*BB2u; Matadors+2.5; Weber-140; Gamecocks+3.5; EIPanthers+1.5; GSPanthers-210; Mountaineers-258; UCDavis-155; Crimson-140; Leopards+2*BB2u; Hilltoppers-165; SetonHall-205

 
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Posted: #1827

Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA:

WestVA -150     *BB  5u

 
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Posted: #1828

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u
Women's game in progress as we pass the midpoint of the 4thQ .....close contest between weak teams although GW at home does very well against the weaker opps and cling to a 2 pt lead...neither team in bonus yet...metrics favor the homies here....so LIVE BET: G.Wash -250

 
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Posted: #1829

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5uWomen's game in progress as we pass the midpoint of the 4thQ .....close contest between weak teams although GW at home does very well against the weaker opps and cling to a 2 pt lead...neither team in bonus yet...metrics favor the homies here....so LIVE BET: G.Wash -250
Lots of turnovers.....GW has a 3 pt lead with only 1:28 left, but UMASS ball.....gonna be close!  an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #1830

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u

Since I bet a CHUNK and posted that line 3 hrs ago, I notice now it has moved up to -210 on the homies

No guarantee it wins though an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #1831

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u

Women's game in progress as we pass the midpoint of the 4thQ .....close contest between weak teams although GW at home does very well against the weaker opps and cling to a 2 pt lead...neither team in bonus yet...metrics favor the homies here....so LIVE BET: G.Wash -250Lots of turnovers.....GW has a 3 pt lead with only 1:28 left, but UMASS ball.....gonna be close!

WINNER! my first catch of the day!an_dance

 
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Posted: #1832

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u
Wow....only 4 mins into the game and already Baylor is up 5 and gets to shoot BONUS!!an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #1833

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u Since I bet a CHUNK and posted that line 3 hrs ago, I notice now it has moved up to -210 on the homies No guarantee it wins though

 

Lost by one pt.

Yuck. Lose -7.5 units instead of winning +5

Not looking good early for team Fubah.....again.an_getaway

Already down over - 13 units an_speechless

 

Thankfully, as I wrote earlier, I am anticipating more regression so I slashed my actual bet sizes....

 
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Posted: #1834

Upon review I bet the CS Northridge Matadors twice: once at +2 and once at +2.5.

I just cashed out the +2 bet, so I only have the one bet left at +2.5 (not a *BB)

That game tips on the coast at 9pm ET

 
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Posted: #1835

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u Women's game in progress as we pass the midpoint of the 4thQ .....close contest between weak teams although GW at home does very well against the weaker opps and cling to a 2 pt lead...neither team in bonus yet...metrics favor the homies here....so LIVE BET: G.Wash -250Lots of turnovers.....GW has a 3 pt lead with only 1:28 left, but UMASS ball.....gonna be close! WINNER! my first catch of the day!
Another dicey situation late in a game between Grumbling WOMEN and SOUTHERN.....one minute left; both teams in BONUS....Southern up by 1 pt and have the ball in a timeout.....LIVE BET: SOUTHERN -230

 
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Posted: #1836

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u Women's game in progress as we pass the midpoint of the 4thQ .....close contest between weak teams although GW at home does very well against the weaker opps and cling to a 2 pt lead...neither team in bonus yet...metrics favor the homies here....so LIVE BET: G.Wash -250Lots of turnovers.....GW has a 3 pt lead with only 1:28 left, but UMASS ball.....gonna be close! WINNER! my first catch of the day!Another dicey situation late in a game between Grumbling WOMEN and SOUTHERN.....one minute left; both teams in BONUS....Southern up by 1 pt and have the ball in a timeout.....LIVE BET: SOUTHERN -230
an_nailbiter  Tie game with 7 ticks left....Southern ball after the timeout with last shot to win or go to OT.....but if OT Grambling has 2 in serious foul trouble.....

 

The usual BAD COACHING or execution situation where SOUTHERN had a 3 pt lead with 10 seconds left and all they had to do was FOUL a Grambling player and let them shoot 2..... BUT they allowed a shot from the arc and uncharacteristically Grambling scored to tie....

 
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Posted: #1837

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Saturday, Feb 24 WOMEN's NCAA: WestVA -150     *BB  5u Women's game in progress as we pass the midpoint of the 4thQ .....close contest between weak teams although GW at home does very well against the weaker opps and cling to a 2 pt lead...neither team in bonus yet...metrics favor the homies here....so LIVE BET: G.Wash -250Lots of turnovers.....GW has a 3 pt lead with only 1:28 left, but UMASS ball.....gonna be close! WINNER! my first catch of the day!Another dicey situation late in a game between Grumbling WOMEN and SOUTHERN.....one minute left; both teams in BONUS....Southern up by 1 pt and have the ball in a timeout.....LIVE BET: SOUTHERN -230   Tie game with 7 ticks left....Southern ball after the timeout with last shot to win or go to OT.....but if OT Grambling has 2 in serious foul trouble.....   The usual BAD COACHING or execution situation where SOUTHERN had a 3 pt lead with 10 seconds left and all they had to do was FOUL a Grambling player and let them shoot 2..... BUT they allowed a shot from the arc and uncharacteristically Grambling scored to tie....
Then Southern's inbound is picked off and they foul....Grambling gets 2 free throws to end the game....

I lose too    -2.3 units...........damn regression.... an_brick

 
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Posted: #1838

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

  The usual BAD COACHING or execution situation where SOUTHERN had a 3 pt lead with 10 seconds left and all they had to do was FOUL a Grambling player and let them shoot 2..... BUT they allowed a shot from the arc and uncharacteristically Grambling scored to tie....Then Southern's inbound is picked off and they foul....Grambling gets 2 free throws to end the game.... I lose too    -2.3 units...........damn regression....

Leaning to BOBCATS but the line is a bit high....so will hope for a better line in the early going...

 
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Posted: #1839

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:   The usual BAD COACHING or execution situation where SOUTHERN had a 3 pt lead with 10 seconds left and all they had to do was FOUL a Grambling player and let them shoot 2..... BUT they allowed a shot from the arc and uncharacteristically Grambling scored to tie....Then Southern's inbound is picked off and they foul....Grambling gets 2 free throws to end the game.... I lose too    -2.3 units...........damn regression.... Leaning to BOBCATS but the line is a bit high....so will hope for a better line in the early going...
Leaning to Volunteers here too but same thing, the line is too high....so will watch and hope for A&M to go on an early run to bring the line way down...

 
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Posted: #1840

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:   The usual BAD COACHING or execution situation where SOUTHERN had a 3 pt lead with 10 seconds left and all they had to do was FOUL a Grambling player and let them shoot 2..... BUT they allowed a shot from the arc and uncharacteristically Grambling scored to tie....Then Southern's inbound is picked off and they foul....Grambling gets 2 free throws to end the game.... I lose too    -2.3 units...........damn regression.... Leaning to BOBCATS but the line is a bit high....so will hope for a better line in the early going...

OKAY...GOT IT!  BOBCATS fell behind quickly on a 7 - 0 run so I LIVE BET: Bobcats -190  *BB 2u

 
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Posted: #1841

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

damn regression.... Leaning to BOBCATS but the line is a bit high....so will hope for a better line in the early going... OKAY...GOT IT!  BOBCATS fell behind quickly on a 7 - 0 run so I LIVE BET: Bobcats -190  *BB 2u
And of course, as soon as I do that the line drops even more to -155.....sigh.....

 
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Posted: #1842

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:   The usual BAD COACHING or execution situation where SOUTHERN had a 3 pt lead with 10 seconds left and all they had to do was FOUL a Grambling player and let them shoot 2..... BUT they allowed a shot from the arc and uncharacteristically Grambling scored to tie....Then Southern's inbound is picked off and they foul....Grambling gets 2 free throws to end the game.... I lose too    -2.3 units...........damn regression.... Leaning to BOBCATS but the line is a bit high....so will hope for a better line in the early going...Leaning to Volunteers here too but same thing, the line is too high....so will watch and hope for A&M to go on an early run to bring the line way down...
Tied at 13 early....waiting for my chance.....but -600 ML is waaay too high facing an opp that COULD upset....

 
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Posted: #1843

No plays on Monday.

an_light*Warning:  I may still be battling regression.....unclear....but I will maintain my reduced bet sizing at my books for the time being

 

Tuesday, Feb 27: (overnight lines)

Orange  -116  *BB4u

LSU Tigers -180 *BB2u

RedRaiders -190 *BB2u

 

BoL to the good guys cloveran_cheers

 
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Posted: #1844

With KANSAS' star player OUT I am leaning toward a BYU cover.....

 
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Posted: #1845

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

With KANSAS' star player OUT I am leaning toward a BYU cover.....
More work to do but early lean to Chippewas again

 
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Posted: #1846

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With KANSAS' star player OUT I am leaning toward a BYU cover.....More work to do but early lean to Chippewas again
...however they have not been playing great lately...

 
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Posted: #1847

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With KANSAS' star player OUT I am leaning toward a BYU cover.....More work to do but early lean to Chippewas again...however they have not been playing great lately...
..otoh CHIPS look due for a rebound performance...

 
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Posted: #1848

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With KANSAS' star player OUT I am leaning toward a BYU cover.....More work to do but early lean to Chippewas again...however they have not been playing great lately.....otoh CHIPS look due for a rebound performance...
....but there's a key injury to consider

 
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Posted: #1849

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With KANSAS' star player OUT I am leaning toward a BYU cover.....More work to do but early lean to Chippewas again...however they have not been playing great lately.....otoh CHIPS look due for a rebound performance.......but there's a key injury to consider
Usually avoid taking roadies on significant pt spreads but BOISE in position tonight for a solid cover....leaning that way pending pregame lineups...

 
 
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Posted: #1850

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With KANSAS' star player OUT I am leaning toward a BYU cover.....More work to do but early lean to Chippewas again...however they have not been playing great lately.....otoh CHIPS look due for a rebound performance.......but there's a key injury to considerUsually avoid taking roadies on significant pt spreads but BOISE in position tonight for a solid cover....leaning that way pending pregame lineups...
Nittany guys in trouble tonight with star out!

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