"SUNDAY will never be the saaaaaaaame . . . " BEACONS -2.5 -154 alt-line@pinn *BB
i took the ml instead ![]()
i took the ml instead ![]()
i took the ml instead ![]()
thx for st.peters winner ![]()
thx for st.peters winner ![]()
Looking over my notes again I see a strange anomaly in my pregame posted bets on HOME TEAMS since late January:
31 - 35 with low original spreads up to -3.5 (doesn't include those where I bought pts) Majority of these were small HOME FAVS, higher rated and better records than opponent, who then lost outright in front of their adoring home fans...
but,
21 - 14 with my bets on home team spreads of -4.0 and up (includes several that I bought down with alt-lines but still -4.0 and over)
NOTE: applies specifically to the pregame bets I made, not to all CBK games...
Strange shite though. Better team/better record with homecourt advantage and they LOSE more than win
WTF??? One would think they should win more often than lose!
Looking over my notes again I see a strange anomaly in my pregame posted bets on HOME TEAMS since late January:
31 - 35 with low original spreads up to -3.5 (doesn't include those where I bought pts) Majority of these were small HOME FAVS, higher rated and better records than opponent, who then lost outright in front of their adoring home fans...
but,
21 - 14 with my bets on home team spreads of -4.0 and up (includes several that I bought down with alt-lines but still -4.0 and over)
NOTE: applies specifically to the pregame bets I made, not to all CBK games...
Strange shite though. Better team/better record with homecourt advantage and they LOSE more than win
WTF??? One would think they should win more often than lose!
Has to be something at play here with my methodology or just improbability from random chance.
Has to be something at play here with my methodology or just improbability from random chance.
The stat on LOSER home teams also included those bets I made on HOME TEAMS that only had "supposedly" home court advantage, with no edge in ratings and/or records...
The stat on LOSER home teams also included those bets I made on HOME TEAMS that only had "supposedly" home court advantage, with no edge in ratings and/or records...
Strange shite though. Better team/better record with homecourt advantage and they LOSE more than win WTF??? One would think they should win more often than lose! Has to be something at play here with my methodology or just improbability from random chance.
The stat on LOSER home teams also included those bets I made on HOME TEAMS that only had "supposedly" home court advantage, with no edge in ratings and/or records...
First game up today fits the profile: SELA @E.Tex A&M where the homies are tiny home favs
Strange shite though. Better team/better record with homecourt advantage and they LOSE more than win WTF??? One would think they should win more often than lose! Has to be something at play here with my methodology or just improbability from random chance.
The stat on LOSER home teams also included those bets I made on HOME TEAMS that only had "supposedly" home court advantage, with no edge in ratings and/or records...
First game up today fits the profile: SELA @E.Tex A&M where the homies are tiny home favs
Strange shite though. Better team/better record with homecourt advantage and they LOSE more than win WTF??? One would think they should win more often than lose! Has to be something at play here with my methodology or just improbability from random chance.
The stat on LOSER home teams also included those bets I made on HOME TEAMS that only had "supposedly" home court advantage, with no edge in ratings and/or records...
First game up today fits the profile: SELA @E.Tex A&M where the homies are tiny home favs
Homecourt advantage in an otherwise even game should be more than merely -1.5 pts!
Normally I would seriously consider the homies here but given that I lose more often than win in this exact scenario, I have to PASS!
Strange shite though. Better team/better record with homecourt advantage and they LOSE more than win WTF??? One would think they should win more often than lose! Has to be something at play here with my methodology or just improbability from random chance.
The stat on LOSER home teams also included those bets I made on HOME TEAMS that only had "supposedly" home court advantage, with no edge in ratings and/or records...
First game up today fits the profile: SELA @E.Tex A&M where the homies are tiny home favs
Homecourt advantage in an otherwise even game should be more than merely -1.5 pts!
Normally I would seriously consider the homies here but given that I lose more often than win in this exact scenario, I have to PASS!
Here's another: Norfolk @MD-E Shore .....should be a virtual dead-even matchup but the homies aren't favored by common HCA, instead they are home dogs....
LEAN to the homies for possible live bet ...
Here's another: Norfolk @MD-E Shore .....should be a virtual dead-even matchup but the homies aren't favored by common HCA, instead they are home dogs....
LEAN to the homies for possible live bet ...
Tarleton?
Texans #1 top scorer has missed the past 5 games!
Texans #2 top scorer missed their last game!
Texans #3 top scorer had missed 5 games, but just returned the last 3
Texans #4 top scorer has missed the past 3 games!
With 3 of their top 4 scorers out they were called for 21 fouls, badly out-rebounded as well and LOST at Abilene, 59 - 73
Tarleton?
Texans #1 top scorer has missed the past 5 games!
Texans #2 top scorer missed their last game!
Texans #3 top scorer had missed 5 games, but just returned the last 3
Texans #4 top scorer has missed the past 3 games!
With 3 of their top 4 scorers out they were called for 21 fouls, badly out-rebounded as well and LOST at Abilene, 59 - 73
That said, I am LEANING to East Texas A & M ....
That said, I am LEANING to East Texas A & M ....

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