CFL week 9 Indigo lines/discussion

3)  Riders OVER 49 loser

4)  Riders -2' loser

2)  Bombers OVER 52 loser

1)  Alouettes +125 winner

Serves me right taking two OVERs in the CFL.....listen to your own advice!!   Three dogs cover, and as I have mentioned, home dogs are starting to come through.

We are seeing no big plays, no special team returns, not many turnovers.

1-3 for the week, 27-14 for the season in the CFL

*  5)  Texans +16'

*  4)  Seahawks +3

*  3)  Cardinals +4'

*  2)  Vikings +2

*  1)  Falcons +1'

* denotes contest play

6)  Broncos +1'

7)  Colts +2'

Fool's Gold....

Every year this seems to bite a lot of people in the you know what.

Away non-divisional dogs with a record above 500 have covered at a rate of 47% for the last 30+ years.

If we look at them before week 5, they have been 99-118 ATS, or 45.6%.....in week four these teams have been 27-41 ATS.....VERSUS Panthers.

In divisional games however, those above 500 away dogs have been 61-49 ATS before week 5, 55.5% and 24-11 ATS in week 4......Cardinals.

Continuing on.....

Away favorites with a record of greater than 500 have been 69-86 ATS before week 5, 30-35 ATS in week 4, 24-32 ATS off a win.....VERSUS Ravens, Browns, Titans 

AF and t:wins>t:losses and division!=o:division and week=4 and p:W

and 6-3-1 ATS off a loss.....Bucs

Westgate supercontest top 5 picks.......Bucs, Seahawks, Ravens, Vikings, Chiefs

1)  Falcons loser

2)  Vikings loser

3)  Texans loser

4)  Cardinals winner

5)  Seahawks winner

6)  Colts winner

7)  Broncos loser

3-4 for the week, 17-9 ATS for the season, contest picks went 2-3 to go to 14-6 for the season.

Well, what to say?....it wasn't good.  Still, the positive part  is, I would've taken 14-6 after 4 weeks and if I continue at that pace I will cash in the contest.

The bad is the first four weeks are the most predictive of all the weeks of the season.