• Forums
  • Best Betting Sites
  • Sportsbook Promos
  • Best Sports Betting Apps
  • NFL Betting Forum
  • NBA Betting Forum
  • MLB Betting Forum
  • NHL Betting Forum
  • NCAAF Betting Forum
  • NCAAB Betting Forum
  • Soccer Betting Forum
  • Tennis Betting Forum
  • General Discussion
  • Help Forum
  • Guidelines
  • FAQ
  • Forum Updates
    Covers Logo
    Covers App
    Faster picks. Smarter bets.
    All in the NEW Covers App
    Download on the App Store Download on the Google Play Store
    • Sports
      • NFL
        • Back
        • NFL
        • NFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NFL Picks
        • NFL Prediction Prices
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NCAAF
        • Back
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAF Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NCAAF Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NBA
        • Back
        • NBA
        • NBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • NCAAB
        • Back
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • NCAAB Picks
        • Injuries
      • MLB
        • Back
        • MLB
        • MLB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • MLB Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NHL
        • Back
        • NHL
        • NHL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NHL Picks
        • Injuries
      • Soccer
      • UFC
      • WNBA
        • Back
        • WNBA
        • WNBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • WNBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • CFL
        • Back
        • CFL
        • CFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • CFL Picks
      • Golf
        • Back
        • Golf
        • Golf Home
        • Golf Odds
        • Masters Odds
        • PGA Championship Odds
        • US Open Odds
        • British Open Odds
        • Ryder Cup Odds
        • Golf Picks
    • Odds
      • All Odds
      • NFL
      • NCAAF
      • NBA
      • NCAAB
      • MLB
      • NHL
      • Golf
      • Soccer Odds
        • Back
        • Soccer Odds
        • MLS Odds
        • Champions League Odds
        • Premier League Odds
      • UFC
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • Election Odds
      • Futures
        • Back
        • Futures
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • MLB
        • NHL
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAF
      • Sports Odds History
      • Politics
        • Back
        • Politics
        • Politics Home
        • Presidential Election Odds
        • Midterm Election Odds
        • House Midterm Odds
        • Senate Midterm Odds
        • Texas Midterm Odds
        • Michigan Midterm Odds
    • Picks
      • All Picks
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • NHL
      • MLB
      • NCAAF
      • NCAAB
      • Golf
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • User Picks
      • Team User Picks
      • Consensus Picks
        • Back
        • Consensus Picks
        • All Consensus Picks
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • NHL
        • MLB
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAB
        • CFL
        • WNBA
        • Consensus FAQ
        • Public Money
    • Prop Projections
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • MLB
      • NHL
    • Betting
      • US Betting Sites
      • Canada Betting Sites
      • Sportsbook Reviews
      • States
        • Back
        • States
        • US Legal Tracker
        • Revenue Tracker
        • Arizona
        • Arkansas
        • California
        • Colorado
        • Connecticut
        • DC
        • Florida
        • Georgia
        • Illinois
        • Indiana
        • Iowa
        • Kansas
        • Kentucky
        • Louisiana
        • Maine
        • Maryland
        • Massachusetts
        • Michigan
        • Mississippi
        • Missouri
        • Nevada
        • New Hampshire
        • New Jersey
        • New York
        • North Carolina
        • Ohio
        • Oregon
        • Pennsylvania
        • Tennessee
        • Texas
        • Vermont
        • Virginia
        • West Virginia
        • Wyoming
      • Provinces
        • Back
        • Provinces
        • Alberta
        • British Columbia
        • Manitoba
        • New Brunswick
        • Newfoundland and Labrador
        • Northwest Territories
        • Nova Scotia
        • Nunavut
        • Ontario
        • Prince Edward Island
        • Quebec (English)
        • Quebec (francais)
        • Saskatchewan
        • Yukon
      • By Sport
        • Back
        • By Sport
        • Baseball
        • Basketball
        • Boxing
        • College Football
        • F1
        • Football
        • Super Bowl
        • Golf
        • Hockey
        • Horse Racing
        • March Madness
        • Soccer
        • UFC
        • World Cup
      • Betting Apps
        • Back
        • Betting Apps
        • Best Sports Betting Apps USA
        • Ontario Sports Betting Apps
      • Rest of World
        • Back
        • Rest of World
        • UK Betting Offers
          • Back
          • UK Betting Offers
          • UK Betting Sites
          • bet365 Bonus Code UK
          • 888Sport Promo Code UK
          • William Hill Sign up Offer
          • Betway Sign up Offer
          • BetVictor Bonus Code UK
      • Betting Guides
        • Back
        • Betting Guides
        • All Guides
        • Glossary
        • Betting Calculators
          • Back
          • Betting Calculators
          • Odds Converter
          • Parlay Calculator
        • Futures Betting Guide
        • Moneyline Betting Guide
        • Over/Under Betting Guide
        • Parlay Betting Guide
        • Point Spread Betting Guide
        • Prop Betting Guide
        • Sports Betting Guides
          • Back
          • Sports Betting Guides
          • How To Bet On Sports Guide
          • NFL Betting Guide
          • NHL Betting Guide
          • NBA Betting Guide
          • MLB Betting Guide
          • NCAAB Betting Guide
          • NCAAF Betting Guide
          • Golf Betting Guide
          • Tennis Betting Guide
        • Teaser Betting Guide
      • Betting News
        • Back
        • Betting News
        • All News
        • Industry News
        • Podcasts
        • Covers Videos
        • Covers Writers
        • Offers & Boosts
    • Promos
      • Sportsbook Promos
      • Canada Sportsbook Promos
      • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • bet365 Bonus Code
        • BET99 Promo Code
        • BetMGM Bonus Code
        • BetRivers Bonus Code
        • Caesars Sportsbook Promo
        • DraftKings Promo Code
        • Fanatics Sportsbook Promo
        • FanDuel Promo Code
        • Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
        • Sports Interaction Promo
        • Stake Promo Code
        • theScore Bet Promo Code
        • TonyBet Promo Code
      • Bonuses By Region
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Region
        • Arkansas Promos
        • Arizona Promos
        • Colorado Promos
        • Connecticut Promos
        • DC Promos
        • Illinois Promos
        • Indiana Promos
        • Iowa Promos
        • Kansas Promos
        • Kentucky Promos
        • Louisiana Promos
        • Maine Promos
        • Maryland Promos
        • Massachusetts Promos
        • Michigan Promos
        • Missouri Promos
        • New Jersey Promos
        • New York Promos
        • North Carolina Promos
        • Ohio Promos
        • Pennsylvania Promos
        • Tennessee Promos
        • Vermont Promos
        • Virginia Promos
        • West Virginia Promos
        • Wyoming Promos
    • Forum & Contests
      • All Forums
      • NFL Betting Forum
      • MLB Betting Forum
      • NCAAB Betting Forum
      • NCAAF Betting Forum
      • NBA Betting Forum
      • NHL Betting Forum
      • Soccer Betting Forum
      • Contests
        • Back
        • Contests
        • Contests Home
        • Streak Survivor
        • King of Covers
        • My Contests
    • Casino
      • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Back
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes No-Deposit Bonuses
        • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Back
          • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Card Crush
          • Casino.click
          • Chanced Casino
          • Crown Coins Casino
          • FreeSpin Casino
          • LoneStar
          • McLuck
          • Mega Bonanza Casino
          • PlayFame
          • Pulsz
          • Stake.us
      • US Casinos
        • Back
        • US Casinos
        • US Online Casinos
        • US Online Casino Bonuses
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • bet365 Casino Promo Code
          • BetRivers Casino Promo
          • Borgata Casino Bonus Code
          • Caesars Casino Bonus Code
          • DraftKings Casino Promo
          • Fanatics Casino Promo
          • FanDuel Casino Promo Code
          • Golden Nugget Casino Promo
          • Hard Rock Bet Casino Promo
          • Hollywood Casino Promo Code
      • Canada Casinos
        • Back
        • Canada Casinos
        • Canada Online Casinos
        • Provinces
          • Back
          • Provinces
          • Alberta Online Casino
          • BC Online Casino
          • Ontario Online Casinos
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • BC.GAME Bonus Code
          • Cloudbet Promo Code
          • RainBet Promo Code
          • Roobet Promo Code
          • Shuffle Promo Code
          • Thrill Promo Code
    • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Market Apps
      • Prediction Market Promos
      • Kalshi Promo Code
      • Kalshi Referral Code
      • Polymarket Promo Code
      • Polymarket Referral Code
      • DraftKings Predictions Promo Code
      • Novig Promo Code
      • ProphetX Promo Code
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • Betr Promo Code
      • OG Promo Code
      • Fanatics Markets Promo Code
      • Plus500 Promo Code
      • Gemini Predictions Promo Code
    • NBA Opening Night
      NBA Opening Night
      • NBA Odds
      • NBA Picks
      • NBA Moneyline Picks
      • Celtics-Pistons Picks
      • 76ers-Knicks Picks
      • Thunder-Spurs Picks
      • NBA Prediction Markets
      • NBA Betting Sites
    Covers Account
    Log in Create account
    Join free Log in
    All Forums | Boxing

    ortiz vs. MAYWEATHER

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    walktheline
    NJDevils
    ZOUK
    Qncyk1
    thesoulpurpose
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 3217
    Posts: 57
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    walktheline
    walktheline
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 4526
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2011 - 10:34 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:

    Don't forget 24/7 debuts this week, with some buzz around the first episode too...

    https://www.mlive.com/mayweather/index.ssf/2011/08/distractions_wont_derail_floyd.html

    Told you that shit would be insane... 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:

    Don't forget 24/7 debuts this week, with some buzz around the first episode too...

    https://www.mlive.com/mayweather/index.ssf/2011/08/distractions_wont_derail_floyd.html

    Told you that shit would be insane... 
     
    NJDevils
    NJDevils
    Covers Rehab
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2004
    Posts: 33122
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2011 - 10:45 PM ET #27

    i gotta watch that later
    Reply
    i gotta watch that later
     
    ZOUK
    ZOUK
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 1121
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2011 - 10:53 PM ET #28

    Qncyk1: First I am slightly confused on your thread. Also, who would think Bernard Hopkins would be so great at age 46? I understand your point. You should read all my threads not just ones responding to far previous questions.
    Gambling on boxing... just check the article regarding the odds of Holyfield vs Tyson II, no one had the answer, even after they searched the interenet. I knew the exact odds (Holyfield +175) because I won $87,500. The initial bout it was difficult to bet as many local bookies I knew wouldn't take opening odds. Then at 7-1 they started to. Then I got one bookie to give me unlimited bet amount at 7/2. From around 2000-2007 online sportsbooks I had major VIP account, especially Pinnacle (but now after Septemeber 2006 Port Act they lost all US customers and went from the best to mediocre). Others refused my account or made my max $500, similar to vegas casino sportsbooks are a joke. I tried to bet 25k on Cotto over Quintanna (-250) at the Bellagio during the Five Diamonds Classic Poker Tournament. I lost track and had to bet last moment so I told a fellow investor and I went to place 50k at the cage. First they stated the maximum on boxing was $500 and that even though they had the bout on the board it was a non-bet because it was in New Jersey (they said they are restricted because each state has a different condition). Being known to the staff as an excellent customer they offered transferring the wager if another casino would take it. Unfortunately it was to closed because the fight was about to take place within an hour and it was past the cut-off point. That was a 10k mistake and for my friend as well. Only the Stardust would take major bets.
    I also agree about the odds with Floyd, but Ortiz as a 4-1 dog vs Berto was much worse if you know boxing (Ortiz was a huge +EV in that fight with those odds).
    My last few years of major PPV fights I bet were mostly props:
    -Pacquiao to win by decision over Mosley (Large)
    -Ortiz over Berto I bet straight out (Large)
    -Floyd to beat JMM by decision (Average)
    -Over in Clottey vs Pacquiao (Large)
    -Hopkins straight +350 and prop +580 to win by decision (Large)
    -Gerrero over Katsidis and smaller wager on Guerrero to win by decision. (Average:I bet at -190, then after weigh-in at -230)
    I don't like betting overs unless many conditions are present. I consider headbutts with styles, swelling, cuts and the occasional suprise KO. Analyzing a fight in round section and how each fighter respond to how the fight is going. Betting these wagers on veterans is safer as they often never switch their style even if they been losing every round and need a knock-out. Also history of headbutts, constant clinches, facial cutting and swellling are all key. Example: Pacquiao beating Mosley was easily seen, but Mosley would prefer losing (even if he knew he couldn't win a decision) to decision rather than take any risk of getting hurt or knocked out. Also, after a few rounds and Mosley felt Manny's power I thought he would move often and not allow clinches with the possibility of in-fighting (which many is great at). Floyd beating JMM to a decision was an easy pick. Floyd in his return picked a smaller guy (a lightweight, not welterweight), with declining reflexes and speed, and a fighter whose body has been in many wars. JMM doesn't haven't a history of severe swelling or cuts even through the wars with Manny (Manny facially looked beat). Also, JMM has a great chin and never quits and Floyd in his return would control the fight at his pace not taking many chances and doing anough to win each round safely and get comfortable again.
    I analyze and consider many factors. I also calculate the odds, which way they will swing and props. I use to bet fights and bet as soon as the line opened with the belief the public will bet the other way enough to now bet the other fighter and take an automatic payday no matter who won.
    Knowing how to bet is often thought to be simple. You can take an NFL bettor that wins 56% (using -110 vig, 52.38% is break even) of games and loses by years end. Knowing how to find value and maximize it and utilize risk vs reward is the game. Often when to bet a game is of major importance. Saving a half point, or a lower vig makes a huge impact by season end. Boxing as well, betting early can freeze a certain amount of your funds but you consider Risk vs Reward and ROI. I won't make this a manual on how to get the best positive expectation in gambling but I felt people lack or under-estimate these factors.
    Qncyk1: I don't know if your statement about certain people not betting boxing referred to me, but as a note my record is sensational but as I stated my timing of when to bet, how to bet and how much is elite. I file as a professional gambler because besides all my other investments and businesses, my earnings with gambling is so much more that decade ago I had to start filing my taxes a professional gambler. I gambled all my life but made consistent revenue since 1992 when I counted cards at blackjack and here I am today.
    Reply
    Qncyk1: First I am slightly confused on your thread. Also, who would think Bernard Hopkins would be so great at age 46? I understand your point. You should read all my threads not just ones responding to far previous questions.
    Gambling on boxing... just check the article regarding the odds of Holyfield vs Tyson II, no one had the answer, even after they searched the interenet. I knew the exact odds (Holyfield +175) because I won $87,500. The initial bout it was difficult to bet as many local bookies I knew wouldn't take opening odds. Then at 7-1 they started to. Then I got one bookie to give me unlimited bet amount at 7/2. From around 2000-2007 online sportsbooks I had major VIP account, especially Pinnacle (but now after Septemeber 2006 Port Act they lost all US customers and went from the best to mediocre). Others refused my account or made my max $500, similar to vegas casino sportsbooks are a joke. I tried to bet 25k on Cotto over Quintanna (-250) at the Bellagio during the Five Diamonds Classic Poker Tournament. I lost track and had to bet last moment so I told a fellow investor and I went to place 50k at the cage. First they stated the maximum on boxing was $500 and that even though they had the bout on the board it was a non-bet because it was in New Jersey (they said they are restricted because each state has a different condition). Being known to the staff as an excellent customer they offered transferring the wager if another casino would take it. Unfortunately it was to closed because the fight was about to take place within an hour and it was past the cut-off point. That was a 10k mistake and for my friend as well. Only the Stardust would take major bets.
    I also agree about the odds with Floyd, but Ortiz as a 4-1 dog vs Berto was much worse if you know boxing (Ortiz was a huge +EV in that fight with those odds).
    My last few years of major PPV fights I bet were mostly props:
    -Pacquiao to win by decision over Mosley (Large)
    -Ortiz over Berto I bet straight out (Large)
    -Floyd to beat JMM by decision (Average)
    -Over in Clottey vs Pacquiao (Large)
    -Hopkins straight +350 and prop +580 to win by decision (Large)
    -Gerrero over Katsidis and smaller wager on Guerrero to win by decision. (Average:I bet at -190, then after weigh-in at -230)
    I don't like betting overs unless many conditions are present. I consider headbutts with styles, swelling, cuts and the occasional suprise KO. Analyzing a fight in round section and how each fighter respond to how the fight is going. Betting these wagers on veterans is safer as they often never switch their style even if they been losing every round and need a knock-out. Also history of headbutts, constant clinches, facial cutting and swellling are all key. Example: Pacquiao beating Mosley was easily seen, but Mosley would prefer losing (even if he knew he couldn't win a decision) to decision rather than take any risk of getting hurt or knocked out. Also, after a few rounds and Mosley felt Manny's power I thought he would move often and not allow clinches with the possibility of in-fighting (which many is great at). Floyd beating JMM to a decision was an easy pick. Floyd in his return picked a smaller guy (a lightweight, not welterweight), with declining reflexes and speed, and a fighter whose body has been in many wars. JMM doesn't haven't a history of severe swelling or cuts even through the wars with Manny (Manny facially looked beat). Also, JMM has a great chin and never quits and Floyd in his return would control the fight at his pace not taking many chances and doing anough to win each round safely and get comfortable again.
    I analyze and consider many factors. I also calculate the odds, which way they will swing and props. I use to bet fights and bet as soon as the line opened with the belief the public will bet the other way enough to now bet the other fighter and take an automatic payday no matter who won.
    Knowing how to bet is often thought to be simple. You can take an NFL bettor that wins 56% (using -110 vig, 52.38% is break even) of games and loses by years end. Knowing how to find value and maximize it and utilize risk vs reward is the game. Often when to bet a game is of major importance. Saving a half point, or a lower vig makes a huge impact by season end. Boxing as well, betting early can freeze a certain amount of your funds but you consider Risk vs Reward and ROI. I won't make this a manual on how to get the best positive expectation in gambling but I felt people lack or under-estimate these factors.
    Qncyk1: I don't know if your statement about certain people not betting boxing referred to me, but as a note my record is sensational but as I stated my timing of when to bet, how to bet and how much is elite. I file as a professional gambler because besides all my other investments and businesses, my earnings with gambling is so much more that decade ago I had to start filing my taxes a professional gambler. I gambled all my life but made consistent revenue since 1992 when I counted cards at blackjack and here I am today.
     
    walktheline
    walktheline
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 4526
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2011 - 3:09 AM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Qncyk1: First I am slightly confused on your thread. Also, who would think Bernard Hopkins would be so great at age 46? I understand your point. You should read all my threads not just ones responding to far previous questions.
    Gambling on boxing... just check the article regarding the odds of Holyfield vs Tyson II, no one had the answer, even after they searched the interenet. I knew the exact odds (Holyfield +175) because I won $87,500. The initial bout it was difficult to bet as many local bookies I knew wouldn't take opening odds. Then at 7-1 they started to. Then I got one bookie to give me unlimited bet amount at 7/2. From around 2000-2007 online sportsbooks I had major VIP account, especially Pinnacle (but now after Septemeber 2006 Port Act they lost all US customers and went from the best to mediocre). Others refused my account or made my max $500, similar to vegas casino sportsbooks are a joke. I tried to bet 25k on Cotto over Quintanna (-250) at the Bellagio during the Five Diamonds Classic Poker Tournament. I lost track and had to bet last moment so I told a fellow investor and I went to place 50k at the cage. First they stated the maximum on boxing was $500 and that even though they had the bout on the board it was a non-bet because it was in New Jersey (they said they are restricted because each state has a different condition). Being known to the staff as an excellent customer they offered transferring the wager if another casino would take it. Unfortunately it was to closed because the fight was about to take place within an hour and it was past the cut-off point. That was a 10k mistake and for my friend as well. Only the Stardust would take major bets.
    I also agree about the odds with Floyd, but Ortiz as a 4-1 dog vs Berto was much worse if you know boxing (Ortiz was a huge +EV in that fight with those odds).
    My last few years of major PPV fights I bet were mostly props:
    -Pacquiao to win by decision over Mosley (Large)
    -Ortiz over Berto I bet straight out (Large)
    -Floyd to beat JMM by decision (Average)
    -Over in Clottey vs Pacquiao (Large)
    -Hopkins straight +350 and prop +580 to win by decision (Large)
    -Gerrero over Katsidis and smaller wager on Guerrero to win by decision. (Average:I bet at -190, then after weigh-in at -230)
    I don't like betting overs unless many conditions are present. I consider headbutts with styles, swelling, cuts and the occasional suprise KO. Analyzing a fight in round section and how each fighter respond to how the fight is going. Betting these wagers on veterans is safer as they often never switch their style even if they been losing every round and need a knock-out. Also history of headbutts, constant clinches, facial cutting and swellling are all key. Example: Pacquiao beating Mosley was easily seen, but Mosley would prefer losing (even if he knew he couldn't win a decision) to decision rather than take any risk of getting hurt or knocked out. Also, after a few rounds and Mosley felt Manny's power I thought he would move often and not allow clinches with the possibility of in-fighting (which many is great at). Floyd beating JMM to a decision was an easy pick. Floyd in his return picked a smaller guy (a lightweight, not welterweight), with declining reflexes and speed, and a fighter whose body has been in many wars. JMM doesn't haven't a history of severe swelling or cuts even through the wars with Manny (Manny facially looked beat). Also, JMM has a great chin and never quits and Floyd in his return would control the fight at his pace not taking many chances and doing anough to win each round safely and get comfortable again.
    I analyze and consider many factors. I also calculate the odds, which way they will swing and props. I use to bet fights and bet as soon as the line opened with the belief the public will bet the other way enough to now bet the other fighter and take an automatic payday no matter who won.
    Knowing how to bet is often thought to be simple. You can take an NFL bettor that wins 56% (using -110 vig, 52.38% is break even) of games and loses by years end. Knowing how to find value and maximize it and utilize risk vs reward is the game. Often when to bet a game is of major importance. Saving a half point, or a lower vig makes a huge impact by season end. Boxing as well, betting early can freeze a certain amount of your funds but you consider Risk vs Reward and ROI. I won't make this a manual on how to get the best positive expectation in gambling but I felt people lack or under-estimate these factors.
    Qncyk1: I don't know if your statement about certain people not betting boxing referred to me, but as a note my record is sensational but as I stated my timing of when to bet, how to bet and how much is elite. I file as a professional gambler because besides all my other investments and businesses, my earnings with gambling is so much more that decade ago I had to start filing my taxes a professional gambler. I gambled all my life but made consistent revenue since 1992 when I counted cards at blackjack and here I am today.

    Ummm... chill son. Regroup, post solid material in a user friendly format.You have an impeccable record? That's great. You don't need to flex your "boxing muscle" by posting fight recaps from the 50's. Stop that shit. It's silly and irrelevant. You might be the shit. The problem is that your ADD posting and starting Eastside style GOAT threads is annoying. In fact, stop that shit too. Analyzing scoring in the game? C'mon man... 

    Here is what you can do... you can post a ticket of you betting a nickel or better on a fight. I'll gladly post the current nickel(s) I have on Ortiz. #putuporshutup

    Fucking card counting??? Either you're fucking insane or you believe that your audience is naive. Which one? You're a fucking hustler? You got this? 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Qncyk1: First I am slightly confused on your thread. Also, who would think Bernard Hopkins would be so great at age 46? I understand your point. You should read all my threads not just ones responding to far previous questions.
    Gambling on boxing... just check the article regarding the odds of Holyfield vs Tyson II, no one had the answer, even after they searched the interenet. I knew the exact odds (Holyfield +175) because I won $87,500. The initial bout it was difficult to bet as many local bookies I knew wouldn't take opening odds. Then at 7-1 they started to. Then I got one bookie to give me unlimited bet amount at 7/2. From around 2000-2007 online sportsbooks I had major VIP account, especially Pinnacle (but now after Septemeber 2006 Port Act they lost all US customers and went from the best to mediocre). Others refused my account or made my max $500, similar to vegas casino sportsbooks are a joke. I tried to bet 25k on Cotto over Quintanna (-250) at the Bellagio during the Five Diamonds Classic Poker Tournament. I lost track and had to bet last moment so I told a fellow investor and I went to place 50k at the cage. First they stated the maximum on boxing was $500 and that even though they had the bout on the board it was a non-bet because it was in New Jersey (they said they are restricted because each state has a different condition). Being known to the staff as an excellent customer they offered transferring the wager if another casino would take it. Unfortunately it was to closed because the fight was about to take place within an hour and it was past the cut-off point. That was a 10k mistake and for my friend as well. Only the Stardust would take major bets.
    I also agree about the odds with Floyd, but Ortiz as a 4-1 dog vs Berto was much worse if you know boxing (Ortiz was a huge +EV in that fight with those odds).
    My last few years of major PPV fights I bet were mostly props:
    -Pacquiao to win by decision over Mosley (Large)
    -Ortiz over Berto I bet straight out (Large)
    -Floyd to beat JMM by decision (Average)
    -Over in Clottey vs Pacquiao (Large)
    -Hopkins straight +350 and prop +580 to win by decision (Large)
    -Gerrero over Katsidis and smaller wager on Guerrero to win by decision. (Average:I bet at -190, then after weigh-in at -230)
    I don't like betting overs unless many conditions are present. I consider headbutts with styles, swelling, cuts and the occasional suprise KO. Analyzing a fight in round section and how each fighter respond to how the fight is going. Betting these wagers on veterans is safer as they often never switch their style even if they been losing every round and need a knock-out. Also history of headbutts, constant clinches, facial cutting and swellling are all key. Example: Pacquiao beating Mosley was easily seen, but Mosley would prefer losing (even if he knew he couldn't win a decision) to decision rather than take any risk of getting hurt or knocked out. Also, after a few rounds and Mosley felt Manny's power I thought he would move often and not allow clinches with the possibility of in-fighting (which many is great at). Floyd beating JMM to a decision was an easy pick. Floyd in his return picked a smaller guy (a lightweight, not welterweight), with declining reflexes and speed, and a fighter whose body has been in many wars. JMM doesn't haven't a history of severe swelling or cuts even through the wars with Manny (Manny facially looked beat). Also, JMM has a great chin and never quits and Floyd in his return would control the fight at his pace not taking many chances and doing anough to win each round safely and get comfortable again.
    I analyze and consider many factors. I also calculate the odds, which way they will swing and props. I use to bet fights and bet as soon as the line opened with the belief the public will bet the other way enough to now bet the other fighter and take an automatic payday no matter who won.
    Knowing how to bet is often thought to be simple. You can take an NFL bettor that wins 56% (using -110 vig, 52.38% is break even) of games and loses by years end. Knowing how to find value and maximize it and utilize risk vs reward is the game. Often when to bet a game is of major importance. Saving a half point, or a lower vig makes a huge impact by season end. Boxing as well, betting early can freeze a certain amount of your funds but you consider Risk vs Reward and ROI. I won't make this a manual on how to get the best positive expectation in gambling but I felt people lack or under-estimate these factors.
    Qncyk1: I don't know if your statement about certain people not betting boxing referred to me, but as a note my record is sensational but as I stated my timing of when to bet, how to bet and how much is elite. I file as a professional gambler because besides all my other investments and businesses, my earnings with gambling is so much more that decade ago I had to start filing my taxes a professional gambler. I gambled all my life but made consistent revenue since 1992 when I counted cards at blackjack and here I am today.

    Ummm... chill son. Regroup, post solid material in a user friendly format.You have an impeccable record? That's great. You don't need to flex your "boxing muscle" by posting fight recaps from the 50's. Stop that shit. It's silly and irrelevant. You might be the shit. The problem is that your ADD posting and starting Eastside style GOAT threads is annoying. In fact, stop that shit too. Analyzing scoring in the game? C'mon man... 

    Here is what you can do... you can post a ticket of you betting a nickel or better on a fight. I'll gladly post the current nickel(s) I have on Ortiz. #putuporshutup

    Fucking card counting??? Either you're fucking insane or you believe that your audience is naive. Which one? You're a fucking hustler? You got this? 

     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2011 - 5:13 AM ET #30

    [Quote: Originally Posted by walktheline]

    Ummm... chill son. Regroup, post solid material in a user friendly format.You have an impeccable record? That's great. You don't need to flex your "boxing muscle" by posting fight recaps from the 50's. Stop that shit. It's silly and irrelevant. You might be the shit. The problem is that your ADD posting and starting Eastside style GOAT threads is annoying. In fact, stop that shit too. Analyzing scoring in the game? C'mon man... 

    Here is what you can do... you can post a ticket of you betting a nickel or better on a fight. I'll gladly post the current nickel(s) I have on Ortiz. #putuporshutup

    Fucking card counting??? Either you're fucking insane or you believe that your audience is naive. Which one? You're a fucking hustler? You got this? 

    [/Quote

     

    well, first of all anyone that bets boxing would never, ever ,ever make the stupid comment that pbf will be the same at 40 that he is today.

    period.

    thats how you know the guy is full of shit. no one in the lighter weight classes(130-147) has ever been able to maintain the same level after the age of 35 in the last 20 years.

    period.

    for the record, i only have a small play on ortiz because it is impossible to time when a fighter gets old.

    pbf the same fighter now as when he hits 40?

    what a fucking tool.

    even pbfhimself  would never say that.

    Reply
    [Quote: Originally Posted by walktheline]

    Ummm... chill son. Regroup, post solid material in a user friendly format.You have an impeccable record? That's great. You don't need to flex your "boxing muscle" by posting fight recaps from the 50's. Stop that shit. It's silly and irrelevant. You might be the shit. The problem is that your ADD posting and starting Eastside style GOAT threads is annoying. In fact, stop that shit too. Analyzing scoring in the game? C'mon man... 

    Here is what you can do... you can post a ticket of you betting a nickel or better on a fight. I'll gladly post the current nickel(s) I have on Ortiz. #putuporshutup

    Fucking card counting??? Either you're fucking insane or you believe that your audience is naive. Which one? You're a fucking hustler? You got this? 

    [/Quote

     

    well, first of all anyone that bets boxing would never, ever ,ever make the stupid comment that pbf will be the same at 40 that he is today.

    period.

    thats how you know the guy is full of shit. no one in the lighter weight classes(130-147) has ever been able to maintain the same level after the age of 35 in the last 20 years.

    period.

    for the record, i only have a small play on ortiz because it is impossible to time when a fighter gets old.

    pbf the same fighter now as when he hits 40?

    what a fucking tool.

    even pbfhimself  would never say that.

     
    ZOUK
    ZOUK
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 1121
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2011 - 7:12 PM ET #31

    walktheline: walktheline: "Umm, chill son!" (LOL- I think your ignorance shows asking me to stop posts where other members thank me for posting accurate and entertaining posts. Just take a look. You mock me cause I did card counting. I use to travel all the way to Turning Stone Casino in NY when it first opened to bet single deck Blackjack and the dealers cut around 10 cards deep. Within one year they stopped single decked and never went back to it. My largest wagering event for winning in one day is 340k playing 4k-8k mixed 6 game poker at the Baldwin room in Bellagio. I never cashed more than 200k in any tournament but rarely played many large ones.
     It seems you have animosity deep inside and if you don't want to read my posts, then don't REQUOTE the entire post and comment on your limited capacity. Besides betting boxing, I boxed along with MMA for many years. Posts from the 50's? I was replying to several of thesoulpurpose's posts. I'm so unknowledgeable I'm the only person who posted what the odds of Tyson vs Holyfield II...why? Because I remember betting it and big along with the first bout. I could see your statement on a direct attack but why would people be naive to believe a counted cards? It was my first gambling game I could win consistently. I use to handicap CFB and win, but lose it all to NFL. Also, when I was younger I didn't have bankroll management and knowing how to get the best +EV as little expereince, no internet and few accurate good books on handicapping and betting were not available.
    Your comments like ADD and Eastside GOAT threads, and I assume hustler was negatively meant. Learn to put aside your personal issues and be objective and enjoy a forum instead of trying to insult and degrade fellow members, that is mere childish. Grow up and learn to communicate like an adult. Also, try and get a rebate on your Ortiz wager now because Berto was way over-rated and Ortiz even struggled getting knocked down and hurt. Remember, no matter how good of a value you can get on a wager you like, it's irrelevant if you lose.
    Qncyk1: You found a partner. You took my Floyd statement and misunderstood the point of the thread. In the future I will make short simple posts so you aren't confused. My point was with thesoulpurpose regarding older fighters and many who have taken care of their bodies and have not had fights that take time of your career can compete at elite level at older ages. Also, if you think Floyd just relies on speed (which goes first with age), think again. He is highly intelligent fighter. Name other fighter who you think are better ring technicians?

    walktheline: You are a big fan of 24/7. Another promotional tool to sell tickets at higher prices to simple minded boxing fans. Besides 90% of it being irrelevant to the fight, it's a soap opera. Father and son had a big argument, that was breaking news. At the Oscar fight Floyd Sr. stated he thought his son lost. He took an emotional trigger shot at his son live on PPV.

    Reply

    walktheline: walktheline: "Umm, chill son!" (LOL- I think your ignorance shows asking me to stop posts where other members thank me for posting accurate and entertaining posts. Just take a look. You mock me cause I did card counting. I use to travel all the way to Turning Stone Casino in NY when it first opened to bet single deck Blackjack and the dealers cut around 10 cards deep. Within one year they stopped single decked and never went back to it. My largest wagering event for winning in one day is 340k playing 4k-8k mixed 6 game poker at the Baldwin room in Bellagio. I never cashed more than 200k in any tournament but rarely played many large ones.
     It seems you have animosity deep inside and if you don't want to read my posts, then don't REQUOTE the entire post and comment on your limited capacity. Besides betting boxing, I boxed along with MMA for many years. Posts from the 50's? I was replying to several of thesoulpurpose's posts. I'm so unknowledgeable I'm the only person who posted what the odds of Tyson vs Holyfield II...why? Because I remember betting it and big along with the first bout. I could see your statement on a direct attack but why would people be naive to believe a counted cards? It was my first gambling game I could win consistently. I use to handicap CFB and win, but lose it all to NFL. Also, when I was younger I didn't have bankroll management and knowing how to get the best +EV as little expereince, no internet and few accurate good books on handicapping and betting were not available.
    Your comments like ADD and Eastside GOAT threads, and I assume hustler was negatively meant. Learn to put aside your personal issues and be objective and enjoy a forum instead of trying to insult and degrade fellow members, that is mere childish. Grow up and learn to communicate like an adult. Also, try and get a rebate on your Ortiz wager now because Berto was way over-rated and Ortiz even struggled getting knocked down and hurt. Remember, no matter how good of a value you can get on a wager you like, it's irrelevant if you lose.
    Qncyk1: You found a partner. You took my Floyd statement and misunderstood the point of the thread. In the future I will make short simple posts so you aren't confused. My point was with thesoulpurpose regarding older fighters and many who have taken care of their bodies and have not had fights that take time of your career can compete at elite level at older ages. Also, if you think Floyd just relies on speed (which goes first with age), think again. He is highly intelligent fighter. Name other fighter who you think are better ring technicians?

    walktheline: You are a big fan of 24/7. Another promotional tool to sell tickets at higher prices to simple minded boxing fans. Besides 90% of it being irrelevant to the fight, it's a soap opera. Father and son had a big argument, that was breaking news. At the Oscar fight Floyd Sr. stated he thought his son lost. He took an emotional trigger shot at his son live on PPV.

     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2011 - 7:44 PM ET #32

    pbf is an extremely intelligent fighter who can make great adjustments. however, he is 34 and relies on speed and reflexes, the first thing to go in a fighter(legs).

    name one fighter at 130-154 that had success after the age of 35.

    i'm only asking for one.

    thats what pbf is up against.

     

     

    Reply

    pbf is an extremely intelligent fighter who can make great adjustments. however, he is 34 and relies on speed and reflexes, the first thing to go in a fighter(legs).

    name one fighter at 130-154 that had success after the age of 35.

    i'm only asking for one.

    thats what pbf is up against.

     

     

     
    ZOUK
    ZOUK
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 1121
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2011 - 8:38 PM ET #33

    Willie Pep made a comeback at age 42 at 137lbs and had ten fights in his last return from retirement (9-1-0 w/ 4 KOs). Happy:) Or are you gonna change your mind and say just one more or ask another question? I think we are finished with this discussion. Nice chatting with you. 
    Reply
    Willie Pep made a comeback at age 42 at 137lbs and had ten fights in his last return from retirement (9-1-0 w/ 4 KOs). Happy:) Or are you gonna change your mind and say just one more or ask another question? I think we are finished with this discussion. Nice chatting with you. 
     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2011 - 9:26 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Willie Pep made a comeback at age 42 at 137lbs and had ten fights in his last return from retirement (9-1-0 w/ 4 KOs). Happy:) Or are you gonna change your mind and say just one more or ask another question? I think we are finished with this discussion. Nice chatting with you. 

    uh not so fast, pal.

    willie pep got ko'd at 36. he then came back to fight a total of ten times at the age of 42 and went 9-1.

    that coming against competition with a combined record of 60-93. the best fighter he faced in that span was one tommy haden, who sported an impressive 12-12 record.

    do you have any more examples?

    see, if you didn't act like you knew everything then you wouldnt be getting you ass handed to you.

    pbf the same fighter at 40 as today?

    oh my.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Willie Pep made a comeback at age 42 at 137lbs and had ten fights in his last return from retirement (9-1-0 w/ 4 KOs). Happy:) Or are you gonna change your mind and say just one more or ask another question? I think we are finished with this discussion. Nice chatting with you. 

    uh not so fast, pal.

    willie pep got ko'd at 36. he then came back to fight a total of ten times at the age of 42 and went 9-1.

    that coming against competition with a combined record of 60-93. the best fighter he faced in that span was one tommy haden, who sported an impressive 12-12 record.

    do you have any more examples?

    see, if you didn't act like you knew everything then you wouldnt be getting you ass handed to you.

    pbf the same fighter at 40 as today?

    oh my.

     

     
    walktheline
    walktheline
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 4526
    Posted: Aug. 29, 2011 - 9:22 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    walktheline: walktheline: "Umm, chill son!" (LOL- I think your ignorance shows asking me to stop posts where other members thank me for posting accurate and entertaining posts. Just take a look. You mock me cause I did card counting. I use to travel all the way to Turning Stone Casino in NY when it first opened to bet single deck Blackjack and the dealers cut around 10 cards deep. Within one year they stopped single decked and never went back to it. My largest wagering event for winning in one day is 340k playing 4k-8k mixed 6 game poker at the Baldwin room in Bellagio. I never cashed more than 200k in any tournament but rarely played many large ones.
     It seems you have animosity deep inside and if you don't want to read my posts, then don't REQUOTE the entire post and comment on your limited capacity. Besides betting boxing, I boxed along with MMA for many years. Posts from the 50's? I was replying to several of thesoulpurpose's posts. I'm so unknowledgeable I'm the only person who posted what the odds of Tyson vs Holyfield II...why? Because I remember betting it and big along with the first bout. I could see your statement on a direct attack but why would people be naive to believe a counted cards? It was my first gambling game I could win consistently. I use to handicap CFB and win, but lose it all to NFL. Also, when I was younger I didn't have bankroll management and knowing how to get the best +EV as little expereince, no internet and few accurate good books on handicapping and betting were not available.
    Your comments like ADD and Eastside GOAT threads, and I assume hustler was negatively meant. Learn to put aside your personal issues and be objective and enjoy a forum instead of trying to insult and degrade fellow members, that is mere childish. Grow up and learn to communicate like an adult. Also, try and get a rebate on your Ortiz wager now because Berto was way over-rated and Ortiz even struggled getting knocked down and hurt. Remember, no matter how good of a value you can get on a wager you like, it's irrelevant if you lose.
    Qncyk1: You found a partner. You took my Floyd statement and misunderstood the point of the thread. In the future I will make short simple posts so you aren't confused. My point was with thesoulpurpose regarding older fighters and many who have taken care of their bodies and have not had fights that take time of your career can compete at elite level at older ages. Also, if you think Floyd just relies on speed (which goes first with age), think again. He is highly intelligent fighter. Name other fighter who you think are better ring technicians?

    walktheline: You are a big fan of 24/7. Another promotional tool to sell tickets at higher prices to simple minded boxing fans. Besides 90% of it being irrelevant to the fight, it's a soap opera. Father and son had a big argument, that was breaking news. At the Oscar fight Floyd Sr. stated he thought his son lost. He took an emotional trigger shot at his son live on PPV.


    Listen man, going into a diatribe about how you counted down single shoe decks sent me over the edge. Your depth of knowledge isn't questioned - only the application of that knowledge. I've seen dozens of Howard Hughes types pass through here. Don't be another one of those guys....

     Regardless, you tell me what advantages Floyd has over Ortiz at this point in his career. If you can tell me exactly what and why he is an enormous favorite, I'm all ears. 

    First, a few things..

    1) Do you REALLY believe that Mayweather has more power than Berto? If so, why? 

    2) What would lead you to believe that fighting in spurts and solid counter punching is going to be good enough against Ortiz?

    3) IF (and this is a big one) Floyd has to stand and fight like Berto was forced to, makes you feel that he'll have the goods to win an out n' out war? While he may be capable, he hasn't had to do it yet. If he has lost anything and now can't win on reflexes alone (RJJ) will he have the stones to pull it out? 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    walktheline: walktheline: "Umm, chill son!" (LOL- I think your ignorance shows asking me to stop posts where other members thank me for posting accurate and entertaining posts. Just take a look. You mock me cause I did card counting. I use to travel all the way to Turning Stone Casino in NY when it first opened to bet single deck Blackjack and the dealers cut around 10 cards deep. Within one year they stopped single decked and never went back to it. My largest wagering event for winning in one day is 340k playing 4k-8k mixed 6 game poker at the Baldwin room in Bellagio. I never cashed more than 200k in any tournament but rarely played many large ones.
     It seems you have animosity deep inside and if you don't want to read my posts, then don't REQUOTE the entire post and comment on your limited capacity. Besides betting boxing, I boxed along with MMA for many years. Posts from the 50's? I was replying to several of thesoulpurpose's posts. I'm so unknowledgeable I'm the only person who posted what the odds of Tyson vs Holyfield II...why? Because I remember betting it and big along with the first bout. I could see your statement on a direct attack but why would people be naive to believe a counted cards? It was my first gambling game I could win consistently. I use to handicap CFB and win, but lose it all to NFL. Also, when I was younger I didn't have bankroll management and knowing how to get the best +EV as little expereince, no internet and few accurate good books on handicapping and betting were not available.
    Your comments like ADD and Eastside GOAT threads, and I assume hustler was negatively meant. Learn to put aside your personal issues and be objective and enjoy a forum instead of trying to insult and degrade fellow members, that is mere childish. Grow up and learn to communicate like an adult. Also, try and get a rebate on your Ortiz wager now because Berto was way over-rated and Ortiz even struggled getting knocked down and hurt. Remember, no matter how good of a value you can get on a wager you like, it's irrelevant if you lose.
    Qncyk1: You found a partner. You took my Floyd statement and misunderstood the point of the thread. In the future I will make short simple posts so you aren't confused. My point was with thesoulpurpose regarding older fighters and many who have taken care of their bodies and have not had fights that take time of your career can compete at elite level at older ages. Also, if you think Floyd just relies on speed (which goes first with age), think again. He is highly intelligent fighter. Name other fighter who you think are better ring technicians?

    walktheline: You are a big fan of 24/7. Another promotional tool to sell tickets at higher prices to simple minded boxing fans. Besides 90% of it being irrelevant to the fight, it's a soap opera. Father and son had a big argument, that was breaking news. At the Oscar fight Floyd Sr. stated he thought his son lost. He took an emotional trigger shot at his son live on PPV.


    Listen man, going into a diatribe about how you counted down single shoe decks sent me over the edge. Your depth of knowledge isn't questioned - only the application of that knowledge. I've seen dozens of Howard Hughes types pass through here. Don't be another one of those guys....

     Regardless, you tell me what advantages Floyd has over Ortiz at this point in his career. If you can tell me exactly what and why he is an enormous favorite, I'm all ears. 

    First, a few things..

    1) Do you REALLY believe that Mayweather has more power than Berto? If so, why? 

    2) What would lead you to believe that fighting in spurts and solid counter punching is going to be good enough against Ortiz?

    3) IF (and this is a big one) Floyd has to stand and fight like Berto was forced to, makes you feel that he'll have the goods to win an out n' out war? While he may be capable, he hasn't had to do it yet. If he has lost anything and now can't win on reflexes alone (RJJ) will he have the stones to pull it out? 
     
    ZOUK
    ZOUK
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 1121
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 2:35 AM ET #36

    walktheline: Finally a good thread. I been in the game 20 years and winning the last 17 years and heavily since 2001. We leave that for now as I enjoy your questions and will be happy to answer. As noted, i was challenged with trivia, and won. Although I didn't have to look it up like most people. That aside my following thread will be a breakdown of the fight. Seeing Berto live several times made all the difference in my analysis of him. I'll post shortly answers and other info and quit the ridiculous trivia with clueless people who make 27 posts and disappear. Or he asked me 1 trivia and I answered it, and unlike a man he didn't come clean, he cowardly added more BS that will continue everytime he challenges and loses.
    Reply
    walktheline: Finally a good thread. I been in the game 20 years and winning the last 17 years and heavily since 2001. We leave that for now as I enjoy your questions and will be happy to answer. As noted, i was challenged with trivia, and won. Although I didn't have to look it up like most people. That aside my following thread will be a breakdown of the fight. Seeing Berto live several times made all the difference in my analysis of him. I'll post shortly answers and other info and quit the ridiculous trivia with clueless people who make 27 posts and disappear. Or he asked me 1 trivia and I answered it, and unlike a man he didn't come clean, he cowardly added more BS that will continue everytime he challenges and loses.
     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 9:54 AM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    walktheline: Finally a good thread. I been in the game 20 years and winning the last 17 years and heavily since 2001. We leave that for now as I enjoy your questions and will be happy to answer. As noted, i was challenged with trivia, and won. Although I didn't have to look it up like most people. That aside my following thread will be a breakdown of the fight. Seeing Berto live several times made all the difference in my analysis of him. I'll post shortly answers and other info and quit the ridiculous trivia with clueless people who make 27 posts and disappear. Or he asked me 1 trivia and I answered it, and unlike a man he didn't come clean, he cowardly added more BS that will continue everytime he challenges and loses.

     

    you won? with willie pep? no one here believes in your willie pep or your ridiculous theory that pbf will be the same fighter at 40 that he is today. noone.

    i asked for an example of a 130-154 fighter that has been successful after the age of 35. i refuted pep because of his subpar competition(detailed in my previous post) and that he was not indeed successful against elite competition let alone b-level competition. i've got 685 posts on the ESB forums(under the same monicker), the premier boxing website. in fact, the only reason i started an account here on covers was to specifically thank one of the best cappers here on the baseball forums, Bodio.

    you should read Bodio's stuff.  he doesnt act like he knows everything nor does he condescendingly talk down to people.

    he gets respect because he deserves it.

    you maybe right in that pbf dominates ortiz, possibly the way he did hatton. although i do not believe that this is a fair comparason as ortiz is a southpaw, faster, a true ww and has power in both hands, they do share the same fighting style.  

    i have yet to read anyone in the boxing world that believes that the pbf/ortiz fight is a tune-up for pbf.

    in fact, its been suspiciously quiet.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    walktheline: Finally a good thread. I been in the game 20 years and winning the last 17 years and heavily since 2001. We leave that for now as I enjoy your questions and will be happy to answer. As noted, i was challenged with trivia, and won. Although I didn't have to look it up like most people. That aside my following thread will be a breakdown of the fight. Seeing Berto live several times made all the difference in my analysis of him. I'll post shortly answers and other info and quit the ridiculous trivia with clueless people who make 27 posts and disappear. Or he asked me 1 trivia and I answered it, and unlike a man he didn't come clean, he cowardly added more BS that will continue everytime he challenges and loses.

     

    you won? with willie pep? no one here believes in your willie pep or your ridiculous theory that pbf will be the same fighter at 40 that he is today. noone.

    i asked for an example of a 130-154 fighter that has been successful after the age of 35. i refuted pep because of his subpar competition(detailed in my previous post) and that he was not indeed successful against elite competition let alone b-level competition. i've got 685 posts on the ESB forums(under the same monicker), the premier boxing website. in fact, the only reason i started an account here on covers was to specifically thank one of the best cappers here on the baseball forums, Bodio.

    you should read Bodio's stuff.  he doesnt act like he knows everything nor does he condescendingly talk down to people.

    he gets respect because he deserves it.

    you maybe right in that pbf dominates ortiz, possibly the way he did hatton. although i do not believe that this is a fair comparason as ortiz is a southpaw, faster, a true ww and has power in both hands, they do share the same fighting style.  

    i have yet to read anyone in the boxing world that believes that the pbf/ortiz fight is a tune-up for pbf.

    in fact, its been suspiciously quiet.

     

     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 10:09 AM ET #38

    the search engine only went back to june but i found two of your most recent picks.

    zab +400 and over 7 rounds both as straight bets(loss)

    quinton jackson parlayed with thiago alves ufc 130(loss)

    did you pick david haye?

    Reply

    the search engine only went back to june but i found two of your most recent picks.

    zab +400 and over 7 rounds both as straight bets(loss)

    quinton jackson parlayed with thiago alves ufc 130(loss)

    did you pick david haye?

     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 10:32 AM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Qncyk1: First I am slightly confused on your thread. Also, who would think Bernard Hopkins would be so great at age 46? I understand your point. You should read all my threads not just ones responding to far previous questions.
    Gambling on boxing... just check the article regarding the odds of Holyfield vs Tyson II, no one had the answer, even after they searched the interenet. I knew the exact odds (Holyfield +175) because I won $87,500. The initial bout it was difficult to bet as many local bookies I knew wouldn't take opening odds. Then at 7-1 they started to. Then I got one bookie to give me unlimited bet amount at 7/2. From around 2000-2007 online sportsbooks I had major VIP account, especially Pinnacle (but now after Septemeber 2006 Port Act they lost all US customers and went from the best to mediocre). Others refused my account or made my max $500, similar to vegas casino sportsbooks are a joke. I tried to bet 25k on Cotto over Quintanna (-250) at the Bellagio during the Five Diamonds Classic Poker Tournament. I lost track and had to bet last moment so I told a fellow investor and I went to place 50k at the cage. First they stated the maximum on boxing was $500 and that even though they had the bout on the board it was a non-bet because it was in New Jersey (they said they are restricted because each state has a different condition). Being known to the staff as an excellent customer they offered transferring the wager if another casino would take it. Unfortunately it was to closed because the fight was about to take place within an hour and it was past the cut-off point. That was a 10k mistake and for my friend as well. Only the Stardust would take major bets.
    I also agree about the odds with Floyd, but Ortiz as a 4-1 dog vs Berto was much worse if you know boxing (Ortiz was a huge +EV in that fight with those odds).
    My last few years of major PPV fights I bet were mostly props:
    -Pacquiao to win by decision over Mosley (Large)
    -Ortiz over Berto I bet straight out (Large)
    -Floyd to beat JMM by decision (Average)
    -Over in Clottey vs Pacquiao (Large)
    -Hopkins straight +350 and prop +580 to win by decision (Large)
    -Gerrero over Katsidis and smaller wager on Guerrero to win by decision. (Average:I bet at -190, then after weigh-in at -230)
    I don't like betting overs unless many conditions are present. I consider headbutts with styles, swelling, cuts and the occasional suprise KO. Analyzing a fight in round section and how each fighter respond to how the fight is going. Betting these wagers on veterans is safer as they often never switch their style even if they been losing every round and need a knock-out. Also history of headbutts, constant clinches, facial cutting and swellling are all key. Example: Pacquiao beating Mosley was easily seen, but Mosley would prefer losing (even if he knew he couldn't win a decision) to decision rather than take any risk of getting hurt or knocked out. Also, after a few rounds and Mosley felt Manny's power I thought he would move often and not allow clinches with the possibility of in-fighting (which many is great at). Floyd beating JMM to a decision was an easy pick. Floyd in his return picked a smaller guy (a lightweight, not welterweight), with declining reflexes and speed, and a fighter whose body has been in many wars. JMM doesn't haven't a history of severe swelling or cuts even through the wars with Manny (Manny facially looked beat). Also, JMM has a great chin and never quits and Floyd in his return would control the fight at his pace not taking many chances and doing anough to win each round safely and get comfortable again.
    I analyze and consider many factors. I also calculate the odds, which way they will swing and props. I use to bet fights and bet as soon as the line opened with the belief the public will bet the other way enough to now bet the other fighter and take an automatic payday no matter who won.
    Knowing how to bet is often thought to be simple. You can take an NFL bettor that wins 56% (using -110 vig, 52.38% is break even) of games and loses by years end. Knowing how to find value and maximize it and utilize risk vs reward is the game. Often when to bet a game is of major importance. Saving a half point, or a lower vig makes a huge impact by season end. Boxing as well, betting early can freeze a certain amount of your funds but you consider Risk vs Reward and ROI. I won't make this a manual on how to get the best positive expectation in gambling but I felt people lack or under-estimate these factors.
    Qncyk1: I don't know if your statement about certain people not betting boxing referred to me, but as a note my record is sensational but as I stated my timing of when to bet, how to bet and how much is elite. I file as a professional gambler because besides all my other investments and businesses, my earnings with gambling is so much more that decade ago I had to start filing my taxes a professional gambler. I gambled all my life but made consistent revenue since 1992 when I counted cards at blackjack and here I am today.

    On you homepage, you stated that you are from New York and of the age of 31-35.

    And in this post you proclaim to be counting cards since 1992. Did you have a fake ID to get into the casinos at the age of 16?

    You also proclaim to have won 87k on Holy/Tyson 2 in 1997.

    Congradulations. I believe that you are in the class of .00001 percent of all COVERS bloggers that have won 80k or more on a single betat or under the age of 21.

    Probably .000001 percent of the entire US population.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Qncyk1: First I am slightly confused on your thread. Also, who would think Bernard Hopkins would be so great at age 46? I understand your point. You should read all my threads not just ones responding to far previous questions.
    Gambling on boxing... just check the article regarding the odds of Holyfield vs Tyson II, no one had the answer, even after they searched the interenet. I knew the exact odds (Holyfield +175) because I won $87,500. The initial bout it was difficult to bet as many local bookies I knew wouldn't take opening odds. Then at 7-1 they started to. Then I got one bookie to give me unlimited bet amount at 7/2. From around 2000-2007 online sportsbooks I had major VIP account, especially Pinnacle (but now after Septemeber 2006 Port Act they lost all US customers and went from the best to mediocre). Others refused my account or made my max $500, similar to vegas casino sportsbooks are a joke. I tried to bet 25k on Cotto over Quintanna (-250) at the Bellagio during the Five Diamonds Classic Poker Tournament. I lost track and had to bet last moment so I told a fellow investor and I went to place 50k at the cage. First they stated the maximum on boxing was $500 and that even though they had the bout on the board it was a non-bet because it was in New Jersey (they said they are restricted because each state has a different condition). Being known to the staff as an excellent customer they offered transferring the wager if another casino would take it. Unfortunately it was to closed because the fight was about to take place within an hour and it was past the cut-off point. That was a 10k mistake and for my friend as well. Only the Stardust would take major bets.
    I also agree about the odds with Floyd, but Ortiz as a 4-1 dog vs Berto was much worse if you know boxing (Ortiz was a huge +EV in that fight with those odds).
    My last few years of major PPV fights I bet were mostly props:
    -Pacquiao to win by decision over Mosley (Large)
    -Ortiz over Berto I bet straight out (Large)
    -Floyd to beat JMM by decision (Average)
    -Over in Clottey vs Pacquiao (Large)
    -Hopkins straight +350 and prop +580 to win by decision (Large)
    -Gerrero over Katsidis and smaller wager on Guerrero to win by decision. (Average:I bet at -190, then after weigh-in at -230)
    I don't like betting overs unless many conditions are present. I consider headbutts with styles, swelling, cuts and the occasional suprise KO. Analyzing a fight in round section and how each fighter respond to how the fight is going. Betting these wagers on veterans is safer as they often never switch their style even if they been losing every round and need a knock-out. Also history of headbutts, constant clinches, facial cutting and swellling are all key. Example: Pacquiao beating Mosley was easily seen, but Mosley would prefer losing (even if he knew he couldn't win a decision) to decision rather than take any risk of getting hurt or knocked out. Also, after a few rounds and Mosley felt Manny's power I thought he would move often and not allow clinches with the possibility of in-fighting (which many is great at). Floyd beating JMM to a decision was an easy pick. Floyd in his return picked a smaller guy (a lightweight, not welterweight), with declining reflexes and speed, and a fighter whose body has been in many wars. JMM doesn't haven't a history of severe swelling or cuts even through the wars with Manny (Manny facially looked beat). Also, JMM has a great chin and never quits and Floyd in his return would control the fight at his pace not taking many chances and doing anough to win each round safely and get comfortable again.
    I analyze and consider many factors. I also calculate the odds, which way they will swing and props. I use to bet fights and bet as soon as the line opened with the belief the public will bet the other way enough to now bet the other fighter and take an automatic payday no matter who won.
    Knowing how to bet is often thought to be simple. You can take an NFL bettor that wins 56% (using -110 vig, 52.38% is break even) of games and loses by years end. Knowing how to find value and maximize it and utilize risk vs reward is the game. Often when to bet a game is of major importance. Saving a half point, or a lower vig makes a huge impact by season end. Boxing as well, betting early can freeze a certain amount of your funds but you consider Risk vs Reward and ROI. I won't make this a manual on how to get the best positive expectation in gambling but I felt people lack or under-estimate these factors.
    Qncyk1: I don't know if your statement about certain people not betting boxing referred to me, but as a note my record is sensational but as I stated my timing of when to bet, how to bet and how much is elite. I file as a professional gambler because besides all my other investments and businesses, my earnings with gambling is so much more that decade ago I had to start filing my taxes a professional gambler. I gambled all my life but made consistent revenue since 1992 when I counted cards at blackjack and here I am today.

    On you homepage, you stated that you are from New York and of the age of 31-35.

    And in this post you proclaim to be counting cards since 1992. Did you have a fake ID to get into the casinos at the age of 16?

    You also proclaim to have won 87k on Holy/Tyson 2 in 1997.

    Congradulations. I believe that you are in the class of .00001 percent of all COVERS bloggers that have won 80k or more on a single betat or under the age of 21.

    Probably .000001 percent of the entire US population.

     
    thesoulpurpose
    thesoulpurpose
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2010
    Posts: 1128
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:01 AM ET #40

    the question was brought up about naming a fighter from 135-154 that was sucessful after the age of 35, one is the great BENNY LEONARD,  during his comback, he won them all except for his last bout with jimmy mcclarnin, leonard was one of the smartest fighters who ever lived and was light years ahead of his time, not just in boxing, but in his knowledge of the human body and how to maximize physical fitness, any true boxing fan would agree that leonard is one of the greatest fighters who have ever lived,     when the great ray arcel was asked who the greatest fighter he ever trained was he said Leonard, who arcel trained during his comeback,  and if you check the resume of all of the greats that arcel trained during his career that is saying something.  
    Reply
    the question was brought up about naming a fighter from 135-154 that was sucessful after the age of 35, one is the great BENNY LEONARD,  during his comback, he won them all except for his last bout with jimmy mcclarnin, leonard was one of the smartest fighters who ever lived and was light years ahead of his time, not just in boxing, but in his knowledge of the human body and how to maximize physical fitness, any true boxing fan would agree that leonard is one of the greatest fighters who have ever lived,     when the great ray arcel was asked who the greatest fighter he ever trained was he said Leonard, who arcel trained during his comeback,  and if you check the resume of all of the greats that arcel trained during his career that is saying something.  
     
    thesoulpurpose
    thesoulpurpose
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2010
    Posts: 1128
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:07 AM ET #41

    after going back and looking at LEONARDS record after the age of 35 and during his comeback (which actually started when he was 35) he compiled a record of 19-1-1 against solid competition.
    Reply
    after going back and looking at LEONARDS record after the age of 35 and during his comeback (which actually started when he was 35) he compiled a record of 19-1-1 against solid competition.
     
    thesoulpurpose
    thesoulpurpose
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2010
    Posts: 1128
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:51 AM ET #42

    I do stand corrected about the good competition thing, most of the guys were actually bums, but when you fight 20 official fights in 2 years as well as boxing many exabition fights what do you expect, he did fight a couple of solid guys though, the goal was making money at that point so that's what he did, 
    Reply
    I do stand corrected about the good competition thing, most of the guys were actually bums, but when you fight 20 official fights in 2 years as well as boxing many exabition fights what do you expect, he did fight a couple of solid guys though, the goal was making money at that point so that's what he did, 
     
    thesoulpurpose
    thesoulpurpose
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2010
    Posts: 1128
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 1:40 AM ET #43

    Azumah Nelson was fighting solid guys right until the end as well,    back to mayweather, he simply does not have the passion for boxing any more, that is why he fights once per year, he fights because that is the only job that he has ever known, the question of floyd fighting past his 35th birth day is void, it simply will not happen, he will easily beat the B level ortiz, next comes pacquiao, that is a fight that will happen,  it will not be close, floyd will dominate, pacquiao makes too many mistakes to beat floyd and when he beats pacquiao people will say he beat a smaller man and not give him the props he will deserve,  but I simply do not see him fighting past the pacquiao fight,     that is unless down the road he come into financial issues like benny leonard did, but that is another story.   one thing that I have stated in the past is that floyd could be a very good fighter into his late 30's, no question about it, with that george benton, ezzard charles, charley burley type of defence and the great speed that he has as well as great intelligence, even when he slows down a step he will still be faster than most guys, the style he uses does not require a lot of speed the fact that he has it is why he is so special. will he fight past the age of 35, I doubt it, could he be sucessful if he did? without a doubt in my mind
    Reply
    Azumah Nelson was fighting solid guys right until the end as well,    back to mayweather, he simply does not have the passion for boxing any more, that is why he fights once per year, he fights because that is the only job that he has ever known, the question of floyd fighting past his 35th birth day is void, it simply will not happen, he will easily beat the B level ortiz, next comes pacquiao, that is a fight that will happen,  it will not be close, floyd will dominate, pacquiao makes too many mistakes to beat floyd and when he beats pacquiao people will say he beat a smaller man and not give him the props he will deserve,  but I simply do not see him fighting past the pacquiao fight,     that is unless down the road he come into financial issues like benny leonard did, but that is another story.   one thing that I have stated in the past is that floyd could be a very good fighter into his late 30's, no question about it, with that george benton, ezzard charles, charley burley type of defence and the great speed that he has as well as great intelligence, even when he slows down a step he will still be faster than most guys, the style he uses does not require a lot of speed the fact that he has it is why he is so special. will he fight past the age of 35, I doubt it, could he be sucessful if he did? without a doubt in my mind
     
    ZOUK
    ZOUK
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 1121
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 2:06 AM ET #44

    Qncyk1:
    Post #37: I answered your question, now you add more to your question.
    Post #38: No, I did not pick Haye. I didn't bet the fight but if I did I liked the over.
    Post #39: No, I did not use a fake I.D. Use a little knowledge and know that NY casino's as I stated (and others in the northeast) are Indian Casinos. The age for many is 18, especially NY because they don't give liquor license to the Casino. I was 18 when I started (counting cards; tedious but was fun at first and not worth the time with such restrictions and no mid-shoe entry. Usually when a new Casino opens they are soft on spotting counters. No, I didn't have a team like the books and show (21). They use to come to Turning Stone for the single deck shoe as well, but that lasted less than a year.
    I was 23 for Tyson vs Holyfield II.
     I have a story from 2005 about a 21 year old poker pro that I was friends with. He even played in Larry Flynt's private home game (7-Stud 1k-2k). Towards college bowl season he was betting 10k on many games. He currently owed about 500k in loans. He got even, was betting 250k across the board was up just over 6 million. I pleaded with him to quit or put aside 4 million but he played it through. The following 10 days he lost back all winnings and owed near 3 million. Anyone who reads this and played pro and high stakes (basically the highest) knows who I am speaking about. Now thats is close a the legendary story of Archie Karas who was up near $40 million at craps and most was at Binions where they stated they were concerned. Naturally, he lost it all back and more. I didn't know Archie or was I around during his legendary streak in 1992-1994, but I was in the same room at Bellagio as a kid was betting $250k on games (and he often had $3 million riding; $6 million swing). If you are unfamiliar with highstakes gambling and poker and about the insane loans people give out, go to carplayer.com and read how David "Chino" Rheems is broke having won near $5 million in poker tournament earnings.
    The latest win was $20k buy-in, and he won $1 million but they froze it because other people but up the buy-in money or had percentages or loans. Epic Poker League's Standards & Conduct Committee places Chino Rheem on probation, freezing his winnings for having a bad reputation with paying back backers (stakers,etc). Big controversy whether it is the tournaments responsibility for Chino to pay his IOUs the way they see fit (which has never been done) or at his discretion. Also, 90% of these loans there is no written agreements.

    thesoulpurpose: Nice post. Someone mentioned him a few weeks ago in a discussion we were having.

    walktheline: I haven't forgotten your post and I will find or re-write the post I had saved about the fight matchup. Mostly Ortiz is still green and lacks needed ring experience for Floyd. Floyd is taking the fight now cause he rarely takes risks and can see the public view of Ortiz's growing popularity, and even as strong and talented he makes to many mistakes.

    Reply

    Qncyk1:
    Post #37: I answered your question, now you add more to your question.
    Post #38: No, I did not pick Haye. I didn't bet the fight but if I did I liked the over.
    Post #39: No, I did not use a fake I.D. Use a little knowledge and know that NY casino's as I stated (and others in the northeast) are Indian Casinos. The age for many is 18, especially NY because they don't give liquor license to the Casino. I was 18 when I started (counting cards; tedious but was fun at first and not worth the time with such restrictions and no mid-shoe entry. Usually when a new Casino opens they are soft on spotting counters. No, I didn't have a team like the books and show (21). They use to come to Turning Stone for the single deck shoe as well, but that lasted less than a year.
    I was 23 for Tyson vs Holyfield II.
     I have a story from 2005 about a 21 year old poker pro that I was friends with. He even played in Larry Flynt's private home game (7-Stud 1k-2k). Towards college bowl season he was betting 10k on many games. He currently owed about 500k in loans. He got even, was betting 250k across the board was up just over 6 million. I pleaded with him to quit or put aside 4 million but he played it through. The following 10 days he lost back all winnings and owed near 3 million. Anyone who reads this and played pro and high stakes (basically the highest) knows who I am speaking about. Now thats is close a the legendary story of Archie Karas who was up near $40 million at craps and most was at Binions where they stated they were concerned. Naturally, he lost it all back and more. I didn't know Archie or was I around during his legendary streak in 1992-1994, but I was in the same room at Bellagio as a kid was betting $250k on games (and he often had $3 million riding; $6 million swing). If you are unfamiliar with highstakes gambling and poker and about the insane loans people give out, go to carplayer.com and read how David "Chino" Rheems is broke having won near $5 million in poker tournament earnings.
    The latest win was $20k buy-in, and he won $1 million but they froze it because other people but up the buy-in money or had percentages or loans. Epic Poker League's Standards & Conduct Committee places Chino Rheem on probation, freezing his winnings for having a bad reputation with paying back backers (stakers,etc). Big controversy whether it is the tournaments responsibility for Chino to pay his IOUs the way they see fit (which has never been done) or at his discretion. Also, 90% of these loans there is no written agreements.

    thesoulpurpose: Nice post. Someone mentioned him a few weeks ago in a discussion we were having.

    walktheline: I haven't forgotten your post and I will find or re-write the post I had saved about the fight matchup. Mostly Ortiz is still green and lacks needed ring experience for Floyd. Floyd is taking the fight now cause he rarely takes risks and can see the public view of Ortiz's growing popularity, and even as strong and talented he makes to many mistakes.

     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 10:36 AM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by thesoulpurpose:

    Azumah Nelson was fighting solid guys right until the end as well,    back to mayweather, he simply does not have the passion for boxing any more, that is why he fights once per year, he fights because that is the only job that he has ever known, the question of floyd fighting past his 35th birth day is void, it simply will not happen, he will easily beat the B level ortiz, next comes pacquiao, that is a fight that will happen,  it will not be close, floyd will dominate, pacquiao makes too many mistakes to beat floyd and when he beats pacquiao people will say he beat a smaller man and not give him the props he will deserve,  but I simply do not see him fighting past the pacquiao fight,     that is unless down the road he come into financial issues like benny leonard did, but that is another story.   one thing that I have stated in the past is that floyd could be a very good fighter into his late 30's, no question about it, with that george benton, ezzard charles, charley burley type of defence and the great speed that he has as well as great intelligence, even when he slows down a step he will still be faster than most guys, the style he uses does not require a lot of speed the fact that he has it is why he is so special. will he fight past the age of 35, I doubt it, could he be sucessful if he did? without a doubt in my mind

     

    Nice post. I entirely forgot about azumah nelson, who successfully fought against solid competition unitl his late 30's. but the point has been irrefutably made that it is extrmely rare for a lighter weight fighter to successfully fight into his late 30's. great fighters such as tszyu, pea, dlh, chavez, mosely, pryor, srl, winky and trinidad all faded badly at the end and realized that they could no longer compete at the level they were accostumed to. pbf is right at that age(35) of decline. and as you have pointed out, he may no longer have the passion for the game.

    i dont think that the ortiz fight will be nearly as easy as some people think. in fact, i read nothing from current or past boxer saying as such.

    and if pbf suffers an acccidental headbutt(not uncommon between orthodox and southpaws) the odds will drastically increrase in favor of ortiz, a 5-1 dog.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thesoulpurpose:

    Azumah Nelson was fighting solid guys right until the end as well,    back to mayweather, he simply does not have the passion for boxing any more, that is why he fights once per year, he fights because that is the only job that he has ever known, the question of floyd fighting past his 35th birth day is void, it simply will not happen, he will easily beat the B level ortiz, next comes pacquiao, that is a fight that will happen,  it will not be close, floyd will dominate, pacquiao makes too many mistakes to beat floyd and when he beats pacquiao people will say he beat a smaller man and not give him the props he will deserve,  but I simply do not see him fighting past the pacquiao fight,     that is unless down the road he come into financial issues like benny leonard did, but that is another story.   one thing that I have stated in the past is that floyd could be a very good fighter into his late 30's, no question about it, with that george benton, ezzard charles, charley burley type of defence and the great speed that he has as well as great intelligence, even when he slows down a step he will still be faster than most guys, the style he uses does not require a lot of speed the fact that he has it is why he is so special. will he fight past the age of 35, I doubt it, could he be sucessful if he did? without a doubt in my mind

     

    Nice post. I entirely forgot about azumah nelson, who successfully fought against solid competition unitl his late 30's. but the point has been irrefutably made that it is extrmely rare for a lighter weight fighter to successfully fight into his late 30's. great fighters such as tszyu, pea, dlh, chavez, mosely, pryor, srl, winky and trinidad all faded badly at the end and realized that they could no longer compete at the level they were accostumed to. pbf is right at that age(35) of decline. and as you have pointed out, he may no longer have the passion for the game.

    i dont think that the ortiz fight will be nearly as easy as some people think. in fact, i read nothing from current or past boxer saying as such.

    and if pbf suffers an acccidental headbutt(not uncommon between orthodox and southpaws) the odds will drastically increrase in favor of ortiz, a 5-1 dog.

     

     
    Qncyk1
    Qncyk1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 1239
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 10:53 AM ET #46

    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Qncyk1:
    Post #37: I answered your question, now you add more to your question.
    Post #38: No, I did not pick Haye. I didn't bet the fight but if I did I liked the over.
    Post #39: No, I did not use a fake I.D. Use a little knowledge and know that NY casino's as I stated (and others in the northeast) are Indian Casinos. The age for many is 18, especially NY because they don't give liquor license to the Casino. I was 18 when I started (counting cards; tedious but was fun at first and not worth the time with such restrictions and no mid-shoe entry. Usually when a new Casino opens they are soft on spotting counters. No, I didn't have a team like the books and show (21). They use to come to Turning Stone for the single deck shoe as well, but that lasted less than a year.
    I was 23 for Tyson vs Holyfield II.
     I have a story from 2005 about a 21 year old poker pro that I was friends with. He even played in Larry Flynt's private home game (7-Stud 1k-2k). Towards college bowl season he was betting 10k on many games. He currently owed about 500k in loans. He got even, was betting 250k across the board was up just over 6 million. I pleaded with him to quit or put aside 4 million but he played it through. The following 10 days he lost back all winnings and owed near 3 million. Anyone who reads this and played pro and high stakes (basically the highest) knows who I am speaking about. Now thats is close a the legendary story of Archie Karas who was up near $40 million at craps and most was at Binions where they stated they were concerned. Naturally, he lost it all back and more. I didn't know Archie or was I around during his legendary streak in 1992-1994, but I was in the same room at Bellagio as a kid was betting $250k on games (and he often had $3 million riding; $6 million swing). If you are unfamiliar with highstakes gambling and poker and about the insane loans people give out, go to carplayer.com and read how David "Chino" Rheems is broke having won near $5 million in poker tournament earnings.
    The latest win was $20k buy-in, and he won $1 million but they froze it because other people but up the buy-in money or had percentages or loans. Epic Poker League's Standards & Conduct Committee places Chino Rheem on probation, freezing his winnings for having a bad reputation with paying back backers (stakers,etc). Big controversy whether it is the tournaments responsibility for Chino to pay his IOUs the way they see fit (which has never been done) or at his discretion. Also, 90% of these loans there is no written agreements.

    thesoulpurpose: Nice post. Someone mentioned him a few weeks ago in a discussion we were having.

    walktheline: I haven't forgotten your post and I will find or re-write the post I had saved about the fight matchup. Mostly Ortiz is still green and lacks needed ring experience for Floyd. Floyd is taking the fight now cause he rarely takes risks and can see the public view of Ortiz's growing popularity, and even as strong and talented he makes to many mistakes.

    you should write an autobiography.

    they would probably turn it into a movie. you would be famous, have tons of fans and wouldn't have to post here anymore.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ZOUK:

    Qncyk1:
    Post #37: I answered your question, now you add more to your question.
    Post #38: No, I did not pick Haye. I didn't bet the fight but if I did I liked the over.
    Post #39: No, I did not use a fake I.D. Use a little knowledge and know that NY casino's as I stated (and others in the northeast) are Indian Casinos. The age for many is 18, especially NY because they don't give liquor license to the Casino. I was 18 when I started (counting cards; tedious but was fun at first and not worth the time with such restrictions and no mid-shoe entry. Usually when a new Casino opens they are soft on spotting counters. No, I didn't have a team like the books and show (21). They use to come to Turning Stone for the single deck shoe as well, but that lasted less than a year.
    I was 23 for Tyson vs Holyfield II.
     I have a story from 2005 about a 21 year old poker pro that I was friends with. He even played in Larry Flynt's private home game (7-Stud 1k-2k). Towards college bowl season he was betting 10k on many games. He currently owed about 500k in loans. He got even, was betting 250k across the board was up just over 6 million. I pleaded with him to quit or put aside 4 million but he played it through. The following 10 days he lost back all winnings and owed near 3 million. Anyone who reads this and played pro and high stakes (basically the highest) knows who I am speaking about. Now thats is close a the legendary story of Archie Karas who was up near $40 million at craps and most was at Binions where they stated they were concerned. Naturally, he lost it all back and more. I didn't know Archie or was I around during his legendary streak in 1992-1994, but I was in the same room at Bellagio as a kid was betting $250k on games (and he often had $3 million riding; $6 million swing). If you are unfamiliar with highstakes gambling and poker and about the insane loans people give out, go to carplayer.com and read how David "Chino" Rheems is broke having won near $5 million in poker tournament earnings.
    The latest win was $20k buy-in, and he won $1 million but they froze it because other people but up the buy-in money or had percentages or loans. Epic Poker League's Standards & Conduct Committee places Chino Rheem on probation, freezing his winnings for having a bad reputation with paying back backers (stakers,etc). Big controversy whether it is the tournaments responsibility for Chino to pay his IOUs the way they see fit (which has never been done) or at his discretion. Also, 90% of these loans there is no written agreements.

    thesoulpurpose: Nice post. Someone mentioned him a few weeks ago in a discussion we were having.

    walktheline: I haven't forgotten your post and I will find or re-write the post I had saved about the fight matchup. Mostly Ortiz is still green and lacks needed ring experience for Floyd. Floyd is taking the fight now cause he rarely takes risks and can see the public view of Ortiz's growing popularity, and even as strong and talented he makes to many mistakes.

    you should write an autobiography.

    they would probably turn it into a movie. you would be famous, have tons of fans and wouldn't have to post here anymore.

     
    SawLo
    SawLo
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2010
    Posts: 103
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 11:08 AM ET #47

    Zouk, do you use a bookie?  Because like you I do very well with boxing.  Since then my bookie has capped me at 500 max bet.  
    Reply
    Zouk, do you use a bookie?  Because like you I do very well with boxing.  Since then my bookie has capped me at 500 max bet.  
     
    ZOUK
    ZOUK
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 1121
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 8:44 PM ET #48

    Qncyk1:
    Post #45: I wrote a decent article about Nelson vs Fenech during that fight outside where Fenech was more than robbed at a decision (out come was a draw).
    Post #46: That's funny you say that cause I get that often from new friends I travel with. It sounds like all BS I say but read some of my analysis from other sites I can post.
    SawLo
    Post #47: I had no problems until PokerStars and FullTilt Poker got ceased months ago. I have 2 friends that layoff bets (1 in NY, & a famous pro poker player in Las Vegas). I didn't know until I got a little older that having someone place a wager at  a casino is a crime (they are called runners and it was because the bettors were crushing sportsbooks with inside info and maxing bets at all casinos). My friend Alex was the key linemakers for Pinnacle during its peak years. I myself have difficult getting maximum wagers. Send me a private message with email and I will get back to you in a few days and see what's up.
    Reply
    Qncyk1:
    Post #45: I wrote a decent article about Nelson vs Fenech during that fight outside where Fenech was more than robbed at a decision (out come was a draw).
    Post #46: That's funny you say that cause I get that often from new friends I travel with. It sounds like all BS I say but read some of my analysis from other sites I can post.
    SawLo
    Post #47: I had no problems until PokerStars and FullTilt Poker got ceased months ago. I have 2 friends that layoff bets (1 in NY, & a famous pro poker player in Las Vegas). I didn't know until I got a little older that having someone place a wager at  a casino is a crime (they are called runners and it was because the bettors were crushing sportsbooks with inside info and maxing bets at all casinos). My friend Alex was the key linemakers for Pinnacle during its peak years. I myself have difficult getting maximum wagers. Send me a private message with email and I will get back to you in a few days and see what's up.
     
    thesoulpurpose
    thesoulpurpose
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2010
    Posts: 1128
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 10:13 PM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:

     

    Nice post. I entirely forgot about azumah nelson, who successfully fought against solid competition unitl his late 30's. but the point has been irrefutably made that it is extrmely rare for a lighter weight fighter to successfully fight into his late 30's. great fighters such as tszyu, pea, dlh, chavez, mosely, pryor, srl, winky and trinidad all faded badly at the end and realized that they could no longer compete at the level they were accostumed to. pbf is right at that age(35) of decline. and as you have pointed out, he may no longer have the passion for the game.

    i dont think that the ortiz fight will be nearly as easy as some people think. in fact, i read nothing from current or past boxer saying as such.

    and if pbf suffers an acccidental headbutt(not uncommon between orthodox and southpaws) the odds will drastically increrase in favor of ortiz, a 5-1 dog.

     

      I am a current fighter, my pro debut has been postponed a couple of times, but the reason that I do not think mayweather vs ortiz will be that close is because of ortiz's defence, it is simply not good enough against someone as accurate as floyd, alot of people think that ortiz is going to have a huge strength advantage in this one, I am not so sure about that, floyd is very strong at this point, he simply does not fight in a style that portrays that,  he even looked stronger than mosley in his last one, which was suprising to a lot of people, ortiz has the edge in punching power and I think that he is the hungrier fighter, but floyd has every other advantage, I like floyd by mid round ko,  ortiz is simply out of his league,
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:

     

    Nice post. I entirely forgot about azumah nelson, who successfully fought against solid competition unitl his late 30's. but the point has been irrefutably made that it is extrmely rare for a lighter weight fighter to successfully fight into his late 30's. great fighters such as tszyu, pea, dlh, chavez, mosely, pryor, srl, winky and trinidad all faded badly at the end and realized that they could no longer compete at the level they were accostumed to. pbf is right at that age(35) of decline. and as you have pointed out, he may no longer have the passion for the game.

    i dont think that the ortiz fight will be nearly as easy as some people think. in fact, i read nothing from current or past boxer saying as such.

    and if pbf suffers an acccidental headbutt(not uncommon between orthodox and southpaws) the odds will drastically increrase in favor of ortiz, a 5-1 dog.

     

      I am a current fighter, my pro debut has been postponed a couple of times, but the reason that I do not think mayweather vs ortiz will be that close is because of ortiz's defence, it is simply not good enough against someone as accurate as floyd, alot of people think that ortiz is going to have a huge strength advantage in this one, I am not so sure about that, floyd is very strong at this point, he simply does not fight in a style that portrays that,  he even looked stronger than mosley in his last one, which was suprising to a lot of people, ortiz has the edge in punching power and I think that he is the hungrier fighter, but floyd has every other advantage, I like floyd by mid round ko,  ortiz is simply out of his league,
     
     
    ZOUK
    ZOUK
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 1121
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 10:25 PM ET #50

     Qncyk1: Post from another thread "Azumah Nelson vs Jeff Fenech I was outside at Mirage. Nelson stated after he suffered from left elbow problems and battled Malaria up until a week prior to the fight. Regardless, after the scorecard announcement it had to be the most silent crowd of roughly 40,000 people I've ever witnessed. People weren't protesting, they were in total shock and waiting for the prank to be over and hear the real scorecards. thesouldpurpose, thanks for the memory. I felt for Fenech who fought his heart out and won only to be cheated. After that Fenech was never the same."

    thesoulpurpose: I agree about Floyd. Ortiz lacks ring experience and Floyd is a very well experienced. Ortiz keeps his hands down way to much when he starts throwing, and Floyd can maneuver and use angles and chop Ortiz down. If Ortiz allows Floyd to hit him like Berto did, it won't last to a decision. Cuts and swelling are a problem if he gets hit often. Berto lacked power although many disagree, seeing him ringside twice he hit opponents hard and clean with huge shots and they barely rocked. Also, because Ortiz is a southpaw Floyd knows how to avoid head clashes and I would be suprised if they collided heads.

    Reply

     Qncyk1: Post from another thread "Azumah Nelson vs Jeff Fenech I was outside at Mirage. Nelson stated after he suffered from left elbow problems and battled Malaria up until a week prior to the fight. Regardless, after the scorecard announcement it had to be the most silent crowd of roughly 40,000 people I've ever witnessed. People weren't protesting, they were in total shock and waiting for the prank to be over and hear the real scorecards. thesouldpurpose, thanks for the memory. I felt for Fenech who fought his heart out and won only to be cheated. After that Fenech was never the same."

    thesoulpurpose: I agree about Floyd. Ortiz lacks ring experience and Floyd is a very well experienced. Ortiz keeps his hands down way to much when he starts throwing, and Floyd can maneuver and use angles and chop Ortiz down. If Ortiz allows Floyd to hit him like Berto did, it won't last to a decision. Cuts and swelling are a problem if he gets hit often. Berto lacked power although many disagree, seeing him ringside twice he hit opponents hard and clean with huge shots and they barely rocked. Also, because Ortiz is a southpaw Floyd knows how to avoid head clashes and I would be suprised if they collided heads.

    All Forums | Boxing
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»

    Hot Forums IconHot Forum Topics

    • Claiming Prizes 57,786
    • Serious Streak Survivor Strategies 1,918,498
    • Tuesday 10/20/2026 823
    • Commanders vs Niners in-game live MNF 2,759
    • Congrats to ltdsks - 20 wins in a row! 5,059
    • the whole problem is knowingly spreading false info to vulnerable people 22,987
    • Public Indicator Calculations 2026 23,213
    • NFL THREAD * 151 * 26,042
    • Obviously the true face of the republican party 35,339
    • How low can Trump go ? 29,758

    Warning - External Link

    Report User

    Thank you for reporting
    This content is abusive or harmful
    This post is spam
    An error has occurred
    This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

    Delete Post

    Are you sure you would like to remove this post?

    Remove Thread

    Are you sure you would like to remove this thread?

    Scan Results

    Login/Register

    Happy to have you join the conversation. To do so, please login or create an account.
    Accounts are free and easy to create.

    Search


    Loading…

    Loading…

    About Us
    Contact Us
    Careers
    Our Team
    Brand
    Testimonials
    Betting Guides
    Sportsbook Reviews
    Betting News
    Podcasts
    Responsible Gambling
    Betting Sites
    US Betting Sites
    Canada Betting Sites
    Canada Casinos
    Best Betting Apps
    Contests
    Streak Survivor
    King of Covers
    Ultimate Race
    Office Pools
    The Covers community has
    810,221
    lifetime members worldwide
    Join our community today
    Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
    Covers is the world
    leader in sports
    betting information.
    21+
    Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
    Help Privacy Privacy Choices Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
    YouTube logo
    Facebook logo
    Twitter logo
    Instagram logo
    LinkedIn logo
    Google News logo
    Covers is verified safe by:
    Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo
    Covers Logo
    Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
    If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.