2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds: How Many Hot Dogs Will Joey Chestnut Eat?

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 17, 2026 , 03:11 PM ET • 4 min read

Joey Chestnut made a triumphant return to the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest last year, and oddsmakers are tabbing him to break his world record on July 4. Where does the value lie in the Hot Dog Eating Contest odds?

Joey Chestnut Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Joey Chestnut after winning the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest.

Despite some legal issues during the "offseason," Joey Chestnut will be back to try for his 18th career victory as the presumptive favorite in the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds on July 4.

While you can't bet on Chestnut to win the competition right now, you can wager on whether or not he'll break his own world record of 76 hot dogs downed.

Let's have a frank(furter) conversation about where the value lies in this market and give out some wieners, er, winners.

🌭 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest odds

Hot dogs eaten by Joey Chestnut

Over 76.5 Under 76.5
+120 -160

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Ontario as of 6-17.

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Joey Chestnut prediction for the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest

Joey Chestnut set the world record for hot dogs eaten with 76 in a 10-minute span in the 2021 edition of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. Since then, he's eaten 62, 63, and 70.5 hot dogs in this competition. Those numbers aren't even in his personal Top 5 in this contest.

It's fair to wonder if Chestnut, age 42, is past his prime. 

While it would be cool to see Chestnut embrace the "Spirit of '76" in more ways than one as America celebrates its 250th birthday, the smart money is on the Under here.

Pick: Chestnut Under 76.5 hot dogs eaten (-160 at DraftKings)

What is the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest record? 

The record for hot dogs consumed at the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest record is 76 over a 10-minute span, which is also the world record, set by Joey Chestnut in 2021. 

🏅 Past Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest results

Previous winners of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, since 2011 when women began competing separately, and how many hot dogs they consumed.

Year Men's Winner Hot Dogs Women's Winner Hot Dogs
2025 Joey Chestnut 70.5 Miki Sudo 33
2024 Patrick Bertoletti 58 Miki Sudo 51
2023 Joey Chestnut 62 Miki Sudo 39.5
2022 Joey Chestnut 63 Miki Sudo 40
2021 Joey Chestnut  76 Michelle Lesco 30.75
2020 Joey Chestnut 75 Miki Sudo 48.5
2019 Joey Chestnut 71 Miki Sudo 31
2018 Joey Chestnut 74 Miki Sudo 37
2017 Joey Chestnut 72 Miki Sudo 41
2016 Joey Chestnut 70 Miki Sudo 38.5
2015 Matt Stonie 62 Miki Sudo 38
2014 Joey Chestnut 61 Miki Sudo 34
2013 Joey Chestnut 69 Sonya Thomas 36.75
2012 Joey Chestnut 68 Sonya Thomas 45
2011 Joey Chestnut 62 Sonya Thomas 40

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest FAQs

What is the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Competitors try to eat as many hot dogs (with buns) as they can within 10 minutes, with dunking the buns in water encouraged. Any throwing up results in an instant disqualification.

Who has won the most Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contests?

Joey Chestnut has won the men's competition a staggering 17 times. Miki Sudo has won the women's contest 11 times.

Where is the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest held?

The Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest is held at the original Nathan's Famous location on the corner of Surf and Stillwell Avenues in Coney Island, a neighborhood of Brooklyn, NY. 

When is the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, and where can I watch?

The Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest begins at 10:45 a.m. ET on July 4 with the women's competition, which will be broadcast on ESPN3. The men will compete at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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